Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In December, Tencent announced that its board of directors has resolved to declare a special dividend by way of a distribution of its Class A ordinary shares of JD.com. </li>
<li>This seems to be in line with regulators’ aim of bringing down walled gardens; however, we think these steps are aimed more towards restructuring Tencent’s fintech business.</li>
<li>Tencent’s fintech arm has been benefitting from its partnerships with JD.com and Pinduoduo which has helped face competition from closest rival AliPay.</li>
</ul>


In December, Tencent announced that its board of directors has resolved to declare a special dividend by way of a distribution of its Class A ordinary shares of JD.com. 
This seems to be in line with regulators’ aim of bringing down walled gardens; however, we think these steps are aimed more towards restructuring Tencent’s fintech business.
Tencent’s fintech arm has been benefitting from its partnerships with JD.com and Pinduoduo which has helped face competition from closest rival AliPay.


Tencent: Is More Fintech Restructuring On Its Way?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2021 marked our sixth year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. </li>
<li>Most markets were in top gear on the ECM front and we ended the year covering the highest number of IPOs and the second highest number of placements since inception.</li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2021 marked our sixth year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 
Most markets were in top gear on the ECM front and we ended the year covering the highest number of IPOs and the second highest number of placements since inception.
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2021 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - Busiest Year on Record

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> ended on 31 December. The changes will be announced on 18 February and implemented on 4 March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> is a potential inclusion, replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</a> though both names are very close to the cutoffs.</li>
<li>Changes in the free-float adjustment factors could result in no change to the index, while there is an outside chance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a> being included in the index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index ended on 31 December. The changes will be announced on 18 February and implemented on 4 March.

Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) is a potential inclusion, replacing Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) though both names are very close to the cutoffs.
Changes in the free-float adjustment factors could result in no change to the index, while there is an outside chance of Bilibili (9626 HK) being included in the index.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): One Potential Change with Caveats

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CNOOC, Meituan, Xiaomi, alongside utility names.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into CNOOC, Meituan, Xiaomi, alongside utility names.


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Chinese Were Buying Utilities Towards End of 2021

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

<ul>
<li>On 23 December 2021, Tencent announced that it will shed most of its stake in JD, which takes place through the in-specie dividend distribution of JD shares to Tencent's shareholders. </li>
<li>There is prevailing debate that Tencent's latest disposals are in anticipation of regulatory pressure for China's tech giants to bring down their walled gardens. We do not disagree. </li>
<li>However, in this Insight, we argue a case that new walled gardens are being erected and not torn down, at least with respect to Tencent's ecosystem. </li>
</ul>


On 23 December 2021, Tencent announced that it will shed most of its stake in JD, which takes place through the in-specie dividend distribution of JD shares to Tencent's shareholders. 
There is prevailing debate that Tencent's latest disposals are in anticipation of regulatory pressure for China's tech giants to bring down their walled gardens. We do not disagree. 
However, in this Insight, we argue a case that new walled gardens are being erected and not torn down, at least with respect to Tencent's ecosystem. 


Tencent (700 HK) - New Walled Gardens Are Being Erected, Not Torn Down?

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

Tencent: Is More Fintech Restructuring On Its Way?

Partnerships with domestic leaders in other verticals have helped Tencent's Fintech biz take on competition from AliPay. We think there will be...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Aequitas 2021 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - Busiest Year on Record

2021 marked our sixth year of Asia ECM coverage. Most markets were in top gear on the ECM front and we ended the year covering the highest number...

Sumeet Singh

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): One Potential Change with Caveats

Xinyi Solar could replace Evergrande Property Services in the HSCEI at the March rebalance. Changes in the FAF for the stocks could either mean no...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Chinese Were Buying Utilities Towards End of 2021

We highlight weekly Hong Kong Connect inflows into CNOOC, Meituan, Xiaomi, alongside utility names (Longyuan, China Resource Power, China Power...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent (700 HK) - New Walled Gardens Are Being Erected, Not Torn Down?

Tencent announced that it will shed most of its stake in JD. In this Insight, we argue a case that new walled gardens are being erected and not...

Jason Yap, CFA

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