Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 16th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$850.0 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 16th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$850.0 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, energy.
We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL.


Northbound Flows (Sep 16th): Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CTG Duty-Free Group has priced its IPO at HK$158 per share, at a slight premium to the midpoint of the indicative IPO price range of HK$143.5-165.5 per share.</li>
<li>At HK$158 per share, the company raised net proceeds of HK$15,892.3 (approx. US$2.0bn) and the IPO is priced at an almost 30% discount to CTG’s A-share last close price.</li>
<li>Cornerstone investors subscribed for approx. 38.4% of the H-share offering (or 1.9% of the total issued share capital of the company post-offering) with some existing shareholders subscribing under placing guidelines.</li>
</ul>


CTG Duty-Free Group has priced its IPO at HK$158 per share, at a slight premium to the midpoint of the indicative IPO price range of HK$143.5-165.5 per share.
At HK$158 per share, the company raised net proceeds of HK$15,892.3 (approx. US$2.0bn) and the IPO is priced at an almost 30% discount to CTG’s A-share last close price.
Cornerstone investors subscribed for approx. 38.4% of the H-share offering (or 1.9% of the total issued share capital of the company post-offering) with some existing shareholders subscribing under placing guidelines.


CTG Duty-Free H-Share Listing: Thoughts on First Day Trading

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

Luzhou Laojiao Co Ltd A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Baijiu, the most popular liquor in China, is perhaps one of the most addictive and profitable alcoholic beverages in this planet.</li>
<li>The focus of this insight is a pair trade (go long on Luzhou Laojiao and go short on Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery).</li>
<li>The major reasons for this pair trade include higher sales growth rate and ROE for Luzhou Laojiao as well as capitalize on the recent share weakness of Luzhou vs Jiangsu.</li>
</ul>


Baijiu, the most popular liquor in China, is perhaps one of the most addictive and profitable alcoholic beverages in this planet.
The focus of this insight is a pair trade (go long on Luzhou Laojiao and go short on Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery).
The major reasons for this pair trade include higher sales growth rate and ROE for Luzhou Laojiao as well as capitalize on the recent share weakness of Luzhou vs Jiangsu.


China Beverage: Baijiu - The Most Addictive & Profitable Alcoholic Beverage in This Planet?

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy, Urbem (HK) Limited

Steven Chen

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The market has been so diligently hitting new highs this year, which may surprise many investors and annoy some like us;</li>
<li>Of course, there is nothing we can do about this, while, on the positive side, we do know what to buy in case of a more favorable market condition;</li>
<li>We put together our wish list for the new year containing top picks that we dream of buying a lot of when their valuations have turned south vastly.</li>
</ul>


The market has been so diligently hitting new highs this year, which may surprise many investors and annoy some like us;
Of course, there is nothing we can do about this, while, on the positive side, we do know what to buy in case of a more favorable market condition;
We put together our wish list for the new year containing top picks that we dream of buying a lot of when their valuations have turned south vastly.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

China

Luzhou Laojiao Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells spirits products worldwide. The Company also produces glass products, manages hotels, and invests in the real estate business.

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Luzhou Laojiao Co Ltd A (000568 CH)

Northbound Flows (Sep 16th): Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB, CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Beverage: Baijiu - The Most Addictive & Profitable Alcoholic Beverage in This Planet?

Baijiu, the most popular liquor in China, is perhaps one of the most addictive and profitable alcoholic beverages in this planet. We discuss a pair...

Douglas Kim

Our Wish List for 2021

We put together our wish list for 2021 containing top picks that we dream of buying a lot of when their valuations can turn south vastly.

Steven Chen

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (Sep 16th): Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB and CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Shaanxi Coal, CMB, CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CTG Duty-Free H-Share Listing: Thoughts on First Day Trading

CTG has priced its HK IPO at HK$158 per share and we think shares are overvalued. We expect the shares to open weak given the not so great investor...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

China Beverage: Baijiu - The Most Addictive & Profitable Alcoholic Beverage in This Planet?

Baijiu, the most popular liquor in China, is perhaps one of the most addictive and profitable alcoholic beverages in this planet. We discuss a pair...

Douglas Kim

Our Wish List for 2021

We put together our wish list for 2021 containing top picks that we dream of buying a lot of when their valuations can turn south vastly.

Steven Chen

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS...

Vermilion Research