Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brainbees-solutions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36115:1" rel="noopener">BrainBees Solutions (FIRSTCRY IN)</a> reported marginal decline in 1QFY2025 revenues and GMV (India operations) versus previous quarter, though both were up 17% YoY; fell short of market expectations.</li>
<li>Key operating metrics for India business too were soft with Average Order Value slipping both on a QoQ and YoY basis, impacting GMV growth and segment margins.</li>
<li>With 0% promoter holding, nearly 30%-50% shares could possibly start trading post lock-in expiry and this could test the stock's resilience. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group(9984 JP)</a>, the biggest stake holder, owns 19.99%.</li>
</ul>



BrainBees Solutions (FIRSTCRY IN) reported marginal decline in 1QFY2025 revenues and GMV (India operations) versus previous quarter, though both were up 17% YoY; fell short of market expectations.
Key operating metrics for India business too were soft with Average Order Value slipping both on a QoQ and YoY basis, impacting GMV growth and segment margins.
With 0% promoter holding, nearly 30%-50% shares could possibly start trading post lock-in expiry and this could test the stock's resilience. Softbank Group(9984 JP), the biggest stake holder, owns 19.99%.


Brainbees (FIRSTCRY IN): First Results Fail to Cheer. Lock-In Expiry May Test Stock Resilience

<ul>
<li>Recent media reports on declining passenger vehicle (PV) sales in India for August are based on wholesale data and reflect expected weakness due to high dealer inventory levels.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a>'s  dispatches dropped by 8% in August, yet the company remains strong in the SUV segment, with the Creta, launched in January 2024, driving growth.</li>
<li>Outlook for the passenger vehicle segment is cautiously optimistic, supported by monsoon impact, festive season, new product launches, but challenges like heavy rainfall, high inventory levels, and economic uncertainties persist.</li>
</ul>


Recent media reports on declining passenger vehicle (PV) sales in India for August are based on wholesale data and reflect expected weakness due to high dealer inventory levels.

Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)'s  dispatches dropped by 8% in August, yet the company remains strong in the SUV segment, with the Creta, launched in January 2024, driving growth.
Outlook for the passenger vehicle segment is cautiously optimistic, supported by monsoon impact, festive season, new product launches, but challenges like heavy rainfall, high inventory levels, and economic uncertainties persist.


India Autos: Expected Weak Wholesale Data. Hyundai Dispatches Drop in August

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Motor India  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Hyundai Motor India is market cap of US$18.6 billion, based on P/E of 24.4x our estimated net profit of 64.1 billion INR in FY25. </li>
<li>There have been some increasing concerns about Hyundai Motor India paying out higher royalty to its parent Hyundai Motor and dividend to shareholders, which could lower profit.</li>
<li>According to a recent article by livemint, the expected valuation of Hyundai Motor India has fallen to about USD16 billion to USD20 billion.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Hyundai Motor India is market cap of US$18.6 billion, based on P/E of 24.4x our estimated net profit of 64.1 billion INR in FY25. 
There have been some increasing concerns about Hyundai Motor India paying out higher royalty to its parent Hyundai Motor and dividend to shareholders, which could lower profit.
According to a recent article by livemint, the expected valuation of Hyundai Motor India has fallen to about USD16 billion to USD20 billion.


Hyundai Motor India IPO Valuation Analysis

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-fincorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43860:1" rel="noopener">Hero FinCorp</a> (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.
HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still Has Issues to Contend With

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-fincorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43860:1" rel="noopener">Hero FinCorp</a> (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspets of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.
HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspets of the deal.


Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO - The Positives - Riding on the Parent's Brand

India

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. manufactures automobiles, farm equipment and automotive components. The Company's automobile products include light, medium and heavy commercial vehicles, jeep type vehicles and passenger cars. Mahindra & Mahindra also manufactures agricultural tractors, agricultural implements, internal combustion engines, industrial petrol engines, spare parts and machine tools.

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Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN)

Brainbees (FIRSTCRY IN): First Results Fail to Cheer. Lock-In Expiry May Test Stock Resilience

Lock-in expiry may test stock price resilience as company's 0% promoter holding imply 30%-50% shares could start trading. Lack lustre growth and...

Devi Subhakesan

India Autos: Expected Weak Wholesale Data. Hyundai Dispatches Drop in August

Hyundai Motor India's dispatches dropped by 8% in August, yet it remains strong in the SUV segment. Slipped to third place in retail market share...

Devi Subhakesan

Hyundai Motor India IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Hyundai Motor India is market cap of US$18.6 billion, based on P/E of 24.4x our estimated net profit of 64.1 billion INR...

Douglas Kim

Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still Has Issues to Contend With

Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO - The Positives - Riding on the Parent's Brand

Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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