Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, the<em><strong> net inflow</strong></em> over the past week was ~US$2.7bn, split (+US$1.38bn) for Shanghai and (+US$1.36bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi (2269 HK)</a></strong>. The largest outflows <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index (2828 HK)</a></strong>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$2.7bn, split (+US$1.38bn) for Shanghai and (+US$1.36bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into Tencent (700 HK) and Wuxi (2269 HK). The largest outflows Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) and Hang Seng H Share Index (2828 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (21 October 2022)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><ul><li>3Q22 results were roughly inline with the already low market expectation.</li><li>While management is still confident about 4Q22 and keeps the FY22E guidance, we are relatively more conservative due to industry-level competition.</li><li>We reiterate BUY but cut our TP to HK$73.08, based on a 29x FY23E P/E (vs 32x due to <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">sector de-rating). Its current valuation of 21x FY23E P/E is not too demanding.</span></li></ul></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

3Q22 results were roughly inline with the already low market expectation.While management is still confident about 4Q22 and keeps the FY22E guidance, we are relatively more conservative due to industry-level competition.We reiterate BUY but cut our TP to HK$73.08, based on a 29x FY23E P/E (vs 32x due to sector de-rating). Its current valuation of 21x FY23E P/E is not too demanding.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Ning (2331 HK) – Guidance maintained but we are conservative

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK)</a> aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.</li>
<li>We had looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we’ll talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK) aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.
GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.
We had looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we’ll talk about valuations.


Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK)</a>  aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.</li>
<li>We had looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we’ll undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK)  aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.
GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.
We had looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we’ll undertake a peer comparison.


Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Might Need to Spend a Lot More Online

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 14th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent (700 HK), and Li Auto (2015 HK). </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 14th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Tencent (700 HK), and Li Auto (2015 HK). 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 14th): Tencent, Li Auto

China

Li Ning Company Limited researches, designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails sports footwear, apparel and accessories for sport and leisure use.

Price Gauge
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Li Ning (2331 HK)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (21 October 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$2.7bn, split (+US$1.38bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Li Ning (2331 HK) – Guidance maintained but we are conservative

We reiterate BUY but cut our TP to HK$73.08, based on a 29x FY23E P/E (vs 32x due to sector de-rating). Its current valuation of 21x FY23E P/E is...

CMB International

Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK) aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Might Need to Spend a Lot More Online

Giant Biogene Holding aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 14th): Tencent, Li Auto

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent Holding (700 HK), and Li Auto (2015 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (21 October 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$2.7bn, split (+US$1.38bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Li Ning (2331 HK) – Guidance maintained but we are conservative

We reiterate BUY but cut our TP to HK$73.08, based on a 29x FY23E P/E (vs 32x due to sector de-rating). Its current valuation of 21x FY23E P/E is...

CMB International

Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK) aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Might Need to Spend a Lot More Online

Giant Biogene Holding aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 14th): Tencent, Li Auto

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent Holding (700 HK), and Li Auto (2015 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (21 October 2022)