Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss another 100 billion won worth of treasury shares cancellation just announced by Meritz Securities (008560 KS). </li>
<li>This share cancellation could potentially offset the recent controversies surrounding the FSS investigating the Meritz Asset Management CEO John Lee.</li>
<li>After the market close today, Meritz Securities announced that it plans to cancel 20.08 million treasury shares worth 100 billion won, representing 3% of outstanding shares. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss another 100 billion won worth of treasury shares cancellation just announced by Meritz Securities (008560 KS). 
This share cancellation could potentially offset the recent controversies surrounding the FSS investigating the Meritz Asset Management CEO John Lee.
After the market close today, Meritz Securities announced that it plans to cancel 20.08 million treasury shares worth 100 billion won, representing 3% of outstanding shares. 


Meritz Securities: Another Major Treasury Shares Cancellation

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>I screened those local buybacks in Korea with a market cap of +₩300B. I further selected those whose buyback volume exceeds 0.5% of SO and buyback completion is below 50%.</li>
<li>I then narrowed them down to those whose buybacks will likely be completed within 30 trading days with a daily buyback x ADTV of 0.15x or higher.</li>
<li>As a result, I obtained nine names: Hwasung Industrial, SK Chemicals, Meritz Securities, Huons Global, Daishin Securities, E-Mart, Meritz Financial Group, Meritz Fire, &amp; Hwaseung Industries
</li>
</ul>


I screened those local buybacks in Korea with a market cap of +₩300B. I further selected those whose buyback volume exceeds 0.5% of SO and buyback completion is below 50%.
I then narrowed them down to those whose buybacks will likely be completed within 30 trading days with a daily buyback x ADTV of 0.15x or higher.
As a result, I obtained nine names: Hwasung Industrial, SK Chemicals, Meritz Securities, Huons Global, Daishin Securities, E-Mart, Meritz Financial Group, Meritz Fire, &amp; Hwaseung Industries



KOSPI/KOSDAQ Buybacks in Progress: Those with High Daily Flow Screened

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 17 January 2022, we recommended going long on Korea Investment Holdings and going short on Meritz Financial Group. </li>
<li>We would close out this pair trade as it has returned 12% (net gains), as of 3 February. </li>
<li>We now see a better pair trade of going long Korea Investment Holdings &amp; short Meritz Securities. </li>
</ul>


On 17 January 2022, we recommended going long on Korea Investment Holdings and going short on Meritz Financial Group. 
We would close out this pair trade as it has returned 12% (net gains), as of 3 February. 
We now see a better pair trade of going long Korea Investment Holdings &amp; short Meritz Securities. 


Close Out the Pair Trade of KIH & MFG and Initiate a New Pair Trade Between KIH & Meritz Securities

<ul>
<li>The upcoming rebalancing should feature a total of 12 constituents having a ±5%p free float change: eight members with +5%p or greater and four members with -5%p or harsher.</li>
<li>It seems better to outright trade individual liquidity-rich stocks: SK Bioscience, SKIET, Kakao Bank, and Krafton.</li>
<li>Considering that SKIET's recent share price correction was severe, we may want to take a relatively long trading window for SKIET while taking a tighter approach to the rest.</li>
</ul>


The upcoming rebalancing should feature a total of 12 constituents having a ±5%p free float change: eight members with +5%p or greater and four members with -5%p or harsher.
It seems better to outright trade individual liquidity-rich stocks: SK Bioscience, SKIET, Kakao Bank, and Krafton.
Considering that SKIET's recent share price correction was severe, we may want to take a relatively long trading window for SKIET while taking a tighter approach to the rest.


KOSPI 200 December Rebalancing: Constituents with a Substantial Free Float Change

Strong earnings stocks can protect investors against inflation risk.So, I examined the first-quarter operating profits of all the KOSPI stocks and by how far they beat the local street consensus (compiled by FnGuide).For this, I used the following filters:
1Q21 operating profit beat the local market consensus by 10% or higher.
1Q21 operating profit exceeded ₩50B.
1Q21 operating profit increased year over year.
A total of 59 KOSPI stocks satisfy these filters, as shown below, which potentially serve as an inflation-hedged stock for a basket trade.









Name
Ticker
1Q21 operating profit
1Q21 consensus operating profit
Earnings surprise as a % of consensus


KB Financial Group Inc
105560
₩1,747.2B
₩1,450.5B
20.46%


Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd.
055550
₩1,682.4B
₩1,477.7B
13.85%


