Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK Ltd

Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>MEC (4971 JP) reported FY25 (Dec year-end) Q1~Q3 OP of ¥4,247mil (+16.4% YoY) on sales of ¥14,987mil (+9.5% YoY.</li><li>Chemicals sales rose +11.6% YoY to ¥14,559mil while chemical sales volume also gained +10.9% YoY to 34,844ton.</li><li>The gross profit margin [GPM] improved to 62.4% (+1.0ppt YoY), thanks to sales growth of MEC’s core product, CZ-8101.</li></ul>

MEC (4971 JP) reported FY25 (Dec year-end) Q1~Q3 OP of ¥4,247mil (+16.4% YoY) on sales of ¥14,987mil (+9.5% YoY.Chemicals sales rose +11.6% YoY to ¥14,559mil while chemical sales volume also gained +10.9% YoY to 34,844ton.The gross profit margin [GPM] improved to 62.4% (+1.0ppt YoY), thanks to sales growth of MEC’s core product, CZ-8101.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 19 December, Bloomberg reported that KKR has emerged as a frontrunner to privatise <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiyo-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15154:1" rel="noopener">Taiyo Holdings (4626 JP)</a>, but “<em>the tender offer price may be lower than the current price.</em>”</li>
<li>Since the first Bloomberg article on 27 May, Taiyo’s shares are up 84% vs. the median peers’ shares, which are up 62%. Therefore, the shares reflect some takeover premium.   </li>
<li>Based on the medium-term management plan, which is likely KKR’s base case, I estimate a tender offer of around JPY4,624, 1.2% below the last close.</li>
</ul>


On 19 December, Bloomberg reported that KKR has emerged as a frontrunner to privatise Taiyo Holdings (4626 JP), but “the tender offer price may be lower than the current price.”
Since the first Bloomberg article on 27 May, Taiyo’s shares are up 84% vs. the median peers’ shares, which are up 62%. Therefore, the shares reflect some takeover premium.   
Based on the medium-term management plan, which is likely KKR’s base case, I estimate a tender offer of around JPY4,624, 1.2% below the last close.


Taiyo Holdings (4626 JP): An Impending KKR Takeunder?

<ul><li>While MEC’s (4971 JP) FY25 (Dec year-end) 1H sales fell short of guidance by 2.2% to ¥9,387mil (+5.7% YoY), OP improved +3.3% YoY to ¥2,440mil, coming in 8.5% above the firm’s guidance of ¥2,250mil.</li><li>This was primarily due to less than expected SG&A spending – something the firm had flagged in an earlier release.</li><li>Net profit [NP] was revised from ¥1,450mil (-23.2% YoY) to ¥1,893mil (+0.2% YoY), thanks to the receipt of a subsidy from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry [METI] specifically for smaller sized companies to support growth investment.</li></ul>

While MEC’s (4971 JP) FY25 (Dec year-end) 1H sales fell short of guidance by 2.2% to ¥9,387mil (+5.7% YoY), OP improved +3.3% YoY to ¥2,440mil, coming in 8.5% above the firm’s guidance of ¥2,250mil.This was primarily due to less than expected SG&A spending – something the firm had flagged in an earlier release.Net profit [NP] was revised from ¥1,450mil (-23.2% YoY) to ¥1,893mil (+0.2% YoY), thanks to the receipt of a subsidy from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry [METI] specifically for smaller sized companies to support growth investment.

<ul><li>MEC’s (4971 JP) FY25 (Dec year-end) Q1 results were largely in line with guidance for OP to rise +3.8% YoY / +19.8% QoQ to ¥1,093mil on sales of ¥4,423mil (+1.6% YoY / -2.8% QoQ).</li><li>Chemical segment sales rose +8.0% YoY / -4.5% QoQ to ¥4,237mil, thanks to 1) a steady increase in demand for chemicals used in high-end packages related to generative AI, and 2) a gradual recovery in demand associated with PCs, smartphones and general servers.</li><li>MEC is guiding for FY25 1H OP of ¥2,250mil (-4.8% YoY) on sales of ¥9,600mil (+8.1% YoY), and full-year OP of ¥5,000mil (+9.6% YoY) on sales of ¥20,000mil (+9.7% YoY).</li></ul>

