IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH)</a>, a leading freshly made tea drinks company, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$330 million. The shares will be listed on 23 April.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baicha-baidao-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136692" rel="noopener">Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baicha-baidao-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136734" rel="noopener">Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH), a leading freshly made tea drinks company, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$330 million. The shares will be listed on 23 April.
We previously discussed the IPO in Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bull Case and Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bear Case. 
There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.


Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial</a> is looking to raise up to US$330m in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial is looking to raise up to US$330m in its HK IPO.
SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.
We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations


Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO - Doesn’t Offer a Discount to Peers

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH)</a>, a leading freshly made tea drinks company, will launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$300 million next week, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baicha-baidao-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136692" rel="noopener">Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on pedestrian store KPIs, unsustainable historical growth rates, declining contract liabilities, and margin pressure reflecting a fiercely competitive market.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH), a leading freshly made tea drinks company, will launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$300 million next week, according to press reports.
In Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on pedestrian store KPIs, unsustainable historical growth rates, declining contract liabilities, and margin pressure reflecting a fiercely competitive market.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH)</a>, a leading freshly made tea drinks company, will launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$300 million next week, according to press reports. </li>
<li>Biacha is China’s third largest freshly-made tea shop company in terms of retail sales value in 2023, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on a rising market share, high revenue growth, sector-leading margins, cash generation and a strong balance sheet. </li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH), a leading freshly made tea drinks company, will launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$300 million next week, according to press reports. 
Biacha is China’s third largest freshly-made tea shop company in terms of retail sales value in 2023, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
The bull case rests on a rising market share, high revenue growth, sector-leading margins, cash generation and a strong balance sheet. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kayou" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40875:1" rel="noopener">Kayou</a> is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO.</li>
<li>Kayou is a Chinese pan-entertainment product retailer of toys, with trading cards in particular as its core product.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Kayou is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO.
Kayou is a Chinese pan-entertainment product retailer of toys, with trading cards in particular as its core product.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Kayou Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Unexplained 9M23 Slump

China

Mixue Group, also known as Mixue Bingcheng or Mixue Ice Cream & Tea, operates primarily in the Food and Beverage sector. Specifically, it is known for its chain of tea and ice cream shops, making it a part of the quick-service restaurant (QSR) and fast-food industry. The company offers a variety of desserts, beverages, and ice cream products and is particularly popular in China. Its business model and offerings place it squarely within the consumer foodservice sector, catering to the increasing demand for quick and affordable refreshment options.

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Mixue Group (MIX HK)

Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO - Doesn’t Offer a Discount to Peers

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial is looking to raise up to US$330m in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on pedestrian store KPIs, unsustainable historical growth rates, declining contract liabilities, and margin pressure reflecting...

Arun George

Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on a rising market share, high revenue growth, sector-leading margins, cash generation and a strong balance sheet.

Arun George

Kayou Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Unexplained 9M23 Slump

Kayou is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

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