Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year though that has been faded over the last couple of months. Breaking with history, there could be outperformance near-term.</li>
</ul>


There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year though that has been faded over the last couple of months. Breaking with history, there could be outperformance near-term.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: A Bunch of Chunky Adds & US$6bn Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li style="text-align: left;">Quiet week - no new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma ....</li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada Group (AND AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-gold-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36552:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cross Gold (SXG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandala-multifinance-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12756:1" rel="noopener">Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl (4921 JP)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Quiet week - no new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma ....
Key updates took place on Ansarada Group (AND AU), Southern Cross Gold (SXG AU), A8 New Media (800 HK), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ), and Fancl (4921 JP).



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A:Ansarada, Southern Cross Gold, A8 New Media, CPMC, Mandala Multifinance, Fancl

<ul>
<li>For the month of July 2024, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of July 2024, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2024: Canvest, Furukawa, Arvida, Advanced Info, Sermsuk, Thaicom

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, the coming week will see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS)</a> list, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akums-drugs-and-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40915:1" rel="noopener">Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals</a> books will open and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric</a> too might be launched.</li>
<li>On the placement front, the past week was relatively quiet after a few hectic weeks.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, the coming week will see Sanil Electric (062040 KS) list, while Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals books will open and Ola Electric too might be launched.
On the placement front, the past week was relatively quiet after a few hectic weeks.


ECM Weekly (29th July 2024) - ASICS, Kokusai, Amer, Hyundai, Timee, Sanil, Akum, Bloks, Ola Electric

<ul>
<li>Waaay back in June 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-ufj-financial-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:218:1" rel="noopener">MUFG (8306 JP)</a> and 92.7%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adira-dinamika-multi-finance-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3245:1" rel="noopener">Adira Dinamika (ADMF IJ)</a> entered into SPAs with key shareholders to acquire an 80.6% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandala-multifinance-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12756:1" rel="noopener">Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>MFIN's shareholders overwhelmingly approved the change of control at the 13th Feb EGM. OJK signing off was the next hurdle.</li>
<li>The Tender Offer is now open, at the (expected) price of  IDR 3,297/share. The close of the Offer is the 21st August, with payment on the 28th August. </li>
</ul>


Waaay back in June 2023, MUFG (8306 JP) and 92.7%-held Adira Dinamika (ADMF IJ) entered into SPAs with key shareholders to acquire an 80.6% stake in Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ).
MFIN's shareholders overwhelmingly approved the change of control at the 13th Feb EGM. OJK signing off was the next hurdle.
The Tender Offer is now open, at the (expected) price of  IDR 3,297/share. The close of the Offer is the 21st August, with payment on the 28th August. 


Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ): Offer Now Open

Japan

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG) is a holding company established through the merger of Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Group and UFJ Holdings. As a financial group, the Company provides a variety of financial and investment services including commercial banking, trust banking, international finance, and assets management services.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) ADR (MUFG US)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) ADR (MUFG US)

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: A Bunch of Chunky Adds & US$6bn Trade

There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn)....

Brian Freitas

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A:Ansarada, Southern Cross Gold, A8 New Media, CPMC, Mandala Multifinance, Fancl

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2024: Canvest, Furukawa, Arvida, Advanced Info, Sermsuk, Thaicom

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.

David Blennerhassett

ECM Weekly (29th July 2024) - ASICS, Kokusai, Amer, Hyundai, Timee, Sanil, Akum, Bloks, Ola Electric

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ): Offer Now Open

The Tender Offer is now open, at the (expected) price of IDR 3,297/share. The close of the Offer is the 21st August, with payment on the 28th August.

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)