Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Oil & Natural Gas Corp / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.</li>
<li>We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in <em>Int’l Compass</em> and <em>ETF Pathfinder</em> reports throughout 2023.</li>
<li>Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.
We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in Int’l Compass and ETF Pathfinder reports throughout 2023.
Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.


EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Berkshire's TSMC U-Turn. Berkshire's TSMC stake was sold down by 86.2% just months after acquiring it. One had to wonder what the about-face on the investment was based on.</li>
<li>Applied Materials results well received by the market, however provided some caveates in terms of how fast the Memory chip industry recovery will come. (Readthrough: Nanya Tech, Micron, SK hynix)</li>
<li>TSMC believes that the automotive chip crunch is now easing, which should be good news for the auto industry, especially EV.</li>
</ul>


Berkshire's TSMC U-Turn. Berkshire's TSMC stake was sold down by 86.2% just months after acquiring it. One had to wonder what the about-face on the investment was based on.
Applied Materials results well received by the market, however provided some caveates in terms of how fast the Memory chip industry recovery will come. (Readthrough: Nanya Tech, Micron, SK hynix)
TSMC believes that the automotive chip crunch is now easing, which should be good news for the auto industry, especially EV.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AMAT Results Imply Longer Memory Weakness, Berkshire's U-Turn on TSMC

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Eight stock remains, and six stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 96% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 48%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Eight stock remains, and six stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 96% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 48%


<ul>
<li>ASML and Lam Research beat estimates last week and provided some relief to the semiconductor space.</li>
<li>Major global industry earnings coming this week include -- Samsung, SK Hynix, Texas Instruments, KLA Tencor, Apple, and Intel.</li>
<li>Major Taiwan earnings this week -- AUO, UMC, ASE, Realtek, Delta Electronics, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


ASML and Lam Research beat estimates last week and provided some relief to the semiconductor space.
Major global industry earnings coming this week include -- Samsung, SK Hynix, Texas Instruments, KLA Tencor, Apple, and Intel.
Major Taiwan earnings this week -- AUO, UMC, ASE, Realtek, Delta Electronics, Mediatek.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: ASML & Lam Provide Industry Optimism, Wave of Earnings This Week

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Major milestones for Hon Hai's EV platform could be unveiled at today's Hon Hai Tech Day.</li>
<li>Apple's dropping of a key China supplier shows how international players may want to just avoid even non-restricted products from China.</li>
<li>Senior semiconductor executives across the industry are halting work for China-based firms, including some leading Chinese execs.</li>
</ul>


Major milestones for Hon Hai's EV platform could be unveiled at today's Hon Hai Tech Day.
Apple's dropping of a key China supplier shows how international players may want to just avoid even non-restricted products from China.
Senior semiconductor executives across the industry are halting work for China-based firms, including some leading Chinese execs.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Tech Day Today, Apple Drops China Supplier; Shows Severity of New Rules

Taiwan

Lite-On Technology Corp. manufactures and markets a wide range of computer components and Peripheral equipment. The Company's products include computers, digital home products, consumer electronics, communications products, key components and sub-systems, and optoelectronic components. Power Supplies, Enclosures, and LEDs business are the core of Lite-On Technology's business.

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Lite On Technology (2301 TT)

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving -- Upgrading to Overweight; MSCI EM Technology remains an Overweight. Top Country Overweights: Taiwan, India,...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AMAT Results Imply Longer Memory Weakness, Berkshire's U-Turn on TSMC

Applied Materials results well received by the market, however provided some caveates in terms of how fast the Memory chip industry recovery will...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 39

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Six stock remains, and eight stocks added to our portfolio.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: ASML & Lam Provide Industry Optimism, Wave of Earnings This Week

Earnings season is now in full swing with a wave of results to be released this week for both the global industry and within Taiwan.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Tech Day Today, Apple Drops China Supplier; Shows Severity of New Rules

Major Hon Hai EV developments could be unveiled today. Also, Apple's dropping of a key China supplier shows how international players may want to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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