Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>While Ecopro Co's stock has undergone significant corrections since August, KB Financial has sustained an upward trajectory, leading to a significant reversal in float-adjusted market cap.</li>
<li>The current disparity between the two exceeds ₩2T, making it challenging to anticipate another reversal until the screening period.</li>
<li>Ecopro Co and LG Energy Solution also warrant attention due to the narrow gap in their float-adjusted market capitalization. We should monitor any changes in their market capitalization moving forward.</li>
</ul>


While Ecopro Co's stock has undergone significant corrections since August, KB Financial has sustained an upward trajectory, leading to a significant reversal in float-adjusted market cap.
The current disparity between the two exceeds ₩2T, making it challenging to anticipate another reversal until the screening period.
Ecopro Co and LG Energy Solution also warrant attention due to the narrow gap in their float-adjusted market capitalization. We should monitor any changes in their market capitalization moving forward.


A Shift in TIGER Top 10 ETF December Rebalancing: KB Financial Newly In But Not Ecopro Co

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mirae-asset-tiger-top-10-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36042:1" rel="noopener">Mirae Asset Tiger Top 10 ETF (292150 KS)</a> tracks the FnGuide Top 10 Index and has an AUM of over US$1bn.</li>
<li>We currently forecast one potential change at the next rebalance in December. There is another set of changes that could also take place.</li>
<li>There has been a big increase in short interest on a couple of stocks while the rise has been more gradual on the other stocks.</li>
</ul>


The Mirae Asset Tiger Top 10 ETF (292150 KS) tracks the FnGuide Top 10 Index and has an AUM of over US$1bn.
We currently forecast one potential change at the next rebalance in December. There is another set of changes that could also take place.
There has been a big increase in short interest on a couple of stocks while the rise has been more gradual on the other stocks.


FnGuide Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Good Historical Performance; One Potential Change in December

Mirae Asset Tiger Top 10 ETF / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Celltrion and Posco Holdings will switch places. Although there is still time until the screening period, the market capitalization gap between them has already widened significantly.</li>
<li>Posco Holdings will likely welcome a passive inflow of 0.44x ADTV, whereas Celltrion is expected to face outflows of around 0.69x ADTV.</li>
<li>Ecopro BM entered the Top 20 (preliminary screening table) with a YTD stock price increase of 130%, becoming the first KOSDAQ-listed company to do so.</li>
</ul>


Celltrion and Posco Holdings will switch places. Although there is still time until the screening period, the market capitalization gap between them has already widened significantly.
Posco Holdings will likely welcome a passive inflow of 0.44x ADTV, whereas Celltrion is expected to face outflows of around 0.69x ADTV.
Ecopro BM entered the Top 20 (preliminary screening table) with a YTD stock price increase of 130%, becoming the first KOSDAQ-listed company to do so.


Long Short Setup Candidate: Posco Holdings & Celltrion with TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing

<ul>
<li>At this point, one constituent change is expected, and LG Chem is expected to replace KT&amp;G.</li>
<li>The return of the equal-weighted long/short basket trade for the constituent changes in the past two years was recorded from 2.3% to 3.8%.</li>
<li>Both LG Chem and KT&amp;G are expected to have a significant rebalancing flow impact. It can be an event that brings a juicy day trading return.</li>
</ul>


At this point, one constituent change is expected, and LG Chem is expected to replace KT&amp;G.
The return of the equal-weighted long/short basket trade for the constituent changes in the past two years was recorded from 2.3% to 3.8%.
Both LG Chem and KT&amp;G are expected to have a significant rebalancing flow impact. It can be an event that brings a juicy day trading return.


Introducing KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing Event

Mirae Asset TIGER Fn Metaverse / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As for the one using the creation/redemption mechanism, the tracking error (market value - NAV) is still too tight to call this an arbitrage opening.</li>
<li>Then, at this point, we need to pay attention to ETF arbitrage from a pair trade perspective. There are a total of 3 pairs we can consider for this.</li>
<li>The mean reversion cycle is still not short. However, the diversion range is not extensive, so we can aim for a relatively stable setup in a market with increased volatility.</li>
</ul>


As for the one using the creation/redemption mechanism, the tracking error (market value - NAV) is still too tight to call this an arbitrage opening.
Then, at this point, we need to pay attention to ETF arbitrage from a pair trade perspective. There are a total of 3 pairs we can consider for this.
The mean reversion cycle is still not short. However, the diversion range is not extensive, so we can aim for a relatively stable setup in a market with increased volatility.


ETF Arbitrage in Korea: Names Suitable for Pair Trades

South Korea

Mirae Asset Tiger Top 10 ETF is an Exchange Traded Fund established in South Korea.  The ETF's objective is to track the performance of the FnGuide TOP 10 Index.

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Mirae Asset Tiger Top 10 ETF (292150 KS)

A Shift in TIGER Top 10 ETF December Rebalancing: KB Financial Newly In But Not Ecopro Co

This article examines a significant change observed in the TIGER Top 10 ETF December rebalancing, with KB Financial replacing Celltrion, as opposed...

Sanghyun Park

FnGuide Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Good Historical Performance; One Potential Change in December

A long add/short delete trade has performed well historically. Currently, there is one add/delete pair in Dec; that could increase to two. Short...

Brian Freitas

Long Short Setup Candidate: Posco Holdings & Celltrion with TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing

TIGER Top 10 ETF's upcoming rebalancing, scheduled for June 9, presents a feasible long short trade setup on Posco Holdings and Celltrion.

Sanghyun Park

Introducing KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing Event

KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF rebalancing will likely feature one constituent change, which can deliver a juicy day trading return.

Sanghyun Park

ETF Arbitrage in Korea: Names Suitable for Pair Trades

This post investigates ETF arbitrage in Korea, with a particular focus on the names suitable for pair trades, which can be another feasible...

Sanghyun Park

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