Global Healthcare Strategist

Vincy Ip

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Brain disorders, including various neurological and mental diseases, are the hidden danger with the largest social burden among all diseases. </li>
<li>With strong government support across the globe and accelerating private financing, we identify four key areas of investment opportunities in brain science, including neurotherapeutics, neurodiagnostics, neurosurgery, and brain-computer interface (BCI).</li>
<li>Even though the concept of BCI looks promising, its scalability, application, and monetisation potential remain uncertain in the near term and hence the invesmtent risks would be high. </li>
</ul>


Brain disorders, including various neurological and mental diseases, are the hidden danger with the largest social burden among all diseases. 
With strong government support across the globe and accelerating private financing, we identify four key areas of investment opportunities in brain science, including neurotherapeutics, neurodiagnostics, neurosurgery, and brain-computer interface (BCI).
Even though the concept of BCI looks promising, its scalability, application, and monetisation potential remain uncertain in the near term and hence the invesmtent risks would be high. 


Brain Science - An Opportunity or a Trap?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Murakami-San now owns far more in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-matsushima-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13569:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)</a> than he can easily get out of other than by corporate action. Murakami-san is not a dumb guy. He knows this.</li>
<li>The unique investigative shareholder register confirms what has been long rumoured about a certain shareholder activist in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a>. It is also informative for what isn't present.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>'s discount to NAV and implied stub widened after Fabricio Bloisi's CEO appointment the previous week. But the sell-down of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> to buy-back Prosus will continue.</li>
</ul>


Murakami-San now owns far more in Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP) than he can easily get out of other than by corporate action. Murakami-san is not a dumb guy. He knows this.
The unique investigative shareholder register confirms what has been long rumoured about a certain shareholder activist in L'Occitane (973 HK). It is also informative for what isn't present.

Prosus (PRX NA)'s discount to NAV and implied stub widened after Fabricio Bloisi's CEO appointment the previous week. But the sell-down of Tencent (700 HK) to buy-back Prosus will continue.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, L'Occitane, Prosus/Tencent, EOFlow

<ul>
<li>For a company that strives to improve people's lives, investors in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFlow (294090 KS)</a> shares have mostly faced a world of pain over the past year. </li>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insulet-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5252:1" rel="noopener">Insulet Corp (PODD US)</a> filed a lawsuit on the 8th August 2023, accusing EOFlow of misappropriating trade secrets, patent infringement, and trademark dilution, shares declined ~88% by year-end.</li>
<li>Earlier this month, the courts quashed Insulet's preliminary injunction. EOFlow is up 200%. Insulet is up 3% (?).  And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic (MDT US)</a>, EOFlow's prior suitor, is no doubt weighing options.</li>
</ul>


For a company that strives to improve people's lives, investors in EOFlow (294090 KS) shares have mostly faced a world of pain over the past year. 
After Insulet Corp (PODD US) filed a lawsuit on the 8th August 2023, accusing EOFlow of misappropriating trade secrets, patent infringement, and trademark dilution, shares declined ~88% by year-end.
Earlier this month, the courts quashed Insulet's preliminary injunction. EOFlow is up 200%. Insulet is up 3% (?).  And Medtronic (MDT US), EOFlow's prior suitor, is no doubt weighing options.


Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In FY25, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nihon-kohden-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7668:1" rel="noopener">Nihon Kohden (6849 JP)</a> guided for domestic revenue of ¥147B, up 3% YoY. The demand for patient monitors and treatment equipment is expected to remain steady.</li>
<li>Nihon Kohden expects North America business to report a revenue CAGR of 11% (fastest among all the other regions) during FY24–27, outpacing mid-single-digit growth of the market.</li>
<li>The company announced ¥10B buyback plan to repurchase up to 6M shares, representing 3.57% of total number of issued shares from August 5, 2024, to March 31, 2025.</li>
</ul>


In FY25, Nihon Kohden (6849 JP) guided for domestic revenue of ¥147B, up 3% YoY. The demand for patient monitors and treatment equipment is expected to remain steady.
Nihon Kohden expects North America business to report a revenue CAGR of 11% (fastest among all the other regions) during FY24–27, outpacing mid-single-digit growth of the market.
The company announced ¥10B buyback plan to repurchase up to 6M shares, representing 3.57% of total number of issued shares from August 5, 2024, to March 31, 2025.


Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): ¥10B Buyback Plan And Stock Split; Japan and US to Drive Business Growth

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johnson-johnson" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1132:1" rel="noopener">Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US)</a> entered into a definitive agreement to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shockwave-medical-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28730:1" rel="noopener">Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US)</a> for $335/share in cash or an enterprise value of $13.1B.</li>
<li>Offer price represents 4.7% premium over yesterday’s closing price or around 19% premium over the undisturbed price. The deal is expected to close by mid-2024.</li>
<li>With no product overlap and competition concern, the deal is expected to get regulatory approval. With reasonable deal valuation, shareholders approval is also expected.</li>
</ul>



Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US) for $335/share in cash or an enterprise value of $13.1B.
Offer price represents 4.7% premium over yesterday’s closing price or around 19% premium over the undisturbed price. The deal is expected to close by mid-2024.
With no product overlap and competition concern, the deal is expected to get regulatory approval. With reasonable deal valuation, shareholders approval is also expected.


Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US): Johnson & Johnson (JNJ US)’s Acquisition Offer

United States

Medtronic, PLC develops therapeutic and diagnostic medical products. The Company's principal products include those for bradycardia pacing, tachyarrhythmia management, atrial fibrillation management, heart failure management, heart valve replacement, malignant and non-malignant pain, and movement disorders. Medtronic's products are sold worldwide.

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Medtronic (MDT UN)

Brain Science - An Opportunity or a Trap?

We identify four key areas of investment opportunities in brain science, including neurotherapeutics, neurodiagnostics, neurosurgery, and brain...

Vincy Ip

Last Week in Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, L'Occitane, Prosus/Tencent, EOFlow

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

EOFlow (294090 KS): Suitably Pumped

EOFlow is free to resume global sales. Medtronic is free to reengage. I'd be buying EOFlow. Then I'd buy some more. I'd be shorting Insulet.

David Blennerhassett

Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): ¥10B Buyback Plan And Stock Split; Japan and US to Drive Business Growth

Nihon Kohden has announced ¥10B buyback plan amid long-term growth prospect. The company guided for 3% and 11% revenue CAGR in Japan and North...

Tina Banerjee

Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US): Johnson & Johnson (JNJ US)’s Acquisition Offer

J&J to acquire Shockwave Medical for $335 per share. With no product overlap, the deal is expected to receive regulatory and shareholder...

Tina Banerjee

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Brain Science - An Opportunity or a Trap?

We identify four key areas of investment opportunities in brain science, including neurotherapeutics, neurodiagnostics, neurosurgery, and brain...

Vincy Ip

Last Week in Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, L'Occitane, Prosus/Tencent, EOFlow

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

EOFlow (294090 KS): Suitably Pumped

EOFlow is free to resume global sales. Medtronic is free to reengage. I'd be buying EOFlow. Then I'd buy some more. I'd be shorting Insulet.

David Blennerhassett

Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): ¥10B Buyback Plan And Stock Split; Japan and US to Drive Business Growth

​Nihon Kohden has announced ¥10B buyback plan amid long-term growth prospect. The company guided for 3% and 11% revenue CAGR in Japan and North...

Tina Banerjee

Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US): Johnson & Johnson (JNJ US)’s Acquisition Offer

​J&J to acquire Shockwave Medical for $335 per share. With no product overlap, the deal is expected to receive regulatory and shareholder...

Tina Banerjee

Nihon Kohden has announced ¥10B buyback plan amid long-term growth prospect. The company guided for 3% and 11% revenue CAGR in Japan and North...

J&J to acquire Shockwave Medical for $335 per share. With no product overlap, the deal is expected to receive regulatory and shareholder...