Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>China recently escalated restrictions on the export of rare earths. Not just to the US as the two global players go toe-to-toe on tariffs; but to all countries.</li>
<li>China’s latest round of restrictions target critical materials used in defense, electronics, and EVs.</li>
<li>Apart from China, the world's largest refining - not just the largest miner - who else refines rare earth elements, specifically heavy rare earths?</li>
</ul>


China recently escalated restrictions on the export of rare earths. Not just to the US as the two global players go toe-to-toe on tariffs; but to all countries.
China’s latest round of restrictions target critical materials used in defense, electronics, and EVs.
Apart from China, the world's largest refining - not just the largest miner - who else refines rare earth elements, specifically heavy rare earths?


Know Your Rare Earth Elements As China Restricts Exports

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/standard-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38824:1" rel="noopener">Standard Lithium (SLI US)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-rare-earth-strategic-me" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32320:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US)</a> at the close of trading on 21 March.</li>
<li>The constituent change, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 8.9% and in a round-trip trade of US$61m.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albemarle-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7678:1" rel="noopener">Albemarle (ALB US)</a> while there will be outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mp-materials-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33108:1" rel="noopener">MP Materials (MP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas Corp (LYC AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Standard Lithium (SLI US) will be deleted from the VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US) at the close of trading on 21 March.
The constituent change, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 8.9% and in a round-trip trade of US$61m.
The largest inflows will be in Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) and Albemarle (ALB US) while there will be outflows from MP Materials (MP US) and Lynas Corp (LYC AU).


MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: One Delete & Other Changes

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Lynas, a six and a half billion dollar mining company, faced challenges in their half yearly results with higher unit costs and a significant decrease in cash position.</li><li>The company's cash reserves have diminished by over $200 million, raising concerns about the sustainability of their operations in the current rare earths price environment.</li><li>Expansion projects in Mount Weld and Kalgoorlie are ongoing, with potential impacts on future financial performance and the need for additional financing options.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Lynas, a six and a half billion dollar mining company, faced challenges in their half yearly results with higher unit costs and a significant decrease in cash position.The company's cash reserves have diminished by over $200 million, raising concerns about the sustainability of their operations in the current rare earths price environment.Expansion projects in Mount Weld and Kalgoorlie are ongoing, with potential impacts on future financial performance and the need for additional financing options.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Will depressed prices force a Lynas raising?

Vulcan Energy Resources / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vulcan-energy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30774:1" rel="noopener">Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL AU)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-rare-earth-strategic-me" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32320:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US)</a> while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianqi-lithium-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)</a> will be deleted from the index.</li>
<li>Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 2.5% and in a round-trip trade of US$37m.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vulcan-energy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30774:1" rel="noopener">Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ganfeng-lithium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26795:1" rel="noopener">Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tronox-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6778:1" rel="noopener">Tronox Holdings (TROX US)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL AU) will be added to the VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US) while Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK) will be deleted from the index.
Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 2.5% and in a round-trip trade of US$37m.
The largest inflows will be in Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL AU), Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU), Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK) and Tronox Holdings (TROX US). 


MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: One Add, One Delete & Other Changes

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index was up 3.5% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 0.6%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 0.1%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 1.1%).</li><li>Energy Technology (13.5% of the index) was up 3.3%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (46.3% of the index) was up 1.1%, ClimateTech Mining was up 4.2%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.0% of index) was up 8.4%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: VIHD, NNOMF, WAVE, EGT, NVVE, CPWHF, VLI, XPEV, MP, DNMR</li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 3.5% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 0.6%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 0.1%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 1.1%).Energy Technology (13.5% of the index) was up 3.3%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (46.3% of the index) was up 1.1%, ClimateTech Mining was up 4.2%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.0% of index) was up 8.4%.Top 10 Performers: VIHD, NNOMF, WAVE, EGT, NVVE, CPWHF, VLI, XPEV, MP, DNMR

Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Atlas Lithium Corporation (ATLX)

United States

MP Materials Corp. produces and markets rare earth specialty materials. The Company is building a fully-integrated supply chain for high strength permanent magnets for the electrification and sustainability industries.

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MP Materials Corp (MP US)

Know Your Rare Earth Elements As China Restricts Exports

As the world largest non-PRC rare-earth refiner, don't bet against Lynas as a strategic long-term supplier of critical materials in modern energy,...

David Blennerhassett

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: One Delete & Other Changes

Standard Lithium is a delete. Estimated one-way turnover of 8.9% results in a round-trip trade of US$61m. Pilbara Minerals is a passive buy...

Brian Freitas

Will depressed prices force a Lynas raising?

Linus faces challenges with low rare earth prices, cash flow concerns, and the need for additional financing to support its operations and...

Money of Mine

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: One Add, One Delete & Other Changes

Vulcan Energy is an add and Tianqi Lithium is a delete. Estimated one-way turnover is 2.5% and the round-trip trade is US$37m. Vulcan is up a lot...

Brian Freitas

Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Atlas Lithium Corporation (ATLX)

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 3.5% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 0.6%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 0.1%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 1.1%).

Water Tower Research

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52-week Range

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Know Your Rare Earth Elements As China Restricts Exports

As the world largest non-PRC rare-earth refiner, don't bet against Lynas as a strategic long-term supplier of critical materials in modern energy,...

David Blennerhassett

MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: One Delete & Other Changes

Standard Lithium is a delete. Estimated one-way turnover of 8.9% results in a round-trip trade of US$61m. Pilbara Minerals is a passive buy...

Brian Freitas

Will depressed prices force a Lynas raising?

Linus faces challenges with low rare earth prices, cash flow concerns, and the need for additional financing to support its operations and...

Money of Mine

MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: One Add, One Delete & Other Changes

Vulcan Energy is an add and Tianqi Lithium is a delete. Estimated one-way turnover is 2.5% and the round-trip trade is US$37m. Vulcan is up a lot...

Brian Freitas

Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Atlas Lithium Corporation (ATLX)

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 3.5% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 0.6%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 0.1%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 1.1%).

Water Tower Research

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: One Delete & Other Changes

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: One Add, One Delete & Other Changes