External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Equity Bottom-Up

Multi Commodity Exchange India / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>MCX growth has been driven by a surge in options volume but uncertainty around the technology shift timeline remains the key overhang</li><li>Options ADTV has increased ~2.7x YoY and is currently &gt;INR 500bn (~2.4x of futures)</li><li>The first phase of growth in options was led by a surge in traded UCCs and higher volatility in energy contracts (~85% of volume), while the next phase will be driven by bullion and the launch of new contracts (mini and index options)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MCX growth has been driven by a surge in options volume but uncertainty around the technology shift timeline remains the key overhangOptions ADTV has increased ~2.7x YoY and is currently &gt;INR 500bn (~2.4x of futures)The first phase of growth in options was led by a surge in traded UCCs and higher volatility in energy contracts (~85% of volume), while the next phase will be driven by bullion and the launch of new contracts (mini and index options)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Multi Commodity Exchange - Options Drive, Tech Drags. Maintain BUY

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to decline by 6.8% QoQ, mainly due to a decline in futures volume and flat options revenue (a drop in effective realisation due to lower premium collection)</li><li>Higher payout to tech vendor will impact EBITDA margin (~9.4%, down 1,345bps QoQ)</li><li>The tech transition remains the key overhang, MCX has been conducting mock trading sessions and the current transition timeline stands at 30 June 2023</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to decline by 6.8% QoQ, mainly due to a decline in futures volume and flat options revenue (a drop in effective realisation due to lower premium collection)Higher payout to tech vendor will impact EBITDA margin (~9.4%, down 1,345bps QoQ)The tech transition remains the key overhang, MCX has been conducting mock trading sessions and the current transition timeline stands at 30 June 2023Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet - Soft Landing

<ul><li>Dalmia Bharat: We maintain our BUY rating on Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARA), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,440/sh (13x its Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)</li><li>We continue to like DALBHARA for its robust volume and margin outlook</li><li>Dalmia reported strong volume growth (+12/9% YoY/QoQ) and healthy unit EBITDA recovery (+INR 300/365/MT YoY/QoQ) to solid INR 1,021 per MT, driven by both realisation firm-up and cost reduction</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dalmia Bharat: We maintain our BUY rating on Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARA), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,440/sh (13x its Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)We continue to like DALBHARA for its robust volume and margin outlookDalmia reported strong volume growth (+12/9% YoY/QoQ) and healthy unit EBITDA recovery (+INR 300/365/MT YoY/QoQ) to solid INR 1,021 per MT, driven by both realisation firm-up and cost reductionContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Dalmia Bharat, Sundaram Finance, Apollo Tyres

<ul><li>Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to increase by 7.4% QoQ and the margin will expand to 52.3% (+82bps QoQ)</li><li>We prefer MCX in the exchanges space, aided by continued traction in options volume, healthy new product pipeline (index and mini contracts) and expected cost savings due to a change in tech vendor</li><li>The extension of the support timeline by the existing technology vendor will impact profitability in the short term</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to increase by 7.4% QoQ and the margin will expand to 52.3% (+82bps QoQ)We prefer MCX in the exchanges space, aided by continued traction in options volume, healthy new product pipeline (index and mini contracts) and expected cost savings due to a change in tech vendorThe extension of the support timeline by the existing technology vendor will impact profitability in the short termContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet - Mixed Bag

<ul><li>United Spirits: UNSP posted a beat on our estimates, led by strong performance in P&amp;A segment</li><li>Net revenue was up 18% YoY (9% on three-year CAGR), led by P&amp;A, which was up 23% YoY (15% three-year CAGR; a much-improved CAGR than seen in recent years)</li><li>P&amp;A volume, at 13mn cases, was up 14% YoY (6% three-year CAGR) vs HSIE’s 11.2mn cases</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

United Spirits: UNSP posted a beat on our estimates, led by strong performance in P&amp;A segmentNet revenue was up 18% YoY (9% on three-year CAGR), led by P&amp;A, which was up 23% YoY (15% three-year CAGR; a much-improved CAGR than seen in recent years)P&amp;A volume, at 13mn cases, was up 14% YoY (6% three-year CAGR) vs HSIE’s 11.2mn casesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: United Spirits, Multi Commodity Exchange

India

Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited is an independent and de-mutualized exchange.  The Exchange has permanent recognition from the Government of India for facilitating online trading, clearing, and settlement operations for commodity futures markets across the country.

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Multi Commodity Exchange India (MCX IN)

Multi Commodity Exchange - Options Drive, Tech Drags. Maintain BUY

MCX growth has been driven by a surge in options volume but uncertainty around the technology shift timeline remains the key overhang

HDFC Securities

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet - Soft Landing

MCX revenue is expected to decline by 6.8% QoQ, mainly due to a decline in futures volume and flat options revenue (a drop in effective realisation...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Dalmia Bharat, Sundaram Finance, Apollo Tyres

Dalmia Bharat: We maintain our BUY rating on Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARA), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,440/sh (13x its Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)

HDFC Securities

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet - Mixed Bag

We prefer MCX in the exchanges space, aided by continued traction in options volume, healthy new product pipeline (index and mini contracts) and...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: United Spirits, Multi Commodity Exchange

Net revenue was up 18% YoY (9% on three-year CAGR), led by P&A, which was up 23% YoY (15% three-year CAGR; a much-improved CAGR than seen in recent...

HDFC Securities

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