Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maruti Suzuki reported above Consensus 2Q driven by strong volumes and improved margins</li>
<li>Earnings bode well for Suzuki's 2Q earnings on Nov 8. Also, Maruti indicated significant easing of semi-driven supply constraints. Positive readacross for Suzuki. </li>
<li>Suzuki's ex-Maruti operations are now cheaper than ever at under 2.5x PER. We see upside to earnings vs. Consensus and keep our bullish stance on the stock.</li>
</ul>


Maruti Suzuki reported above Consensus 2Q driven by strong volumes and improved margins
Earnings bode well for Suzuki's 2Q earnings on Nov 8. Also, Maruti indicated significant easing of semi-driven supply constraints. Positive readacross for Suzuki. 
Suzuki's ex-Maruti operations are now cheaper than ever at under 2.5x PER. We see upside to earnings vs. Consensus and keep our bullish stance on the stock.


Suzuki (7269 JT) | Way Too Cheap Ahead of 2Q Earnings – India’s Maruti (MSIL IN) Shows the Way

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We hosted a multi-sector channel check, wherein we hosted participants from auto, FMCG, durable, building materials, jewellery, cement and real estate</li><li>The meetings were represented by senior and experienced channel partners, CXOs of unlisted companies, and industry experts</li><li>Our primary objective was to check festive season demand along with overall consumption environment, particularly since industries have seen one of the toughest retail inflation environments.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We hosted a multi-sector channel check, wherein we hosted participants from auto, FMCG, durable, building materials, jewellery, cement and real estateThe meetings were represented by senior and experienced channel partners, CXOs of unlisted companies, and industry expertsOur primary objective was to check festive season demand along with overall consumption environment, particularly since industries have seen one of the toughest retail inflation environments.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reality Check: Festive checks—positive trend

<ul><li>In Q2, retail demand has remained healthy in PVs, steady in CVs and lacklustre in 2Ws</li><li>However, all the segments have seen QoQ growth in volumes as all OEMs prepare for a pick-up in demand during the festive season</li><li>Overall, wholesales have been better in PVs&gt;2Ws&gt;CVs in Q2</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q2, retail demand has remained healthy in PVs, steady in CVs and lacklustre in 2WsHowever, all the segments have seen QoQ growth in volumes as all OEMs prepare for a pick-up in demand during the festive seasonOverall, wholesales have been better in PVs&gt;2Ws&gt;CVs in Q2Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Margins likely to bottom out

<ul>
<li>We are bullish on the share price of Suzuki given its exposure to secular growth in India</li>
<li>The ex-Maruti business is recovering as supply chain constraints ease.</li>
<li>We see at least 25% upside to the share price and believe the non-Maruti business is significantly undervalued</li>
</ul>


We are bullish on the share price of Suzuki given its exposure to secular growth in India
The ex-Maruti business is recovering as supply chain constraints ease.
We see at least 25% upside to the share price and believe the non-Maruti business is significantly undervalued


Suzuki (7269) | Small Cars at Tiny Valuations

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.</li><li>To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.</li><li>The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Maruti Suzuki India Limited manufactures and exports automobiles. Maruti collaborated with Suzuki of Japan to produce affordable cars for the average Indian.

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Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)

Suzuki (7269 JT) | Way Too Cheap Ahead of 2Q Earnings – India’s Maruti (MSIL IN) Shows the Way

Suzuki's is simply trading far too cheaply for a stock exposed to India - of the the best structural growth market for Auto, and extremely strong...

Mark Chadwick

Reality Check: Festive checks—positive trend

We hosted a multi-sector channel check, wherein we hosted participants from auto, FMCG, durable, building materials, jewellery, cement and real estate

HDFC Securities

Autos (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Margins likely to bottom out

However, all the segments have seen QoQ growth in volumes as all OEMs prepare for a pick-up in demand during the festive season

HDFC Securities

Suzuki (7269) | Small Cars at Tiny Valuations

We are bullish on Suzuki as (1) India, is growing with auto buyers actively trading up to SUVs, and (2) Japan sales are recovering as parts supply...

Mark Chadwick

Consolidate Q2FY23 Result Preview

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed...

Axis Direct

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