Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 23rd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Li Auto and Sunny Optical.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 23rd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Li Auto and Sunny Optical.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Sunny Optical

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.3bn, split (+US$0.75bn) for Shanghai and (+US$0.58bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical (2382 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.3bn, split (+US$0.75bn) for Shanghai and (+US$0.58bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into Tencent (700 HK) and CNOOC Ltd (883 HK). The largest outflows were in Sunny Optical (2382 HK) and ICBC (H) (1398 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$48.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$6,057.4 million (US$772 million). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>The H Shares of peers posted no first-day gains and are currently below the listing prices. Market sentiment on peers has remained weak since the release of the prospectus.</li>
<li>Leapmotor, at best, should trade in line with median peer multiples. Leapmotor is fairly valued at the IPO price. We continue to remain on the sidelines.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (9863 HK) priced its H Share at HK$48.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$6,057.4 million (US$772 million). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.
The H Shares of peers posted no first-day gains and are currently below the listing prices. Market sentiment on peers has remained weak since the release of the prospectus.
Leapmotor, at best, should trade in line with median peer multiples. Leapmotor is fairly valued at the IPO price. We continue to remain on the sidelines.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>CALB aims to raise up to US$1.7bn in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>


CALB aims to raise up to US$1.7bn in its Hong Kong IPO.
CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about IPO pricing.


CALB IPO - Low-End Appears Reasonable but Will Still Need Some Charging Support

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> is looking to raise between US$800m-US$1.03bn by selling 130.82m shares at a price range of HK$48-62/share. Between 30-39% of the shares will be taken by cornerstone investors.</li>
<li>The continued slide in its closest peers could put pressure on the stock post listing, though there could be some passive buying in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> could be added to the HSCI and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in December. Stock Connect could come online in December too.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (9863 HK) is looking to raise between US$800m-US$1.03bn by selling 130.82m shares at a price range of HK$48-62/share. Between 30-39% of the shares will be taken by cornerstone investors.
The continued slide in its closest peers could put pressure on the stock post listing, though there could be some passive buying in December.

Leapmotor (9863 HK) could be added to the HSCI and Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in December. Stock Connect could come online in December too.


Leapmotor (9863 HK) IPO - Stock Connect & Index Flows Could Provide Some Support

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (2015 HK)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Sunny Optical

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position and highlight short interest changes in Li Auto, Sunny Optical.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.3bn, split (-US$0.75bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Leapmotor IPO: Trading Debut

Market sentiment on peers has remained weak since the release of the prospectus. Leapmotor, at best, is fairly valued at the IPO price. We continue...

Arun George

CALB IPO - Low-End Appears Reasonable but Will Still Need Some Charging Support

CALB aims to raise up to US$1.7bn in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the deal valuations and run it through our ECM framework.

Sumeet Singh

Leapmotor (9863 HK) IPO - Stock Connect & Index Flows Could Provide Some Support

Leapmotor is expected to list on 29 September. Poor peer performance could be a dampener, while passive HSTECH inflows and Southbound Stock Connect...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Sunny Optical

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position and highlight short interest changes in Li Auto, Sunny Optical.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.3bn, split (-US$0.75bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Leapmotor IPO: Trading Debut

Market sentiment on peers has remained weak since the release of the prospectus. Leapmotor, at best, is fairly valued at the IPO price. We continue...

Arun George

CALB IPO - Low-End Appears Reasonable but Will Still Need Some Charging Support

CALB aims to raise up to US$1.7bn in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the deal valuations and run it through our ECM framework.

Sumeet Singh

Leapmotor (9863 HK) IPO - Stock Connect & Index Flows Could Provide Some Support

Leapmotor is expected to list on 29 September. Poor peer performance could be a dampener, while passive HSTECH inflows and Southbound Stock Connect...

Brian Freitas

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)