Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The dramatic defeat of PM May's Brexit arrangement with the EU was seen by the markets as a positive development. Apparently the markets believe that this could result in Britain remaining in the EU.While we agree this would be good news we consider it unlikely without many more months or years of uncertainty as another referendum is organized and implemented.Romania: GDP in Q3 grew 4.4% y/y, up from 4.1% in Q2. The country’s economy is doing better than most EU countries. Brazil: The CPI in Dec rose 3.7%, down from 4.05% in Nov. Lowest rate since May, as prices slowed for food and fuel. India: The trade deficit in Dec narrowed to $13.1 bn. Exports rose a meager 0.3% and imports fell 2.44%. GDP growth of 7% is expected for this year and next..

The dramatic defeat of PM May's Brexit arrangement with the EU was seen by the markets as a positive development. Apparently the markets believe that this could result in Britain remaining in the EU.While we agree this would be good news we consider it unlikely without many more months or years of uncertainty as another referendum is organized and implemented.Romania: GDP in Q3 grew 4.4% y/y, up from 4.1% in Q2. The country’s economy is doing better than most EU countries. Brazil: The CPI in Dec rose 3.7%, down from 4.05% in Nov. Lowest rate since May, as prices slowed for food and fuel. India: The trade deficit in Dec narrowed to $13.1 bn. Exports rose a meager 0.3% and imports fell 2.44%. GDP growth of 7% is expected for this year and next..

RRG Global Macro Weekly - Dramatic Brexit Defeat A Positive for Markets? We Are Not So Sanguine

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index / Technical Analysis

The following update was issued over the weekend which outlines our more bullish view on Korea and stocks we like in Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong as we add on more risk in Asia.To view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/9pmBn3nOBAuH" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/9pmBn3nOBAuH</a>6:58 min. <figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/033/713/original/CPG%20INSERT.png?1505712387" data-smartkarma-image-id="33713"></figure><div class="content-caption">Long stock bets</div>Korea - In last Thursday's Asian update in our macro product, we had our finger on the trigger to buy Korea given the odds of breaking above 312.25 out of the flat congestive pattern (upside breakout). We are short from 319 and…

The following update was issued over the weekend which outlines our more bullish view on Korea and stocks we like in Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong as we add on more risk in Asia.To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/9pmBn3nOBAuH6:58 min. Long stock betsKorea - In last Thursday's Asian update in our macro product, we had our finger on the trigger to buy Korea given the odds of breaking above 312.25 out of the flat congestive pattern (upside breakout). We are short from 319 and…

Where We Are Adding Risk in Asia - Korea Focus

Head of Research at Fusion Wealth Management Ltd

Michael McGaughy

Are Taiwan's headline index and US listed ETF breaking through a long-term resistance level? As seen in the charts below, both the Taiex and Taiwan ETF seem to have been breaking through a long term - 16 year - horizontal resistance line. Taiwan's a big part of the Asian and Emerging Market ETFs/indexes so there could be additional re-weighting/tactical/index implications for this (my data set only goes back 16-years).Take it all with a large dose of salt. I'm much more of a fundamental…

Are Taiwan's headline index and US listed ETF breaking through a long-term resistance level? As seen in the charts below, both the Taiex and Taiwan ETF seem to have been breaking through a long term - 16 year - horizontal resistance line. Taiwan's a big part of the Asian and Emerging Market ETFs/indexes so there could be additional re-weighting/tactical/index implications for this (my data set only goes back 16-years).Take it all with a large dose of salt. I'm much more of a fundamental…

<div>Chartonics webcast</div>Saturday 15 April 2017Weak US CPI and retail sales data should be enough to tip the scales to induce continued weakness in the S&amp;P down to 2,290. After buying some volatility last Thursday we would step up short exposure (small caps the favored short with rotation expected into defensive sectors like utilities) and sell the US financials position and adjust accordingly assuming we continue below S&amp;P 2,333 early this week. This will have a ripple effect into European and Asian…

Chartonics webcastSaturday 15 April 2017Weak US CPI and retail sales data should be enough to tip the scales to induce continued weakness in the S&amp;P down to 2,290. After buying some volatility last Thursday we would step up short exposure (small caps the favored short with rotation expected into defensive sectors like utilities) and sell the US financials position and adjust accordingly assuming we continue below S&amp;P 2,333 early this week. This will have a ripple effect into European and Asian…

Asia Pressure - Australian Material Shares and Vulnerable Indexes

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Technical Analysis

Chartonics webcast Friday 17 March 2017Asia webcast - To view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/fPdF7dlK" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.screencast.com/t/fPdF7dlK&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1489835728351000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGVwCb99dTobliQ6IIapOkOv1zKjg">http://www.screencast.com/t/fPdF7dlK</a> 10:39 min<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/022/759/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1489749459" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="22759"></figure><div class="content-caption">Asian equity additions webcast</div>*The webcast follows a different order of markets.Fresh long themesIndonesia and Philippines show the best risk to reward currently followed by Thailand and Korea on weakness. We hate to chase India but will try to add in below 9,100 with a tight stop.Thailand (reverse from short to long on a dip) – Wedge looking more bullish. We need to…

Chartonics webcast Friday 17 March 2017Asia webcast - To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/fPdF7dlK 10:39 minAsian equity additions webcast*The webcast follows a different order of markets.Fresh long themesIndonesia and Philippines show the best risk to reward currently followed by Thailand and Korea on weakness. We hate to chase India but will try to add in below 9,100 with a tight stop.Thailand (reverse from short to long on a dip) – Wedge looking more bullish. We need to…

Taiwan

The MSCI Taiwan Index is a free-float weighted equity index. It was developed with a base value of 100 as of December 31 1987.

MSCI Taiwan Index (TAMSCI INDEX)

RRG Global Macro Weekly - Dramatic Brexit Defeat A Positive for Markets? We Are Not So Sanguine

The dramatic defeat of PM May's Brexit arrangement with the EU was seen by the markets as a positive development. Apparently the markets believe...

David Riedel

Where We Are Adding Risk in Asia - Korea Focus

The following update was issued over the weekend which outlines our more bullish view on Korea and stocks we like in Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong as...

Thomas Schroeder

Taiex and EWT: Breakout in Taiwan?

Are Taiwan's headline index and US listed ETF breaking through a long-term resistance level? As seen in the charts below, both the Taiex and Taiwan...

Michael McGaughy

Asia Pressure - Australian Material Shares and Vulnerable Indexes

Chartonics webcastSaturday 15 April 2017Weak US CPI and retail sales data should be enough to tip the scales to induce continued weakness in the...

Thomas Schroeder

Asia Long Additions

Chartonics webcast Friday 17 March 2017Asia webcast - To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/fPdF7dlK 10:39 min*The webcast...

Thomas Schroeder