Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a> is currently trading at a ~12% discount to NAV, just outside its narrowest post-Covid.</li>
<li>A key catalyst for the recent narrowing was JCNC's inclusion in the SIMSCI Index at the end of last month.</li>
<li>JCNC is expensive here - relative to historical values -  and from an implied stub perspective.</li>
</ul>



Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP) is currently trading at a ~12% discount to NAV, just outside its narrowest post-Covid.
A key catalyst for the recent narrowing was JCNC's inclusion in the SIMSCI Index at the end of last month.
JCNC is expensive here - relative to historical values -  and from an implied stub perspective.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> (JMH) has shed ~8% since MSCI said it was cutting the conglomerate's weighing in two indices.</li>
<li>The reweighting follows the cancellation of the 59% shareholding in JMH held by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a>, which was privatised last year.</li>
<li>I see the discount to NAV at ~40%, right at the 12-month -2 STD level. JMH bought back ~149mn shares in the 1Q22, paying ~US$59/share, 17% above the current price.</li>
</ul>



Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) (JMH) has shed ~8% since MSCI said it was cutting the conglomerate's weighing in two indices.
The reweighting follows the cancellation of the 59% shareholding in JMH held by Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP), which was privatised last year.
I see the discount to NAV at ~40%, right at the 12-month -2 STD level. JMH bought back ~149mn shares in the 1Q22, paying ~US$59/share, 17% above the current price.


Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

China Southern Airlines / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Outbound &amp; domestic travel activity continued to recover nicely in August</li>
<li>Initial reports suggest Mid-Autumn Festival travel activity was solid, too</li>
<li>After recent surge, we've cut Trip.com to HOLD; check out airlines instead</li>
</ul>


Outbound &amp; domestic travel activity continued to recover nicely in August
Initial reports suggest Mid-Autumn Festival travel activity was solid, too
After recent surge, we've cut Trip.com to HOLD; check out airlines instead


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker: Solid Outbound & Domestic Numbers in August | Cut Trip.com to HOLD

<ul>
<li>Media rife with narrative of booming inbound foreign tourism to China</li>
<li>But the numbers are well below historical highs, and climbing up from low base</li>
<li>Chinese tourists, not foreign, determine strength of Chinese tourism recovery</li>
</ul>


Media rife with narrative of booming inbound foreign tourism to China
But the numbers are well below historical highs, and climbing up from low base
Chinese tourists, not foreign, determine strength of Chinese tourism recovery


Chinese Inbound Foreign Tourist Arrivals Up 153% Y/Y in H124?! Much Ado About (Almost) Nothing

<ul>
<li>After publishing my insight (<a href="https://skr.ma/y1QWE" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Trading "Cheap"</a>) last week, my NAV calcs were called into question by some readers, when compared to street estimates.</li>
<li>Which is cool. I'm big enough to admit mistakes, where needed. So I've done some digging, including a back and forth with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a>.</li>
<li>The upshot? I have not lead you astray. You've been coming to the right place.</li>
</ul>


After publishing my insight (Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Trading "Cheap") last week, my NAV calcs were called into question by some readers, when compared to street estimates.
Which is cool. I'm big enough to admit mistakes, where needed. So I've done some digging, including a back and forth with Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP).
The upshot? I have not lead you astray. You've been coming to the right place.


Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Squeezing More Life Out Of The NAV

Singapore

Mandarin Oriental International Limited is an owner and operator of luxury hotels, resorts, and residences. The Group now operates, or has under development, hotels in the Americas, Europe, Middle East, and North Africa. Mandarin Oriental International also operates, or has under development, residences at Mandarin Oriental.

Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)

JCNC Is Still Overstretched Vs. Astra

JCNC is expensive here - relative to historical values - and from an implied stub perspective. And the MSCI inclusion event has now passed. I'd...

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson (JM SP): MSCI Blues

Given JMH's strong underlying operating performance, the 40% discount to NAV - one in which there are discounts of discounts, JMH is attractive...

David Blennerhassett

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker: Solid Outbound & Domestic Numbers in August | Cut Trip.com to HOLD

Chinese travel activity in August continued its gradual recovery, and early reports from the recent Mid Autumn Festival suggest activity remained...

Tracking Traffic

Chinese Inbound Foreign Tourist Arrivals Up 153% Y/Y in H124?! Much Ado About (Almost) Nothing

Yes, foreign inbound travel to China has shown strong growth so far in 2024, but the numbers are rising from a very low base, and ultimately matter...

Tracking Traffic

Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Squeezing More Life Out Of The NAV

I've bolted on US$0.5bn to NAV. That adjustment doesn't move the needle. Look to set up the stub: Long JMH, short DFI, HKL, MO & JC&C on a...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)