Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.1% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds and deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> have performed in line since August and the current setup appears attractive.</li>
</ul>


With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI 500 Index at the close on 14 June.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.1% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn.
The potential adds and deletes and the CSI 500 Index have performed in line since August and the current setup appears attractive.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow

Jiangsu Zhongtian Technologies Co, Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, there could be 12 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 1.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.06bn. There are a lot of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There have been big ETF inflows to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers, but the potential adds have still outperformed the index and the potential deletes.</li>
</ul>


With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, there could be 12 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX) in June.
We estimate one-way turnover of 1.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.06bn. There are a lot of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
There have been big ETF inflows to the CSI 300 Index trackers, but the potential adds have still outperformed the index and the potential deletes.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes for June

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Shenzhen Senior Technology-A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-senior-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29612:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Senior Technology-A (300568 CH)</a> is looking to raise around US$275m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing. The bookrunner on the deal is Huatai International.</li>
<li>As per media reports, the firm was earlier looking to raise between US$300-400m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval earlier to sell up to 128m A-shares.</li>
<li>However, given its lackluster share price performance over the past year, the eventual deal size would be capped at around US$275m.</li>
</ul>



Shenzhen Senior Technology-A (300568 CH) is looking to raise around US$275m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing. The bookrunner on the deal is Huatai International.
As per media reports, the firm was earlier looking to raise between US$300-400m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval earlier to sell up to 128m A-shares.
However, given its lackluster share price performance over the past year, the eventual deal size would be capped at around US$275m.


Shenzhen Senior Tech GDR Listing - Early Look - Correction Leaves Its Valuation Palatable

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-lead-intelligent-equipmen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27971:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)</a> is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing.</li>
<li>As per media reports, Wuxi Lead was said to be looking to raise US$495m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval to sell up to 78.3m shares.</li>
<li>Given the decline in its share price over the year, the eventual deal size could come to around US$300m as of its current last close.</li>
</ul>



Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing.
As per media reports, Wuxi Lead was said to be looking to raise US$495m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval to sell up to 78.3m shares.
Given the decline in its share price over the year, the eventual deal size could come to around US$300m as of its current last close.


Wuxi Lead GDR Listing - Early Look - Another One in the Pipeline, Will Be Net Cash Post-Deal

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ZLAB: Laekna Therapeutics IPO’ed in HK with two AKT inhibitors. We believe it will complement PARP inhibitor (+)</li>
<li>LKNCY: COTTI Coffee opened its No.4k store，but may lack sustainability(/)</li>
<li>002202CH/601615CH：Siemens Gamesa’s wind turbine suffers quality recall, may benefit Chinese vendors (-)</li>
</ul>


ZLAB: Laekna Therapeutics IPO’ed in HK with two AKT inhibitors. We believe it will complement PARP inhibitor (+)
LKNCY: COTTI Coffee opened its No.4k store，but may lack sustainability(/)
002202CH/601615CH：Siemens Gamesa’s wind turbine suffers quality recall, may benefit Chinese vendors (-)


China TMT Update July 3-ZLAB/LKNCY/002202CH/601615CH: Laekna Therapeutics IPO’ed in HK

China

Ming Yang Smart Energy Group., Ltd. manufactures and distributes renewable energy equipment. The Company produces fans, fan blades, fan accessories, and other products. Ming Yang Smart Energy Group also operates power generation, power distribution, and other businesses.

Ming Yang Smart Energy Group L (601615 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Ming Yang Smart Energy Group L (601615 CH)

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow

We forecast 50 changes in June leading to one-way turnover of 9.1% and one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn. There will be over 1x ADV to trade on 28...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes for June

We forecast 12 changes for the CSI300 Index in June with a one-way turnover of 1.3% and one-way trade of US$703m. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Shenzhen Senior Tech GDR Listing - Early Look - Correction Leaves Its Valuation Palatable

Shenzhen Senior Tech just launched its US$66m GDR offering. In the base deal, 6.34m GDRs are on offer, at US$9.46–$10.44 each, representing a...

Clarence Chu

Wuxi Lead GDR Listing - Early Look - Another One in the Pipeline, Will Be Net Cash Post-Deal

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing, having secured approval to...

Clarence Chu

China TMT Update July 3-ZLAB/LKNCY/002202CH/601615CH: Laekna Therapeutics IPO’ed in HK

ZLAB: Laekna Therapeutics IPO’ed in HK. complement PARP inhibitor (+)；LKNCY: COTTI Coffee opened its No.4k store(/)002202CH/601615CH：Siemens...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)