Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 1st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Commonw Bk Austr, Rio Tinto, Seven Group Hold, Wesfarmers, Igo, Yancoal Australi, Macquarie, Xero, Lovisa.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 1st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Commonw Bk Austr, Rio Tinto, Seven Group Hold, Wesfarmers, Igo, Yancoal Australi, Macquarie, Xero, Lovisa.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 1st): Commonw Bk Austr, Rio Tinto, Seven Group Hold, Wesfarmers, Igo

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sociedad-quimica-y-minera-de-chile-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27977:1" rel="noopener">Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile (SQM US)</a>/Hancock’s scheme and takeover offer fair and reasonable as it is above its A$2.03-2.93 valuation range. </li>
<li>The scheme is conditional on FIRB approval, which should be forthcoming as Azure’s key asset (Andover) will be majority-owned by Australian entities.</li>
<li>The scheme vote will get up due to irrevocables and retail support. At the last close and for the 18 April payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.1%/29.2%.</li>
</ul>


The Azure Minerals (AZS AU) IE considers Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile (SQM US)/Hancock’s scheme and takeover offer fair and reasonable as it is above its A$2.03-2.93 valuation range. 
The scheme is conditional on FIRB approval, which should be forthcoming as Azure’s key asset (Andover) will be majority-owned by Australian entities.
The scheme vote will get up due to irrevocables and retail support. At the last close and for the 18 April payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.1%/29.2%.


Azure Minerals (AZS AU): Scheme Vote on 8 April

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 23rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Bluescope Steel, Treasury Wine, Domino's Pizza.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 23rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Bluescope Steel, Treasury Wine, Domino's Pizza.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 23rd): Bluescope Steel, Treasury Wine, Domino's Pizza

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 16th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas Airways.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 16th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas Airways.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 16th): Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas Airways

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>JPMorgan is <a href="https://www.afr.com/street-talk/minres-selling-14-5pc-of-azure-minerals-jpm-nabs-trade-20240221-p5f6ta" target="_blank" rel="noopener">placing</a> <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mineral-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15103:1" rel="noopener">MinRes (MIN AU)</a></strong>'s 14.5% stake in <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a></strong> at A$3.42/share, a 5% discount to last close and a 7.6% discount to the A$3.70/share Scheme price. </li>
<li>It was reported last month that MinRes, who paid up to ~A$4.00/share for some of its stake, was looking to exit. But cash now vs. ~8% more in two months?</li>
<li>Given the recent rout in lithium and nickel prices, one wonders if a MAC landmine lurks. Or, quite simply, MinRes just needs the cash. Expect Azure to fall tomorrow.</li>
</ul>


JPMorgan is placing MinRes (MIN AU)'s 14.5% stake in Azure Minerals (AZS AU) at A$3.42/share, a 5% discount to last close and a 7.6% discount to the A$3.70/share Scheme price. 
It was reported last month that MinRes, who paid up to ~A$4.00/share for some of its stake, was looking to exit. But cash now vs. ~8% more in two months?
Given the recent rout in lithium and nickel prices, one wonders if a MAC landmine lurks. Or, quite simply, MinRes just needs the cash. Expect Azure to fall tomorrow.


Australia

Liontown Resources Ltd. explores for and mines base metals.

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Liontown Resources (LTR AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 1st): Commonw Bk Austr, Rio Tinto, Seven Group Hold, Wesfarmers, Igo

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Commonw Bk Austr, Rio Tinto, Seven Group Hold,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Azure Minerals (AZS AU): Scheme Vote on 8 April

The scheme vote will get up due to irrevocables and retail support. At the last close and for the 18 April payment, the gross/annualised spread was...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 23rd): Bluescope Steel, Treasury Wine, Domino's Pizza

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Bluescope Steel, Treasury Wine, Domino's Pizza.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 16th): Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas Airways

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Azure (AZS AU): MinRes' Discounted Exit

Azure will fall tomorrow - early investors will take money off the table given this development. But this deal still looks done. Perhaps more so...

David Blennerhassett

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