Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hyosung Corp's split diverges from usual Korean market splits. No tender offer is expected post-new holding company formation, reducing value accretion opportunities.</li>
<li>Sibling separation in Hyosung Corp's split mandates shares cross-transfers. Hence, block deals among siblings are plausible.</li>
<li>This scenario resembles the case in December 2021 when LX Koo Bon-joon disposed of LG Corp shares through a block deal instead of a swap, causing an 8% drop.</li>
</ul>


Hyosung Corp's split diverges from usual Korean market splits. No tender offer is expected post-new holding company formation, reducing value accretion opportunities.
Sibling separation in Hyosung Corp's split mandates shares cross-transfers. Hence, block deals among siblings are plausible.
This scenario resembles the case in December 2021 when LX Koo Bon-joon disposed of LG Corp shares through a block deal instead of a swap, causing an 8% drop.


Hyosung Corp Split: Potential Mirror of December 2021 LX-LG Block Deal

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>LX International announced today that it will not participate in the main bidding to acquire HMM Co.</li>
<li>This is likely to have a positive impact on LX International's share price as many investors are relieved that company will not raise excessive amounts of capital to acquire HMM.</li>
<li>In addition, by not acquiring HMM, LX International has enough financial resources to continue to pay high dividends. </li>
</ul>


LX International announced today that it will not participate in the main bidding to acquire HMM Co.
This is likely to have a positive impact on LX International's share price as many investors are relieved that company will not raise excessive amounts of capital to acquire HMM.
In addition, by not acquiring HMM, LX International has enough financial resources to continue to pay high dividends. 


LX International: Positive Impact from Not Participating in Main Bidding for HMM

<ul>
<li>KDB recently initiated the process of selecting an advisory firm to sell its stake in HMM, which will likely be the first to implement the mandatory offer rule.</li>
<li>Potential bidders include Hyundai Glovis, LX Holdings, and Samsung SDS. As for POSCO Holdings, it recently said that it is not considering acquiring HMM.</li>
<li>Given that HMM is the only national shipping company, there is a good chance that multiple bidders will appear, which will lead to a premium to the market price.</li>
</ul>


KDB recently initiated the process of selecting an advisory firm to sell its stake in HMM, which will likely be the first to implement the mandatory offer rule.
Potential bidders include Hyundai Glovis, LX Holdings, and Samsung SDS. As for POSCO Holdings, it recently said that it is not considering acquiring HMM.
Given that HMM is the only national shipping company, there is a good chance that multiple bidders will appear, which will lead to a premium to the market price.


HMM Is Likely the First to Be Subject to the Mandatory Offer that Comes into Force

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>A double dose of StubWorld this week, as <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6653:1" rel="noopener">LG Corp (003550 KS)</a></strong>'s NAV discount narrowing looks to have run its course.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on LG Copr are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


A double dose of StubWorld this week, as LG Corp (003550 KS)'s NAV discount narrowing looks to have run its course.
Preceding my comments on LG Copr are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


<ul>
<li>As expected, most of the KOSPI 200 deletions, except for Bukwang Pharm, significantly outperformed the KOSPI index today.</li>
<li>Those that fit the pattern shown in the last rebalancing are CJ CGV and Bukwang. The problem, however, is that they have potential events triggering their price to fall.</li>
<li>So, I suggest paying attention to Yungjin Pharm and SK Discovery, which also have a sizable level of short interest and are expected to have stable short-coverings by end-June.</li>
</ul>


As expected, most of the KOSPI 200 deletions, except for Bukwang Pharm, significantly outperformed the KOSPI index today.
Those that fit the pattern shown in the last rebalancing are CJ CGV and Bukwang. The problem, however, is that they have potential events triggering their price to fall.
So, I suggest paying attention to Yungjin Pharm and SK Discovery, which also have a sizable level of short interest and are expected to have stable short-coverings by end-June.


Short-Covering Trend of KOSPI 200 Deletions by Month-End

South Korea

LX Holdings Corp operates as an investment holding company. The company operates coal and mine supply business. LX Holdings also invests in combines heat and power hydroelectric plants.

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LX Holdings (383800 KS)

Hyosung Corp Split: Potential Mirror of December 2021 LX-LG Block Deal

This post explores Hyosung Corp's split announced last Friday, emphasizing the trading implications stemming from this development.

Sanghyun Park

LX International: Positive Impact from Not Participating in Main Bidding for HMM

LX International announced today that it will not participate in the main bidding to acquire HMM Co.This is likely to have a positive impact on LX...

Douglas Kim

HMM Is Likely the First to Be Subject to the Mandatory Offer that Comes into Force

This post investigates KDB's HMM stake sale reportedly initiated last week and discusses the possibility that this deal will be the first to be...

Sanghyun Park

StubWorld: LG Corp In Unwind Territory

If you had set up the stub, unwind here. The future listing of LG CNS will only add another layer to the structure, one which will not help narrow...

David Blennerhassett

Short-Covering Trend of KOSPI 200 Deletions by Month-End

This post investigates the pattern shown in the last KOSPI 200 rebalancing for short-covering on the deletions and applies it to this rebalancing...

Sanghyun Park

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