Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. </li>
<li>While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.</li>
<li>Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. 
While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.
Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.


MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>XPEV/LI/NIO/1211HK/TSLA: China extends NEV purchase tax exemption until end of 2025 (+)</li>
<li>NTES: NetEase's  racing game "Racing Master" officially launched（ - ）</li>
<li>700HK： Tencent Cloud launches its own Industry-Specific Large Language Models to Drive Intelligent Upgrades for Enterprises（+）</li>
</ul>


XPEV/LI/NIO/1211HK/TSLA: China extends NEV purchase tax exemption until end of 2025 (+)
NTES: NetEase's  racing game "Racing Master" officially launched（ - ）
700HK： Tencent Cloud launches its own Industry-Specific Large Language Models to Drive Intelligent Upgrades for Enterprises（+）


China TMT Update-Xpev/Li/Nio/1211hk/Tsla/NTES/700HK: Extends NEV Purchase Tax Exemption Until 2025

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +6.3%y/y for 1Q23-to-date, slightly down from the +7.5% reported for 4Q22.</li>
<li>Only 51% of companies delivered positive sales surprises, whilst 60% delivered positive EPS surprises, an increase from the trend seen over the past year.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +6.3%y/y for 1Q23-to-date, slightly down from the +7.5% reported for 4Q22.
Only 51% of companies delivered positive sales surprises, whilst 60% delivered positive EPS surprises, an increase from the trend seen over the past year.
Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 1Q2023

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc. ended its holdout in China’s car price war and slashed base prices on all of its vehicles by 30,000 yuan ($4,200) in hopes of bolstering sales amid escalating competition in China, the world’s largest auto market.</li><li>Nio also pulled the plug on its free battery-exchange service for car buyers and introduced a pay-as-you-go system and a 30,000 yuan lifetime swap service.</li><li>The vehicle price cuts announced Monday will reduce the starting price of Nio’s new electric SUV ES6 to 338,000 yuan. The price of the mid-size electric sedan model ET5 will be lowered to 298,000 yuan. The changes take effect immediately, Nio said.</li></ul>

Electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc. ended its holdout in China’s car price war and slashed base prices on all of its vehicles by 30,000 yuan ($4,200) in hopes of bolstering sales amid escalating competition in China, the world’s largest auto market.Nio also pulled the plug on its free battery-exchange service for car buyers and introduced a pay-as-you-go system and a 30,000 yuan lifetime swap service.The vehicle price cuts announced Monday will reduce the starting price of Nio’s new electric SUV ES6 to 338,000 yuan. The price of the mid-size electric sedan model ET5 will be lowered to 298,000 yuan. The changes take effect immediately, Nio said.

Nio Ends Holdout in China’s Auto Price War

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Pinduoduo /: China’s faltering recovery is good for business — at least if you’re Pinduoduo</li><li>Palestine-Israel /: Xi proposes three-point resolution for Palestinian-Israeli conflict</li><li>Jobless /: Chart of the Day: China’s youth unemployment breaks record as graduate influx looms</li></ul>

Pinduoduo /: China’s faltering recovery is good for business — at least if you’re PinduoduoPalestine-Israel /: Xi proposes three-point resolution for Palestinian-Israeli conflictJobless /: Chart of the Day: China’s youth unemployment breaks record as graduate influx looms

CX Daily: China’s Faltering Recovery Is Good for Business — at Least if You’re Pinduoduo

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

MSCI $ACWI Bullish Above $93, inverse head-and-shoulders breakout targets $110; EURO $STOXX 50 Holding At the Uptrend; Buys in Consumer...

Vermilion Research

China TMT Update-Xpev/Li/Nio/1211hk/Tsla/NTES/700HK: Extends NEV Purchase Tax Exemption Until 2025

XPEV/LI/NIO/1211HK/TSLA: China extends NEV purchase tax exemption until 2025/ NTES: "Racing Master" officially launched/700HK： Tencent Cloud...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 1Q2023

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends with reference to Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive...

Wium Malan, CFA

Nio Ends Holdout in China’s Auto Price War

Electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc. ended its holdout in China’s car price war and slashed base prices on all of its vehicles by 30,000 yuan ($4,200)...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: China’s Faltering Recovery Is Good for Business — at Least if You’re Pinduoduo

Pinduoduo /: China’s faltering recovery is good for business — at least if you’re Pinduoduo Palestine-Israel /: Xi proposes three-point resolution...

Caixin Global

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