Research from Asian Century Stocks, Asian Century Stocks

Michael Fritzell

Research from Asian Century Stocks

Providing financial journalism in the Asia-Pacific

Asian Century Stocks

Asian Century Stocks is a newsletter providing financial journalism for companies and stocks in the Asia-Pacific. 
The Asian Century Stocks logotype “百” stands for “one hundred” or a “century”. The economic centre of gravity is moving towards Asia. Yet most global investors are missing out.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

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<li>The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems.</li>
<li>There should be plenty of opportunities for IVF clinic operators, including for Jinxin Fertility which may benefit if the Chinese government introduces subsidies for IVF procedures. But the acquisitive nature of many IVF-related companies has caused their returns on equity and earnings per share growth to be weak.</li>
<li>One stock that trades at a low multiple with fat profit margins is Organon, though be aware of its ongoing patent cliffs, which may be the reason it was spun off in the first place.</li>
</ul>


The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems.
There should be plenty of opportunities for IVF clinic operators, including for Jinxin Fertility which may benefit if the Chinese government introduces subsidies for IVF procedures. But the acquisitive nature of many IVF-related companies has caused their returns on equity and earnings per share growth to be weak.
One stock that trades at a low multiple with fat profit margins is Organon, though be aware of its ongoing patent cliffs, which may be the reason it was spun off in the first place.


Director, RaaS Advisory, Research as a Service (RaaS)

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Director, RaaS Advisory

Insightful Financial Models and Research Analysis

Connect to the right investors through smart and insightful financial models and research analysis.

Equity Bottom-Up

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<h2>Monash IVF Group Ltd</h2>
<h3>Increased volumes and market-share gains</h3>
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<p>Monash IVF (ASX:MVF) is an assisted reproductive services (ARS) and specialised women’s imaging services company with operations in VIC, QLD, SA, NT, ACT, NSW, Singapore and Malaysia, and a growth strategy underway in SE Asia. MVF is focused on tapping into the recent trends of a focus on family, increasing maternal age, growth in service offerings and new technologies, and stable and continued government funding for IVF affordability, and testing and diagnosis of genetic diseases. These trends have led to the H1 FY22 results which indicate growth in market share and revenue. MVF experienced 11% revenue growth following 3.6% IVF industry growth, 0.7% market share growth and 2-3% average price increases which was partly offset by revenue decline in its international business. The primary product, IVF stimulated cycles increased by 6.6% compared to pcp with activity growing in all domestic markets. New patient registrations, an indicator for future growth, grew 11% in H1 FY22 compared to H1 FY21. MVF declared a 2.2cps dividend in the half. Adjusted NPAT of $13.4m grew 11.7% compared to the pcp, notwithstanding negative COVID-19-related impacts on the business due to Melbourne and Sydney health safety protocols, increased sick leave, lower annual leave taken and increased insurance expense.</p>
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<h3>Business model</h3>
<p>MVF aims for best-in-class fertility solutions, diagnostics, genetics and pathology globally, with a 2026 vision to be “the most admired reproductive care provider in the world”. Monash IVF consists of the IVF Group Australia and international divisions, as well as Ultrasound Scans, and Non-invasive Prenatal Testing (NIPT). Reporting segments include ARS Australia, ARS International, Diagnostics and Women’s Ultrasound. MVF has an expansion strategy in SE Asia, with a new Singapore IVF clinic due in H2 FY22 and an additional four fertility specialists in Singapore. MVF has both organic and non-organic growth aspirations including new clinic infrastructure and attraction of new clinicians as well as domestic and international non-organic opportunities. MVF is also focussed on developing new technologies through research and collaborations to support improved success rates, benefitting the industry.</p>
<h3>H1 FY22 commentary and milestones</h3>
<p>MVF had NPAT of A$13.4m in H1 FY22, which was above guidance of $13.0m, and declared a 2.2cps dividend. IVF’s cycle growth for the domestic business responded to favourable industry conditions, including a focus on family health and wellbeing, advancing maternal age, and innovation in technology. Adjusted EBITDA was up 8.5% to $26.8m, while margins declined slightly primarily due to increased costs related to COVID-19-related impacts and insurances. The Diagnostic Ultrasound and International IVF businesses were negatively impacted by COVID-19 regulations, staffing and movement restrictions. In H1 FY22, Australian IVF patient treatments were up 10% and international treatments down 17.3%. The $40m syndicated debt facility was extended by three years until December 2024.</p>
<h3>Sector is well placed - corporate activity continuing</h3>
<p>Virtus Health (ASX:VRT), which provides fertility care and specialised diagnostic and day hospital services across Australia, Ireland, Denmark, Singapore and the UK, has had an unsolicited takeover offer from BGH Capital and separately a proposal from CapVest Partners. In addition, Healius Ltd’s low cost IVF business, Adora IVF has been publicly for sale. MVF is currently the second largest ASX-listed ARS provider and is actively seeking non- organic growth opportunities, which may become more prevalent with competition potentially delayed by integration following any takeover.</p>
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Monash IVF Group Ltd
Increased volumes and market-share gains





