IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Motor India  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co-44d5ac4e-94e3-4be9-b34f-5f3155e7a3d6" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26936:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor (005385 KS)</a>, aims to raise up to US$3.0 billion at a valuation of US$17 billion.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hyundai-motor-india-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:151701" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on market share losses in the key SUV sub-segment, bottom-quartile revenue growth, higher royalty rates and dividends to Hyundai ahead of the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN), a subsidiary of Hyundai Motor (005385 KS), aims to raise up to US$3.0 billion at a valuation of US$17 billion.
In Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on market share losses in the key SUV sub-segment, bottom-quartile revenue growth, higher royalty rates and dividends to Hyundai ahead of the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co-44d5ac4e-94e3-4be9-b34f-5f3155e7a3d6" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26936:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor (005385 KS)</a>, aims to raise up to US$3.0 billion at a valuation of US$17 billion. </li>
<li>HMIL is India's second largest passenger vehicle manufacturer, as measured by domestic passenger vehicle sales. It serves as Hyundai's production and export hub for emerging markets.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on a strong market position, premiumisation-led growth, top-quartile operating and FCF margin profile. </li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN), a subsidiary of Hyundai Motor (005385 KS), aims to raise up to US$3.0 billion at a valuation of US$17 billion. 
HMIL is India's second largest passenger vehicle manufacturer, as measured by domestic passenger vehicle sales. It serves as Hyundai's production and export hub for emerging markets.
The bull case rests on a strong market position, premiumisation-led growth, top-quartile operating and FCF margin profile. 


Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>Hyundai Motor India (HMIL) saw a market share loss in India Passenger Vehicles sales reported for June 2024 and 1QFY2025, impacted by intensified competition in the SUV segment.</li>
<li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra, and Toyota Kirloskar India gained market share in 1QFY2025 led by upgraded model launches in the SUV segment, traditionally a strong category for HMIL.</li>
<li>HMIL's declining market share, if not reversed soon, could challenge optimistic growth projections and valuation multiples for its upcoming IPO.</li>
</ul>


Hyundai Motor India (HMIL) saw a market share loss in India Passenger Vehicles sales reported for June 2024 and 1QFY2025, impacted by intensified competition in the SUV segment.
Mahindra &amp; Mahindra, and Toyota Kirloskar India gained market share in 1QFY2025 led by upgraded model launches in the SUV segment, traditionally a strong category for HMIL.
HMIL's declining market share, if not reversed soon, could challenge optimistic growth projections and valuation multiples for its upcoming IPO.


India Car Sales Slow: Can Hyundai Keep Its No. 2 Spot Amidst Fierce Competition?

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Gautam Adani to Launch Shipbuilding at Mundra Port Amid Global Demand Surge</li>
<li>Hyundai Faces Pressure from Tata and Mahindra Ahead of $3.5 Billion India IPO</li>
<li>Xiaomi plans to double shipments in India, targeting 700 million devices within a decade</li>
</ul>


Gautam Adani to Launch Shipbuilding at Mundra Port Amid Global Demand Surge
Hyundai Faces Pressure from Tata and Mahindra Ahead of $3.5 Billion India IPO
Xiaomi plans to double shipments in India, targeting 700 million devices within a decade


#27 India Insight: Adani to Launch Shipbuilding, Xiaomi Plans to Double Shipment, Hyundai IPO

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Just pre-close on 2 July, Reuters carried an article suggesting a ¥500bn secondary offering in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda Motor (7267 JP)</a> as insurers sold. The stock fell 4% in minutes. </li>
<li>Honda semi-confirmed but it took two days to get to the details, now out. The stock climbed in the meantime. </li>
<li>At launch, this deal is two-thirds covered by buyback + passive demand but the supply is heavily-weighted to retail. Cheaper than it looks, lots of moving parts. Read the details!</li>
</ul>


Just pre-close on 2 July, Reuters carried an article suggesting a ¥500bn secondary offering in Honda Motor (7267 JP) as insurers sold. The stock fell 4% in minutes. 
Honda semi-confirmed but it took two days to get to the details, now out. The stock climbed in the meantime. 
At launch, this deal is two-thirds covered by buyback + passive demand but the supply is heavily-weighted to retail. Cheaper than it looks, lots of moving parts. Read the details!


Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small

India

Maruti Suzuki India Limited manufactures and exports automobiles. Maruti collaborated with Suzuki of Japan to produce affordable cars for the average Indian.

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Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)

Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on market share losses in the key SUV sub-segment, bottom-quartile revenue growth, higher royalty rates and dividends to...

Arun George

Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on a strong market position, premiumisation-led growth, top-quartile operating and FCF margin profile.

Arun George

India Car Sales Slow: Can Hyundai Keep Its No. 2 Spot Amidst Fierce Competition?

Justifying premium valuations for the upcoming IPO will be challenging if Hyundai Motors India fails to reverse its declining market share in...

Devi Subhakesan

#27 India Insight: Adani to Launch Shipbuilding, Xiaomi Plans to Double Shipment, Hyundai IPO

Adani expands into shipbuilding, Hyundai faces competition in India IPO, Xiaomi aims to double device shipments in India.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small

The big ¥500bn Honda offering is announced. Details and context the buyback and passive demand cover two-thirds of the offering but this is going...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on market share losses in the key SUV sub-segment, bottom-quartile revenue growth, higher royalty rates and dividends to...

Arun George

Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on a strong market position, premiumisation-led growth, top-quartile operating and FCF margin profile.

Arun George

India Car Sales Slow: Can Hyundai Keep Its No. 2 Spot Amidst Fierce Competition?

Justifying premium valuations for the upcoming IPO will be challenging if Hyundai Motors India fails to reverse its declining market share in...

Devi Subhakesan

#27 India Insight: Adani to Launch Shipbuilding, Xiaomi Plans to Double Shipment, Hyundai IPO

​Adani expands into shipbuilding, Hyundai faces competition in India IPO, Xiaomi aims to double device shipments in India.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small

The big ¥500bn Honda offering is announced. Details and context the buyback and passive demand cover two-thirds of the offering but this is going...

Travis Lundy

Adani expands into shipbuilding, Hyundai faces competition in India IPO, Xiaomi aims to double device shipments in India.