Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.</li>
<li>Samsung has guided staff internally for a major slump in its semiconductor unit's operating profit.</li>
<li>Apple is pushing for price cuts amongst its suppliers due to weak end demand for its products.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.
Samsung has guided staff internally for a major slump in its semiconductor unit's operating profit.
Apple is pushing for price cuts amongst its suppliers due to weak end demand for its products.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Signs TSMC Winning the 3-Nm Battle Vs. Samsung, Apple Bargaining Down Suppliers

<ul>
<li>While most of the semi industry is reducing capex due to market weakness -- Samsung says it will still expand capacity next year.</li>
<li>China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.</li>
<li>TSMC in advanced talks to set up its first European production capacity in Germany.</li>
</ul>


While most of the semi industry is reducing capex due to market weakness -- Samsung says it will still expand capacity next year.
China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.
TSMC in advanced talks to set up its first European production capacity in Germany.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Will Keep Expanding Capacity, China Chip Restrictions Tighten Further

<ul>
<li>Micron's recent results, where it showed a major margin slide and swung to a net loss, imply weak results ahead for Nanya Tech.</li>
<li>We believe that Nanya's FY2023E consensus figures are likely to be revised down.</li>
<li>We see more downside risk ahead for Nanya Tech shares, and will await lower levels before buying based on deep-value.</li>
</ul>


Micron's recent results, where it showed a major margin slide and swung to a net loss, imply weak results ahead for Nanya Tech.
We believe that Nanya's FY2023E consensus figures are likely to be revised down.
We see more downside risk ahead for Nanya Tech shares, and will await lower levels before buying based on deep-value.


Nanya Technology: Consensus Numbers Likely Too High, Net Loss Potential

Semiconductor Analysis & Research, Ingenuity

Semicon Alpha

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

<ul><li>Micron yesterday announced FQ1 revenues of $4.1 billion, , down 39% sequentially and down 47% year over year.</li><li>This was still within the forecasted range, albeit at the very low end of the scale.</li><li>Gross margin came in at 22.9%, down approximately 17 percentage points sequentially, primarily due to lower pricing.</li></ul>

Micron yesterday announced FQ1 revenues of $4.1 billion, , down 39% sequentially and down 47% year over year.This was still within the forecasted range, albeit at the very low end of the scale.Gross margin came in at 22.9%, down approximately 17 percentage points sequentially, primarily due to lower pricing.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Micron's earnings call gives a good advanced warning of similar companies' reports</li>
<li>The company's downturn is the worst in the past 13 years</li>
<li>Not all chip companies will suffer this downturn, and few will do as badly as commodity memory makers.  Tool makers will feel the impact next year.</li>
</ul>


Micron's earnings call gives a good advanced warning of similar companies' reports
The company's downturn is the worst in the past 13 years
Not all chip companies will suffer this downturn, and few will do as badly as commodity memory makers.  Tool makers will feel the impact next year.


United States

Micron Technology, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets dynamic random access memory chips (DRAMs), very fast static random access memory chips (SRAMs), Flash Memory, other semiconductor components, and memory modules.

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Micron Technology (MU US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Signs TSMC Winning the 3-Nm Battle Vs. Samsung, Apple Bargaining Down Suppliers

TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Will Keep Expanding Capacity, China Chip Restrictions Tighten Further

China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Nanya Technology: Consensus Numbers Likely Too High, Net Loss Potential

Micron's recent results imply more downside risk ahead for Nanya Tech shares, and we will await lower levels before buying based on deep-value.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron's FQ1 23 Earnings. Yikes!

Micron yesterday announced FQ1 revenues of $4.1 billion, , down 39% sequentially and down 47% year over year. This was still within the forecasted...

Semicon Alpha

Micron Earnings Give Semi Market Outlook

Micron's just-announced revenues indicate trouble today for its peers and trouble next year for tool makers, but other sectors should fare much...

Jim Handy

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