Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

DXY - USD index is expected to find support at 92.50-70 for a mild bounce sequence as we move closer to the Fed meeting on the 12-13th. DXY bounce resistance comes in at 93.70-94.00 and the fresh short zone for a break below 92.50 to pressure the bigger 92 macro support zone. Asian FX is our top basket to be short the USD which is equity supportive.Given the bear turn just under DXY 93.50 we would be targeting DXY 88 going forward after we hash through a December Fed rate hike. We initiated a…

DXY - USD index is expected to find support at 92.50-70 for a mild bounce sequence as we move closer to the Fed meeting on the 12-13th. DXY bounce resistance comes in at 93.70-94.00 and the fresh short zone for a break below 92.50 to pressure the bigger 92 macro support zone. Asian FX is our top basket to be short the USD which is equity supportive.Given the bear turn just under DXY 93.50 we would be targeting DXY 88 going forward after we hash through a December Fed rate hike. We initiated a…

Fed Meet a Fresh USD Short Opportunity Against Asian FX

Economist

Richard Iley

Macroeconomics

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/038/999/original/Screen%20Shot%202017-11-23%20at%206.59.46%20PM.png?1511425823" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="38999"></figure><div class="content-highlight">
Which Asian economy has seen the greatest GDP growth acceleration over the last year? As today's chart shows, there is no contest. Singapore, a key global bellwether and high 'beta' with respect to world trade's ongoing 'boomlet' has seen its GDP growth pick up by a full three percentage points after the revisions announced earlier today. Surging manufacturing production, up over 18% y/y, has predictably led the charge to the regional gold medal. 
Boosted by its hyper-competitive real exchange…
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Which Asian economy has seen the greatest GDP growth acceleration over the last year? As today's chart shows, there is no contest. Singapore, a key global bellwether and high 'beta' with respect to world trade's ongoing 'boomlet' has seen its GDP growth pick up by a full three percentage points after the revisions announced earlier today. Surging manufacturing production, up over 18% y/y, has predictably led the charge to the regional gold medal. 
Boosted by its hyper-competitive real exchange…


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Malaysia stands out as having one of, if not the most, undervalued real exchange rate amongst major emerging markets. The Bank of International Settlement's (BIS) real broad effective exchange rate continues to plumb lows not seen since the depths of the Asia crisis in 1998. 
Real exchange rates are typically mean reverting so the MYR, some 10-15% below its longer-run average, should offer long-term investors hefty returns. But the question is what will be the trigger to unlock the MYR's…
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Malaysia stands out as having one of, if not the most, undervalued real exchange rate amongst major emerging markets. The Bank of International Settlement's (BIS) real broad effective exchange rate continues to plumb lows not seen since the depths of the Asia crisis in 1998. 
Real exchange rates are typically mean reverting so the MYR, some 10-15% below its longer-run average, should offer long-term investors hefty returns. But the question is what will be the trigger to unlock the MYR's…


<div class="content-highlight">The BIS's estimates of real effective exchange rates (REERs) have long been the gold standard for longer-run FX valuation. Our analysis of the REERs for 12 major emerging markets throws up some key findings for Asian investors. After Mexico, India's REER has seen the strongest appreciation momentum over the last 6 months. These gains leave India's REER looking easily the most expensive among our universe. At the other end of the spectrum, Turkey and Malaysia stand out as having the cheapest…</div>

The BIS's estimates of real effective exchange rates (REERs) have long been the gold standard for longer-run FX valuation. Our analysis of the REERs for 12 major emerging markets throws up some key findings for Asian investors. After Mexico, India's REER has seen the strongest appreciation momentum over the last 6 months. These gains leave India's REER looking easily the most expensive among our universe. At the other end of the spectrum, Turkey and Malaysia stand out as having the cheapest…

FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

USA politics appears to be descending steadily into a quagmire of dysfunction, contributing to a weaker and more uncertain US economic outlook.  The USD has clearly broken its base since 2015, leaving investors wondering where the bottom is. The sliding USD has developed a life of its own that may be hard to stop.  The ECB tried to talk down the EUR today and failed.  While the market appears to be grabbing for safe havens (gold, Treasuries, JPY), the market is not necessarily feeling bad about the global economy.  In fact, it is feeling pretty good about emerging markets.  Global economic indicators are robust, and commodity prices are rising.  A number of Asian currencies have broken steady ranges to make new highs.  The MYR and THB are both stronger along with their equity markets.

USA politics appears to be descending steadily into a quagmire of dysfunction, contributing to a weaker and more uncertain US economic outlook.  The USD has clearly broken its base since 2015, leaving investors wondering where the bottom is. The sliding USD has developed a life of its own that may be hard to stop.  The ECB tried to talk down the EUR today and failed.  While the market appears to be grabbing for safe havens (gold, Treasuries, JPY), the market is not necessarily feeling bad about the global economy.  In fact, it is feeling pretty good about emerging markets.  Global economic indicators are robust, and commodity prices are rising.  A number of Asian currencies have broken steady ranges to make new highs.  The MYR and THB are both stronger along with their equity markets.

Populist Pandering Hurts the Dollar; Emerging Markets Powering On

Malaysia

The Malaysian ringgit is the official currency of the Federation of Malaysia. 

Price Gauge
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MYR (USDMYR CURNCY)

Fed Meet a Fresh USD Short Opportunity Against Asian FX

DXY - USD index is expected to find support at 92.50-70 for a mild bounce sequence as we move closer to the Fed meeting on the 12-13th. DXY bounce...

Thomas Schroeder

Chart of the Day: Who's Got The 'Mo?

Which Asian economy has seen the greatest GDP growth acceleration over the last year? As today's chart shows, there is no contest. Singapore, a...

Richard Iley

Chart of the Day: Ringgit Off The Hook

Malaysia stands out as having one of, if not the most, undervalued real exchange rate amongst major emerging markets. The Bank of International...

Richard Iley

Emerging Markets: REER View Mirror

The BIS's estimates of real effective exchange rates (REERs) have long been the gold standard for longer-run FX valuation. Our analysis of the...

Richard Iley

Populist Pandering Hurts the Dollar; Emerging Markets Powering On

USA politics appears to be descending steadily into a quagmire of dysfunction, contributing to a weaker and more uncertain US economic outlook. ...

Greg Gibbs

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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