Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short notional in Hong Kong is HK$335bn and has been falling over the last 12 months due to a drop in the market.</li>
<li>In terms of short notional to marketcap, the Materials, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Utilities, Real Estate sectors are most shorted while the least shorted are Information Technology, Communication Services, Energy.</li>
<li>The largest shorts have been built on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (1398)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wharf-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:51:1" rel="noopener">Wharf Holdings (4)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Short notional in Hong Kong is HK$335bn and has been falling over the last 12 months due to a drop in the market.
In terms of short notional to marketcap, the Materials, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Utilities, Real Estate sectors are most shorted while the least shorted are Information Technology, Communication Services, Energy.
The largest shorts have been built on BYD (1211), XPeng (9868), ICBC (1398), Xiaomi (1810), Link REIT (823), JD.com (9618), Wharf Holdings (4) and New World Development (17). 


Hong Kong: Where Could Shorts Be Covered?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

BrainBees Solutions / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brainbees-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36115:1" rel="noopener">FirstCry</a> is looking to raise up to US$700m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>FirstCry is India’s largest multi-channel retailing platform for Mothers’, Babies’ and Kids’ products in terms of GMV, for the year ending Dec 2022 (9M23), according to RedSeer.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



FirstCry is looking to raise up to US$700m in its upcoming India IPO.
FirstCry is India’s largest multi-channel retailing platform for Mothers’, Babies’ and Kids’ products in terms of GMV, for the year ending Dec 2022 (9M23), according to RedSeer.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Not All of It Fits Together

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>The essence of Shouhui's business model is to "sell insurance" rather than provide services with technological attributes. So, Shouhui has relatively single business composition and lacks diversified sources of revenue.</li>
<li>The trend of "disintermediation" is becoming increasingly evident, which may lead to customers deciding to purchase insurance directly from insurance companies not from Shouhui, resulting declining demand for Shouhui’s services/products.</li>
<li>The business nature of insurance is incompatible with the Internet's pursuit of rapid expansion. Cooling "Internet +insurance" investment in recent years proves the decline of market's enthusiasm for this business.</li>
</ul>


The essence of Shouhui's business model is to "sell insurance" rather than provide services with technological attributes. So, Shouhui has relatively single business composition and lacks diversified sources of revenue.
The trend of "disintermediation" is becoming increasingly evident, which may lead to customers deciding to purchase insurance directly from insurance companies not from Shouhui, resulting declining demand for Shouhui’s services/products.
The business nature of insurance is incompatible with the Internet's pursuit of rapid expansion. Cooling "Internet +insurance" investment in recent years proves the decline of market's enthusiasm for this business.


Pre-IPO Shouhui Tech - The Business Outlook and Stock Price Performance Are Not Optimistic

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK: Ctrip cooperate with Kuaishou to promote traveling products(+/+/-/-)</li>
<li>PDD/ZTO/1519 HK: PDD partners with ZTO and J&amp;T for upcoming “Open during Spring Festival” event (+/+/+)</li>
<li>PDD/ SHEIN/ AMZN/ SE/ CPNG/ MELI: Temu planning to add 3P model (+/-)</li>
</ul>


TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK: Ctrip cooperate with Kuaishou to promote traveling products(+/+/-/-)
PDD/ZTO/1519 HK: PDD partners with ZTO and J&amp;T for upcoming “Open during Spring Festival” event (+/+/+)
PDD/ SHEIN/ AMZN/ SE/ CPNG/ MELI: Temu planning to add 3P model (+/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/CPNG/MELI

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> now aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its US IPO. Proceeds from the listing will be used to pay down debt to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta-</a>led consortium.</li>
<li>Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) now aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its US IPO. Proceeds from the listing will be used to pay down debt to the Anta-led consortium.
Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Amer Sports IPO - Deal Updates and Thoughts on Valuation

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

Hong Kong: Where Could Shorts Be Covered?

HK Short notional HK$335bn and has been falling over the last year due to a drop in the market. There are stocks where shorts have risen over the...

Brian Freitas

Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Not All of It Fits Together

FirstCry is looking to raise up to US$700m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO Shouhui Tech - The Business Outlook and Stock Price Performance Are Not Optimistic

As Internet giants with greater brand recognition/resources have made online insurance intermediary market a "red sea", Shouhui's outlook is full...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/CPNG/MELI

Ctrip teams up with Kuaishou to boost travel offerings; PDD collaborates with ZTO and J&T for Spring Festival event; and Temu considers adding 3P...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Amer Sports IPO - Deal Updates and Thoughts on Valuation

Amer Sports (AS US) now aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its US IPO. Proceeds from the listing will be used to pay down debt to the Anta-led...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hong Kong: Where Could Shorts Be Covered?

HK Short notional HK$335bn and has been falling over the last year due to a drop in the market. There are stocks where shorts have risen over the...

Brian Freitas

Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Not All of It Fits Together

FirstCry is looking to raise up to US$700m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO Shouhui Tech - The Business Outlook and Stock Price Performance Are Not Optimistic

As Internet giants with greater brand recognition/resources have made online insurance intermediary market a "red sea", Shouhui's outlook is full...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/CPNG/MELI

​Ctrip teams up with Kuaishou to boost travel offerings; PDD collaborates with ZTO and J&T for Spring Festival event; and Temu considers adding 3P...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Amer Sports IPO - Deal Updates and Thoughts on Valuation

Amer Sports (AS US) now aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its US IPO. Proceeds from the listing will be used to pay down debt to the Anta-led...

Sumeet Singh

Ctrip teams up with Kuaishou to boost travel offerings; PDD collaborates with ZTO and J&T for Spring Festival event; and Temu considers adding 3P...