MEC’s (4971 JP) FY25 (Dec year-end) Q1 results were largely in line with guidance for OP to rise +3.8% YoY / +19.8% QoQ to ¥1,093mil on sales of ¥4,423mil (+1.6% YoY / -2.8% QoQ).Chemical segment sales rose +8.0% YoY / -4.5% QoQ to ¥4,237mil, thanks to 1) a steady increase in demand for chemicals used in high-end packages related to generative AI, and 2) a gradual recovery in demand associated with PCs, smartphones and general servers.MEC is guiding for FY25 1H OP of ¥2,250mil (-4.8% YoY) on sales of ¥9,600mil (+8.1% YoY), and full-year OP of ¥5,000mil (+9.6% YoY) on sales of ¥20,000mil (+9.7% YoY).

<ul><li>MEC’s (4971 JP) reported FY24 (Dec year-end) results, producing OP of ¥4,562mil (+83.0% YoY) on sales of ¥18,234mil (+30.1% YoY).</li><li>FY24 Chemical segment sales rose +27.0% YoY to ¥17,478mil, thanks to 1) a steady increase in demand for chemicals used in high-end packages, and 2) a gradual recovery in demand associated with PCs, smartphones, and general servers.</li><li>MEC is guiding for FY25 1H OP of ¥2,250mil (-4.8% YoY) on sales of ¥9,600mil (+8.1% YoY), and full-year OP of ¥5,000mil (+9.6% YoY) on sales of ¥20,000mil (+9.7% YoY).</li></ul>

MEC’s (4971 JP) reported FY24 (Dec year-end) results, producing OP of ¥4,562mil (+83.0% YoY) on sales of ¥18,234mil (+30.1% YoY).FY24 Chemical segment sales rose +27.0% YoY to ¥17,478mil, thanks to 1) a steady increase in demand for chemicals used in high-end packages, and 2) a gradual recovery in demand associated with PCs, smartphones, and general servers.MEC is guiding for FY25 1H OP of ¥2,250mil (-4.8% YoY) on sales of ¥9,600mil (+8.1% YoY), and full-year OP of ¥5,000mil (+9.6% YoY) on sales of ¥20,000mil (+9.7% YoY).

Japan

MEC COMPANY LTD. manufactures and markets chemicals and equipment for printed circuit boards.  The Company has sales/manufacturing subsidiaries in Taiwan, Hong Kong, Belgium, and US.

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Mec Co Ltd (4971 JP)

MEC Co., LTD (4971 JP): RESEARCH UPDATE

MEC (4971 JP) reported FY25 (Dec year-end) Q1~Q3 OP of ¥4,247mil (+16.4% YoY) on sales of ¥14,987mil (+9.5% YoY. Chemicals sales rose +11.6% YoY...

Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK

Taiyo Holdings (4626 JP): An Impending KKR Takeunder?

Based on the medium-term management plan, which is likely KKR’s base case, I estimate a tender offer of around JPY4,624, 1.2% below the last close....

Arun George

MEC Co., Ltd (4971 JP): Research Update

While MEC’s (4971 JP) FY25 (Dec year-end) 1H sales fell short of guidance by 2.2% to ¥9,387mil (+5.7% YoY), OP improved +3.3% YoY to ¥2,440mil,...

Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK

MEC Co., Ltd (4971 JP): Research Update

MEC’s (4971 JP) FY25 (Dec year-end) Q1 results were largely in line with guidance for OP to rise +3.8% YoY / +19.8% QoQ to ¥1,093mil on sales of...

Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK

MEC Co., Ltd (4971 JP): Research Update

MEC’s (4971 JP) reported FY24 (Dec year-end) results, producing OP of ¥4,562mil (+83.0% YoY) on sales of ¥18,234mil (+30.1% YoY). FY24 Chemical...

Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK

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