HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman Inc (2057 HK)</a> has outperformed industry volume growth in 1Q22 and such trend continues into 2Q22 with good ASP improvement and cost control. </li>
<li>Its strong operating cash flow and declining capex will lead to an accumulation of cash over the next few years, adding to the 1Q22 net cash position of Rmb4.1bn. </li>
<li>We think the stock's underperformance against peers not warranted. With a below-sector earnings multiple, leadership position and successful business model, we consider ZTO a "Growth at a reasonable price".</li>
</ul>



ZTO Express Cayman Inc (2057 HK) has outperformed industry volume growth in 1Q22 and such trend continues into 2Q22 with good ASP improvement and cost control. 
Its strong operating cash flow and declining capex will lead to an accumulation of cash over the next few years, adding to the 1Q22 net cash position of Rmb4.1bn. 
We think the stock's underperformance against peers not warranted. With a below-sector earnings multiple, leadership position and successful business model, we consider ZTO a "Growth at a reasonable price".


ZTO Express (2057 HK/ZTO US): Growth at a Reasonable Price

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Northbound connected recorded inflow of USD 2.7bn in May, led by financisl, utilities and energy sector.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili, Longi, and Industrial bank, as well as outflows from CATL, Conch, Haitian, Zijin and Tinci. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Northbound connected recorded inflow of USD 2.7bn in May, led by financisl, utilities and energy sector.
We highlight inflows into CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili, Longi, and Industrial bank, as well as outflows from CATL, Conch, Haitian, Zijin and Tinci. 


Northbound Flows Monthly (May): CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer staple, health care, and information technology led the outflows of USD 1.3bn last week.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of COSCO Shipping, SF Holding, Yangtze Power, CMB, Wuliangye, Moutai.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer staple, health care, and information technology led the outflows of USD 1.3bn last week.
We highlight flows of COSCO Shipping, SF Holding, Yangtze Power, CMB, Wuliangye, Moutai.


Northbound Flows: COSCO Shipping, SF Holding, Yangtze Power, CMB, Wuliangye, Moutai

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock-Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry. </li>
<li>Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.7bn, split between Shanghai (+US$1bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.3bn)  </li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-yangtze-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3210:1" rel="noopener">China Yangtze Power (600900 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-holdings-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27590:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Holdings (601919 CH)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (A) (300750 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock-Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry. 
Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.7bn, split between Shanghai (+US$1bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.3bn)  
The largest inflows were into China Yangtze Power (600900 CH) and Cosco Shipping Holdings (601919 CH). The largest outflows were in Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)and CATL (A) (300750 CH).


Shanghai/​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (27 May 2022)

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Financial, material, consumer discretionary led the inflow of USD 1.0bn last week. </li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CMB, China Yangtze Power, BYD, Longi Green Energy, SF Holding.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Financial, material, consumer discretionary led the inflow of USD 1.0bn last week. 
We highlight inflows into CMB, China Yangtze Power, BYD, Longi Green Energy, SF Holding.


Northbound Flows: CMB, China Yangtze Power, BYD, Longi Green Energy, SF Holding

China

S.F. Holding Co., Ltd operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides logistics, order tracking, supply chain management, and warehousing services. S.F. Holding operates worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

S.F. Holding (002352 CH)

ZTO Express (2057 HK/ZTO US): Growth at a Reasonable Price

ZTO Express has outperformed industry volume growth with healthy pricing levels so far into FY22. We anticipate it will continue to add net cash to...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Northbound Flows Monthly (May): CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili

Northbound stock connect recorded inflows of $2.7bn in May. We highlight inflows into CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili, Longi, Industrial bank, as well as...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows: COSCO Shipping, SF Holding, Yangtze Power, CMB, Wuliangye, Moutai

We highlight northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect flows of COSCO Shipping, SF Holding, Yangtze Power, CMB, Wuliangye, Moutai.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (27 May 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.7bn, split between Shanghai (+US$1bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.3bn) The largest inflow was into China Yangtze (600900...

David Blennerhassett

Northbound Flows: CMB, China Yangtze Power, BYD, Longi Green Energy, SF Holding

We highlight weekly northbound inflows into China Merchant Bank, China Yangtze Power, BYD, Longi Green Energy, SF Holding, and outflows from...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ZTO Express (2057 HK/ZTO US): Growth at a Reasonable Price

ZTO Express has outperformed industry volume growth with healthy pricing levels so far into FY22. We anticipate it will continue to add net cash to...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Northbound Flows Monthly (May): CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili

Northbound stock connect recorded inflows of $2.7bn in May. We highlight inflows into CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili, Longi, Industrial bank, as well as...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows: COSCO Shipping, SF Holding, Yangtze Power, CMB, Wuliangye, Moutai

We highlight northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect flows of COSCO Shipping, SF Holding, Yangtze Power, CMB, Wuliangye, Moutai.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (27 May 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.7bn, split between Shanghai (+US$1bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.3bn) The largest inflow was into China Yangtze (600900...

David Blennerhassett

Northbound Flows: CMB, China Yangtze Power, BYD, Longi Green Energy, SF Holding

We highlight weekly northbound inflows into China Merchant Bank, China Yangtze Power, BYD, Longi Green Energy, SF Holding, and outflows from...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (27 May 2022)