Monash IVF (ASX:MVF) is an assisted reproductive services (ARS) and specialised women’s imaging services company with operations in VIC, QLD, SA, NT, ACT, NSW, Singapore and Malaysia, and a growth strategy underway in SE Asia. MVF is focused on tapping into the recent trends of a focus on family, increasing maternal age, growth in service offerings and new technologies, and stable and continued government funding for IVF affordability, and testing and diagnosis of genetic diseases. These trends have led to the H1 FY22 results which indicate growth in market share and revenue. MVF experienced 11% revenue growth following 3.6% IVF industry growth, 0.7% market share growth and 2-3% average price increases which was partly offset by revenue decline in its international business. The primary product, IVF stimulated cycles increased by 6.6% compared to pcp with activity growing in all domestic markets. New patient registrations, an indicator for future growth, grew 11% in H1 FY22 compared to H1 FY21. MVF declared a 2.2cps dividend in the half. Adjusted NPAT of $13.4m grew 11.7% compared to the pcp, notwithstanding negative COVID-19-related impacts on the business due to Melbourne and Sydney health safety protocols, increased sick leave, lower annual leave taken and increased insurance expense.





Business model
MVF aims for best-in-class fertility solutions, diagnostics, genetics and pathology globally, with a 2026 vision to be “the most admired reproductive care provider in the world”. Monash IVF consists of the IVF Group Australia and international divisions, as well as Ultrasound Scans, and Non-invasive Prenatal Testing (NIPT). Reporting segments include ARS Australia, ARS International, Diagnostics and Women’s Ultrasound. MVF has an expansion strategy in SE Asia, with a new Singapore IVF clinic due in H2 FY22 and an additional four fertility specialists in Singapore. MVF has both organic and non-organic growth aspirations including new clinic infrastructure and attraction of new clinicians as well as domestic and international non-organic opportunities. MVF is also focussed on developing new technologies through research and collaborations to support improved success rates, benefitting the industry.
H1 FY22 commentary and milestones
MVF had NPAT of A$13.4m in H1 FY22, which was above guidance of $13.0m, and declared a 2.2cps dividend. IVF’s cycle growth for the domestic business responded to favourable industry conditions, including a focus on family health and wellbeing, advancing maternal age, and innovation in technology. Adjusted EBITDA was up 8.5% to $26.8m, while margins declined slightly primarily due to increased costs related to COVID-19-related impacts and insurances. The Diagnostic Ultrasound and International IVF businesses were negatively impacted by COVID-19 regulations, staffing and movement restrictions. In H1 FY22, Australian IVF patient treatments were up 10% and international treatments down 17.3%. The $40m syndicated debt facility was extended by three years until December 2024.
Sector is well placed - corporate activity continuing
Virtus Health (ASX:VRT), which provides fertility care and specialised diagnostic and day hospital services across Australia, Ireland, Denmark, Singapore and the UK, has had an unsolicited takeover offer from BGH Capital and separately a proposal from CapVest Partners. In addition, Healius Ltd’s low cost IVF business, Adora IVF has been publicly for sale. MVF is currently the second largest ASX-listed ARS provider and is actively seeking non- organic growth opportunities, which may become more prevalent with competition potentially delayed by integration following any takeover.













Monash IVF Group Ltd - Increased Volumes and Market-Share Gains

Australia

Monash IVF Group Ltd. is a fertility research and treatment center. The Company researches and develops reproduction supportive medications.

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Monash IVF (MVF AU)

IVF: Secular Growth for Decades to Come.

The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems. There should be plenty of...

Asian Century Stocks

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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IVF: Secular Growth for Decades to Come.

The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems. There should be plenty of...

Asian Century Stocks

Monash IVF Group Ltd - Increased Volumes and Market-Share Gains

Monash IVF Group Ltd Increased volumes and market-share gains Monash IVF (ASX:MVF) is an assisted reproductive services (ARS) and...

Research as a Service (RaaS)