Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Motor India  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Hyundai Motor India has been taking initial steps for an IPO. We believe this IPO could be completed sometime in 4Q 2024. </li>
<li>Hyundai Motor India Limited (HMIL) IPO offering size is estimated to be at least US$3 billion, which would be one of the largest in India and the world this year.</li>
<li>If HMIL is valued at US$25 billion and HMC sells a 15% stake, its remaining 85% stake would be worth US$21 billion, representing 55% of HMC's market cap. </li>
</ul>


Hyundai Motor India has been taking initial steps for an IPO. We believe this IPO could be completed sometime in 4Q 2024. 
Hyundai Motor India Limited (HMIL) IPO offering size is estimated to be at least US$3 billion, which would be one of the largest in India and the world this year.
If HMIL is valued at US$25 billion and HMC sells a 15% stake, its remaining 85% stake would be worth US$21 billion, representing 55% of HMC's market cap. 


Initial Thoughts on Hyundai Motor India IPO

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.</li>
<li>Uttar Pradesh (UP) is crucial in Indian politics with the most Lok Sabha seats and has a diverse economy focused on agriculture, services, and manufacturing.</li>
<li>We are trying to be optimists, but it's hard to ignore the ground realities, especially when compared to a much less developed and smaller nation like Nepal. </li>
</ul>


With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.
Uttar Pradesh (UP) is crucial in Indian politics with the most Lok Sabha seats and has a diverse economy focused on agriculture, services, and manufacturing.
We are trying to be optimists, but it's hard to ignore the ground realities, especially when compared to a much less developed and smaller nation like Nepal. 


Postcard from Uttar Pradesh | Addressing the Core

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.</li>
<li>After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.
After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

Action Construction Equipment / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Action Construction - a leader in construction and heavy equipment theme is going for transformation with a defence foray and new product launches</li>
<li>With strong guidance and the historical success of good execution makes a good bet on the current infrastructure and manufacturing theme</li>
<li>The risk includes a slowdown in the election period and stiff competition from larger players</li>
</ul>


Action Construction - a leader in construction and heavy equipment theme is going for transformation with a defence foray and new product launches
With strong guidance and the historical success of good execution makes a good bet on the current infrastructure and manufacturing theme
The risk includes a slowdown in the election period and stiff competition from larger players


The Beat Ideas: Action Construction - A Bet on Manufacturing & Infrastructure Theme

<ul>
<li>There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 48.8% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 35.5bn (US$426m).</li>
<li>Since January, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the potential deletes by a big margin. Watch out for the general election results on 4 June for momentum change.</li>
</ul>


There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 48.8% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 35.5bn (US$426m).
Since January, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the potential deletes by a big margin. Watch out for the general election results on 4 June for momentum change.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 49% Turnover; US$850m Trade; Election Results Coming

India

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. manufactures automobiles, farm equipment and automotive components. The Company's automobile products include light, medium and heavy commercial vehicles, jeep type vehicles and passenger cars. Mahindra & Mahindra also manufactures agricultural tractors, agricultural implements, internal combustion engines, industrial petrol engines, spare parts and machine tools.

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Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN)

Initial Thoughts on Hyundai Motor India IPO

Hyundai Motor plans to sell a stake of up to 17.5% in the IPO of Hyundai Motor India Ltd. This IPO is expected to raise between US$2.5 billion to...

Douglas Kim

Postcard from Uttar Pradesh | Addressing the Core

"Exploring the political and economic landscape of Uttar Pradesh through on-ground interactions in tier 2 and 3 locations, highlighting the...

Pranav Bhavsar

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

The Beat Ideas: Action Construction - A Bet on Manufacturing & Infrastructure Theme

Action Construction, a construction and heavy equipment leader, is undergoing transformation with a defence expansion and new product launches,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 49% Turnover; US$850m Trade; Election Results Coming

There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index in June. The potential adds have outpeformed the potential deletes. Results of the...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Initial Thoughts on Hyundai Motor India IPO

Hyundai Motor plans to sell a stake of up to 17.5% in the IPO of Hyundai Motor India Ltd. This IPO is expected to raise between US$2.5 billion to...

Douglas Kim

Postcard from Uttar Pradesh | Addressing the Core

​"Exploring the political and economic landscape of Uttar Pradesh through on-ground interactions in tier 2 and 3 locations, highlighting the...

Pranav Bhavsar

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

The Beat Ideas: Action Construction - A Bet on Manufacturing & Infrastructure Theme

​Action Construction, a construction and heavy equipment leader, is undergoing transformation with a defence expansion and new product launches,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 49% Turnover; US$850m Trade; Election Results Coming

There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index in June. The potential adds have outpeformed the potential deletes. Results of the...

Brian Freitas

"Exploring the political and economic landscape of Uttar Pradesh through on-ground interactions in tier 2 and 3 locations, highlighting the...

Action Construction, a construction and heavy equipment leader, is undergoing transformation with a defence expansion and new product launches,...