Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Li Auto's revenue increased by 271% YoY and vehicle deliveries increased by 296% YoY in 3Q23.</li>
<li>NIO will dismiss 10% of its employees and even 20% in some departments.</li>
<li>We do not believe Alibaba will take over the whole Best Inc.</li>
</ul>


Li Auto's revenue increased by 271% YoY and vehicle deliveries increased by 296% YoY in 3Q23.
NIO will dismiss 10% of its employees and even 20% in some departments.
We do not believe Alibaba will take over the whole Best Inc.


China Consumption Weekly (13Nov2023): Li Auto, NIO, Alibaba, Best, Meituan, KE

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>CPNG/BABA/PDD : Coupang sacrifices profitability for growth in 3Q23 (-/+/+)</li>
<li>LI/XPEV/NIO/TLSA1211.HK: Tesla raises prices for Model 3 + Model Y on November 9th (+)</li>
<li>ZLAB: ZLAB's Q3 revenue slightly lower than our estimates, R&amp;D compressed profits</li>
</ul>


CPNG/BABA/PDD : Coupang sacrifices profitability for growth in 3Q23 (-/+/+)
LI/XPEV/NIO/TLSA1211.HK: Tesla raises prices for Model 3 + Model Y on November 9th (+)
ZLAB: ZLAB's Q3 revenue slightly lower than our estimates, R&amp;D compressed profits


[Blue Lotus Daily]: LI/XPEV/NIO/TSLA/ATAT/HTHT/ZLAB/ACMR/CPNG/BABA/PDD/BEKE

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Zeekr, a premium EV brand by Geely, aims to raise around US$1bn (estimated) in its US listing in 1H2023. GS, BofA and MS are said to be running the deal.</li>
<li>Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.</li>
<li>In this note, we take an early look at the IPO based on publicly avaiable information.</li>
</ul>


Zeekr, a premium EV brand by Geely, aims to raise around US$1bn (estimated) in its US listing in 1H2023. GS, BofA and MS are said to be running the deal.
Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
In this note, we take an early look at the IPO based on publicly avaiable information.


Zeekr IPO Early Look - Possibly US$0 to US$7bn Revenue in Under Three Years

<ul>
<li>Two days before Huawei and Chery releasing their Luxeed S7 sedan to rival Model 3, LI unveiled the technical details of its MPV entry MEGA; </li>
<li>We see MEGA taking a meaningful market share from BYD’s Denza D9, GM’s GL8, GAC’s Trumpchi M8, all selling ~10K a month. We raise MEGA’s 2024 shipment to 57K;</li>
<li>We raise LI’s TP from US$40 to US$47 and maintain BUY.</li>
</ul>


Two days before Huawei and Chery releasing their Luxeed S7 sedan to rival Model 3, LI unveiled the technical details of its MPV entry MEGA; 
We see MEGA taking a meaningful market share from BYD’s Denza D9, GM’s GL8, GAC’s Trumpchi M8, all selling ~10K a month. We raise MEGA’s 2024 shipment to 57K;
We raise LI’s TP from US$40 to US$47 and maintain BUY.


[Li Auto Inc. (LI US, BUY, TP US$47) Target Price Change]: Li’s MEGA Can Change the MPV Landscape

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Probe / Caixin Explains: EU probe into Chinese EV-makers’ alleged state support</li><li><p>China-Australia /: China, Australia agree to boost engagement in trade, energy</p></li><li><p>Property /: China should avoid a real estate ‘hard landing,’ former Chongqing mayor says</p></li></ul>

Probe / Caixin Explains: EU probe into Chinese EV-makers’ alleged state supportChina-Australia /: China, Australia agree to boost engagement in trade, energyProperty /: China should avoid a real estate ‘hard landing,’ former Chongqing mayor says

CX Daily: EU Probe Into Chinese EV-Makers’ Alleged State Support 

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Li Auto (LI US)

China Consumption Weekly (13Nov2023): Li Auto, NIO, Alibaba, Best, Meituan, KE

Li Auto, Revenue increased by 271% YoY and vehicle deliveries increased by 296% YoY in 3Q23. NIO will dismiss 10% of its employees. We do not...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily]: LI/XPEV/NIO/TSLA/ATAT/HTHT/ZLAB/ACMR/CPNG/BABA/PDD/BEKE

Coupang prioritizes growth over profitability, Tesla increases prices for Model 3 and Model Y, ZLAB's Q3 revenue falls short of estimates.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Zeekr IPO Early Look - Possibly US$0 to US$7bn Revenue in Under Three Years

Zeekr, a premium EV brand by Geely, publicly filed for a US IPO overnight. The company had earlier planned to raise over US$1bn.

Sumeet Singh

[Li Auto Inc. (LI US, BUY, TP US$47) Target Price Change]: Li’s MEGA Can Change the MPV Landscape

"LI unveils technical details of MEGA MPV, expected to compete with Denza D9, GL8, and Trumpchi M8. Shipment estimate raised to 57K by 2024. LI's...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: EU Probe Into Chinese EV-Makers’ Alleged State Support

Probe / Caixin Explains: EU probe into Chinese EV-makers’ alleged state support Chinese electric-vehicle (EV) manufacturers’ European business has...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Consumption Weekly (13Nov2023): Li Auto, NIO, Alibaba, Best, Meituan, KE

Li Auto, Revenue increased by 271% YoY and vehicle deliveries increased by 296% YoY in 3Q23. NIO will dismiss 10% of its employees. We do not...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily]: LI/XPEV/NIO/TSLA/ATAT/HTHT/ZLAB/ACMR/CPNG/BABA/PDD/BEKE

​Coupang prioritizes growth over profitability, Tesla increases prices for Model 3 and Model Y, ZLAB's Q3 revenue falls short of estimates.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Zeekr IPO Early Look - Possibly US$0 to US$7bn Revenue in Under Three Years

Zeekr, a premium EV brand by Geely, publicly filed for a US IPO overnight. The company had earlier planned to raise over US$1bn.

Sumeet Singh

[Li Auto Inc. (LI US, BUY, TP US$47) Target Price Change]: Li’s MEGA Can Change the MPV Landscape

​"LI unveils technical details of MEGA MPV, expected to compete with Denza D9, GL8, and Trumpchi M8. Shipment estimate raised to 57K by 2024. LI's...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: EU Probe Into Chinese EV-Makers’ Alleged State Support

Probe / Caixin Explains: EU probe into Chinese EV-makers’ alleged state support Chinese electric-vehicle (EV) manufacturers’ European business has...

Caixin Global

Coupang prioritizes growth over profitability, Tesla increases prices for Model 3 and Model Y, ZLAB's Q3 revenue falls short of estimates.

"LI unveils technical details of MEGA MPV, expected to compete with Denza D9, GL8, and Trumpchi M8. Shipment estimate raised to 57K by 2024. LI's...