POSCO
005490
₩1,552.4B
₩1,286.8B
20.64%


LG Electronics Inc.
066570
₩1,516.6B
₩1,202.6B
26.11%


LG Chem Ltd
051910
₩1,408.1B
₩1,009.6B
39.47%


Samsung Life Insurance co., Ltd
032830
₩1,334.4B
₩858.8B
55.38%


Hana Financial Group Inc
086790
₩1,075.8B
₩967.3B
11.21%


LG Corp
003550
₩1,000.9B
₩704.0B
42.17%


Woori Financial Group Inc
316140
₩933.3B
₩803.4B
16.17%


Hanwha Corp
000880
₩848.5B
₩365.7B
131.99%


Industrial Bank of Korea
024110
₩780.3B
₩636.7B
22.56%


GS Holdings Corp
078930
₩706.4B
₩483.3B
46.17%


S Oil Corp
010950
₩629.2B
₩340.9B
84.60%


Lotte Chemical Corp
011170
₩623.8B
₩494.7B
26.10%


Kumho Petro Chemical Co Ltd
011780
₩612.5B
₩445.3B
37.56%


Hyundai Heavy Industries Holdings Co Ltd
267250
₩534.3B
₩300.7B
77.69%


SK Innovation Co Ltd
096770
₩502.5B
₩378.2B
32.87%


KT Corp
030200
₩444.2B
₩386.9B
14.80%


Samsung Securities Co Ltd
016360
₩399.4B
₩338.8B
17.87%


SK Telecom Co Ltd
017670
₩388.8B
₩345.8B
12.44%


CJ Cheiljedang Corp
097950
₩385.1B
₩327.5B
17.58%


NH Investment &amp; Securities Co Ltd
005940
₩374.4B
₩300.0B
24.82%


Hyundai Steel Co
004020
₩303.9B
₩174.8B
73.88%


Samsung C&amp;T Corp
028260
₩302.6B
₩231.6B
30.67%


Doosan Infracore Co Ltd
042670
₩295.4B
₩242.0B
22.04%


MERITZ SECURITIES CO LTD
008560
₩284.7B
₩221.0B
28.80%


LG Uplus Corp
032640
₩275.6B
₩237.5B
16.05%


Hanwha Solutions Corp
009830
₩254.6B
₩229.1B
11.12%


Hyosung TNC Corp
298020
₩246.8B
₩185.5B
33.05%


Daewoo Engineering &amp; Construction Co Ltd
047040
₩229.4B
₩150.1B
52.79%


Samsung SDS Co Ltd
018260
₩217.1B
₩194.7B
11.50%


Hyundai Engineering &amp; Construction Co.
000720
₩200.9B
₩171.3B
17.30%


DL E&amp;C Ord Shs
375500
₩199.8B
₩154.5B
29.29%


Amorepacific Group
002790
₩197.7B
₩146.3B
35.10%


Hankook Tire &amp; Technology Co Ltd
161390
₩186.0B
₩166.4B
11.82%


Samsung Card Co Ltd
029780
₩185.3B
₩149.9B
23.60%


DGB Financial Group Co Ltd
139130
₩178.4B
₩159.9B
11.58%


JB Financial Group Co Ltd
175330
₩177.8B
₩151.6B
17.35%


Amorepacific Corp
090430
₩176.2B
₩146.6B
20.20%


Doosan Bobcat Inc
241560
₩171.3B
₩120.3B
42.42%


Coway Co Ltd
021240
₩170.7B
₩150.0B
13.82%


Shinsegae Inc
004170
₩123.6B
₩89.2B
38.53%


E-Mart Inc
139480
₩123.2B
₩111.7B
10.30%


LG International Corp
001120
₩113.3B
₩69.7B
62.60%


Samsung Engineering Co Ltd
028050
₩107.3B
₩92.8B
15.62%


Hyosung Corp
004800
₩100.6B
₩70.0B
43.76%


Hyosung Advanced Materials Corp
298050
₩83.4B
₩62.6B
33.17%


Hyundai Construction Equipment Co Ltd
267270
₩79.7B
₩52.2B
52.83%


KCC Corp
002380
₩77.4B
₩53.0B
45.94%


SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd
326030
₩75.9B
₩56.3B
34.87%


Mando Corp
204320
₩71.9B
₩63.4B
13.29%


F&amp;F Co., Ltd
007700
₩70.0B
₩33.7B
107.99%


Kolon Industries Inc
120110
₩69.1B
₩55.1B
25.40%


Dongwon Industries Co., Ltd
006040
₩68.1B
₩59.3B
14.91%


Hanwha Aerospace Co Ltd
012450
₩65.9B
₩34.4B
91.40%


Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd
069960
₩65.0B
₩57.9B
12.28%


POONGSAN CORPORATION
103140
₩62.4B
₩44.8B
39.35%


Hyosung Chemical Corp
298000
₩61.1B
₩48.9B
24.92%


KEPCO Plant Service &amp; Engineering Co Ltd
051600
₩56.4B
₩30.2B
86.94%

Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide



Earnings Surprise KOSPI Stocks Potentially Hedging Against Inflation for Basket & Pairs Trades

South Korea

Meritz Securities Co., Ltd. provides brokerage, underwriting, and securities dealing services in South Korea.  The Company also offers mutual funds, bonds, certificate of deposits (CD), corporate finance, online trading, and related services.

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Meritz Securities (008560 KS)

Meritz Securities: Another Major Treasury Shares Cancellation

We discuss another major treasury shares cancellation by Meritz Securities and how this could potentially offset the recent controversies of the...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI/KOSDAQ Buybacks in Progress: Those with High Daily Flow Screened

This post details share buybacks in progress among the KOSPI/KOSDAQ stocks and screens those with a high daily flow (+0.15x ADTV).

Sanghyun Park

Close Out the Pair Trade of KIH & MFG and Initiate a New Pair Trade Between KIH & Meritz Securities

On 17 January 2022, we recommended going long on Korea Investment Holdings and going short on Meritz Financial Group. We would close out this pair...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI 200 December Rebalancing: Constituents with a Substantial Free Float Change

KOSPI 200 rebalancing next month should feature a total of 12 constituents having a ±5%p free float change: eight members with +5%p or greater and...

Sanghyun Park

Earnings Surprise KOSPI Stocks Potentially Hedging Against Inflation for Basket & Pairs Trades

This post finds the first-quarter earnings surprise stocks in KOSPI that potentially hedge against inflation for basket and pairs trades.

Sanghyun Park

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