Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As for LG Energy's inclusion timing, Solactive made a rule change, presumably designed for LG Energy's earlier entry on April 29.</li>
<li>Since LG Chem also has a battery-related business, LG Chem may remain in this index. However, the possibility should be low because its battery business is small in total sales.</li>
<li>LG Chem will experience an outflow of ₩250B (1.0x ADTV). And assuming that LG Energy receives 4.75%, a passive impact of 0.31x at a DTV of 1.5M shares is expected.</li>
</ul>


As for LG Energy's inclusion timing, Solactive made a rule change, presumably designed for LG Energy's earlier entry on April 29.
Since LG Chem also has a battery-related business, LG Chem may remain in this index. However, the possibility should be low because its battery business is small in total sales.
LG Chem will experience an outflow of ₩250B (1.0x ADTV). And assuming that LG Energy receives 4.75%, a passive impact of 0.31x at a DTV of 1.5M shares is expected.


Solactive Global Lithium Index (LIT): Earlier Implementation Expected for LG Energy & LG Chem

<ul>
<li>There is recently a growing view that the ETF operators (KODEX and TIGER) will conduct most of the rebalancing trading on February 9 to avoid excessive tracking errors.</li>
<li>
LG Chem will face an outflow of ₩0.38T (0.8% of SO and 1.37x ADTV). LG Energy would be 0.36x ADTV and 0.31% of SO, assuming a DTV of 2M shares.</li>
<li>This is definitely a clear long/short setup opportunity: LG Energy LONG/LG Chem SHORT position. Alternatively, we can also consider approaching this event with Battery ETFs LONG/LG Chem Short setup.</li>
</ul>


There is recently a growing view that the ETF operators (KODEX and TIGER) will conduct most of the rebalancing trading on February 9 to avoid excessive tracking errors.

LG Chem will face an outflow of ₩0.38T (0.8% of SO and 1.37x ADTV). LG Energy would be 0.36x ADTV and 0.31% of SO, assuming a DTV of 2M shares.
This is definitely a clear long/short setup opportunity: LG Energy LONG/LG Chem SHORT position. Alternatively, we can also consider approaching this event with Battery ETFs LONG/LG Chem Short setup.


LG Energy & LG Chem Passive Flow In/Out Estimations & Trading Considerations on February 9

<ul>
<li>The screening period for the upcoming rebalancing is May 3-31. LG Energy satisfies the 3-month minimum listing requirement, so it becomes eligible to join the Index in this rebalancing.</li>
<li>LG Energy will likely receive an inflow of ₩44.6B, 0.04% of SO. Considering its tight real-world float (less than 6%), it would still be something we don't want to overlook.</li>
<li>What is critical is an estimated outflow size of Celltrion. It would be about the same amount, but relative to its ADTV, it will be -0.26x.</li>
</ul>


The screening period for the upcoming rebalancing is May 3-31. LG Energy satisfies the 3-month minimum listing requirement, so it becomes eligible to join the Index in this rebalancing.
LG Energy will likely receive an inflow of ₩44.6B, 0.04% of SO. Considering its tight real-world float (less than 6%), it would still be something we don't want to overlook.
What is critical is an estimated outflow size of Celltrion. It would be about the same amount, but relative to its ADTV, it will be -0.26x.


FnGuide TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing: LG Energy IN & Celltrion OUT

<ul>
<li>The screening results based on the average market cap for the screening period until the last closing price have seven additions/deletions.</li>
<li>LG Energy will make Fast Entry. The one to make room for LG Energy should be Dongwon F&amp;B, an additional deletion to the seven deletions through the preliminary filtering.</li>
<li>F&amp;F Holdings may fail to meet the minimum float rate. If it doesn't make KOSPI 200 this time, Hyundai Marine &amp; Fire Insurance will get to stay in the Index.</li>
</ul>


The screening results based on the average market cap for the screening period until the last closing price have seven additions/deletions.
LG Energy will make Fast Entry. The one to make room for LG Energy should be Dongwon F&amp;B, an additional deletion to the seven deletions through the preliminary filtering.
F&amp;F Holdings may fail to meet the minimum float rate. If it doesn't make KOSPI 200 this time, Hyundai Marine &amp; Fire Insurance will get to stay in the Index.


KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Screening: Prediction Likelihood, Special Issues, & Passive Impacts

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<ul>
<li>The review period for the KRX New Deal indices ended on 31 January. The changes will be announced toward the end of February and implemented on 10 March.</li>
<li>We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> to be included in the Battery and BBIG indices, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300 KS)</a> should be added to the Internet Index.</li>
<li>The largest selling is expected to be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a> due to a potential downweight in the Internet index and a deletion from the BBIG index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the KRX New Deal indices ended on 31 January. The changes will be announced toward the end of February and implemented on 10 March.
We expect LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) to be included in the Battery and BBIG indices, while Kakao Pay (377300 KS) should be added to the Internet Index.
The largest selling is expected to be on Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) due to a potential downweight in the Internet index and a deletion from the BBIG index.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview (March): More Flow for LG Energy

South Korea

LG Energy Solution produces and sells batteries. The Company manufactures and sells automobile batteries, small batteries, energy storage system batteries, and other products. LG Energy Solution markets its products worldwide.

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LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)

Solactive Global Lithium Index (LIT): Earlier Implementation Expected for LG Energy & LG Chem

Solactive Global Lithium Index (LIT) will likely make earlier Implementation for LG Energy and LG Chem, likely on April 29, the last business day...

Sanghyun Park

LG Energy & LG Chem Passive Flow In/Out Estimations & Trading Considerations on February 9

This post estimates the passive flows of the local battery ETFs for LG Energy and LG Chem on February 9 and examines trading considerations.

Sanghyun Park

FnGuide TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing: LG Energy IN & Celltrion OUT

This post previews the upcoming rebalancing of the FnGuide Top 10 Index (TIGER ETF, KS 292150), whose AUM currently amounts to ₩1T. At this point,...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Screening: Prediction Likelihood, Special Issues, & Passive Impacts

This post has the screening results of the KOSPI 200 rebalancing, with a focus on prediction likelihood, special considerations, and passive impacts.

Sanghyun Park

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview (March): More Flow for LG Energy

There are many changes to the KRX New Deal indices at the March rebal. The largest inflow is on LG Energy. The largest buying impact is on...

Brian Freitas

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