Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>FY 22 Q1 result was good although not unexpected thanks to mgt guidance. </li>
<li>Cash on hand may be reduced but it counts a very big Korean EV battery makers as the top customers thus some safety is in place. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/w-scope-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8597:1" rel="noopener">W Scope Corp (6619 JP)</a> should be able to expand its customer base beyond the big Korean battery maker. </li>
</ul>


FY 22 Q1 result was good although not unexpected thanks to mgt guidance. 
Cash on hand may be reduced but it counts a very big Korean EV battery makers as the top customers thus some safety is in place. 

W Scope Corp (6619 JP) should be able to expand its customer base beyond the big Korean battery maker. 


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We cannot completely rule out the possibility that Solactive will announce a correction disclosure for the LG Energy Inclusion/LG Chem Exclusion 2 to 3 trading days before May 11th.</li>
<li>LG Energy can expect an inflow of 0.85x ADTV (0.16% of SO). On the other hand, LG Chem will face an outflow of -1.76x ADTV (0.52% of SO).</li>
<li>Considering the correction disclosure uncertainty and the passive flow size, we should approach this as a day trading event after watching the results by this Friday (or the following Monday).</li>
</ul>


We cannot completely rule out the possibility that Solactive will announce a correction disclosure for the LG Energy Inclusion/LG Chem Exclusion 2 to 3 trading days before May 11th.
LG Energy can expect an inflow of 0.85x ADTV (0.16% of SO). On the other hand, LG Chem will face an outflow of -1.76x ADTV (0.52% of SO).
Considering the correction disclosure uncertainty and the passive flow size, we should approach this as a day trading event after watching the results by this Friday (or the following Monday).


LG Energy/LG Chem Flow Trading on Solactive Lithium Index Rebalancing

<ul>
<li>The KOSPI 200 June Review will have a total of 13 float rate changes: 11 increases and 2 reductions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaobank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33501:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Bank (323410)</a> will experience the biggest change, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hmm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13494:1" rel="noopener">HMM (011200)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener"> Krafton Inc (259960)</a>. The float rate of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdc-hyundai-development-co-engineering-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27397:1" rel="noopener">HDC Hyundai Development (294870)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-infracore-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3982:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Infracore (042670)</a> will decrease.</li>
<li>
Kakao Bank and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300)</a> have the most significant passive impact. And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6653:1" rel="noopener">LG Corp (003550)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woori-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27995:1" rel="noopener">Woori Financial Group (316140)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener"> Krafton Inc (259960)</a> are also worth noting.</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 June Review will have a total of 13 float rate changes: 11 increases and 2 reductions.

Kakao Bank (323410) will experience the biggest change, followed by HMM (011200) and  Krafton Inc (259960). The float rate of HDC Hyundai Development (294870) and Doosan Infracore (042670) will decrease.

Kakao Bank and Kakao Pay (377300) have the most significant passive impact. And LG Corp (003550), Woori Financial Group (316140), and  Krafton Inc (259960) are also worth noting.


KOSPI 200 Constituents with a Float Rate Change: 11 Increases & 2 Reductions

<ul>
<li>A noteworthy flow trend in the Korean stock market is the National Pension Service's local equity purchase. For this, they tend to overweight those previously underweighted blue-chip stocks. </li>
<li>All of the top 10 most net-bought stocks by local pensions on April 18-26 are KOSPI 200 constituents. And most of them all have a relatively small NPS-owned stake.</li>
<li>Most of them have significantly outperformed the KOSPI 200 (-0.90%) during this period.</li>
</ul>


A noteworthy flow trend in the Korean stock market is the National Pension Service's local equity purchase. For this, they tend to overweight those previously underweighted blue-chip stocks. 
All of the top 10 most net-bought stocks by local pensions on April 18-26 are KOSPI 200 constituents. And most of them all have a relatively small NPS-owned stake.
Most of them have significantly outperformed the KOSPI 200 (-0.90%) during this period.


Noteworthy Flow Trend: Korea NPS Overweighting Local Equity

<ul>
<li>Solactive Global X Lithium (LIT) made an ordinary rebalancing announcement. LG Energy fails to join the Index this time. The inclusion seems to have been pushed back to October.</li>
<li>
LG Energy's short-term flow is likely to receive downward pressure from the 3M IPO lockups to be released today as it cannot expect additional passive inflows in the short term.</li>
<li>These are 1.87M shares (3.7x ADTV). As the share price is still up more than 40% from the IPO price, their profit realization incentives are expected to be quite strong.</li>
</ul>


Solactive Global X Lithium (LIT) made an ordinary rebalancing announcement. LG Energy fails to join the Index this time. The inclusion seems to have been pushed back to October.

LG Energy's short-term flow is likely to receive downward pressure from the 3M IPO lockups to be released today as it cannot expect additional passive inflows in the short term.
These are 1.87M shares (3.7x ADTV). As the share price is still up more than 40% from the IPO price, their profit realization incentives are expected to be quite strong.


LG Energy Fails Inclusion in LIT's April Rebalancing & Faces 3M Lockup Release (3.7x ADTV) Today

South Korea

LG Energy Solution produces and sells batteries. The Company manufactures and sells automobile batteries, small batteries, energy storage system batteries, and other products. LG Energy Solution markets its products worldwide.

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LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)

W Scope (6619): More yet to Come

W Scope Korea and W Scope Japan for new coating lines and given its track record, it is not impossible that the company will carry on recording...

Henry Soediarko

LG Energy/LG Chem Flow Trading on Solactive Lithium Index Rebalancing

This post examines the trading event of LG Energy Solution and LG Chem amid the Solactive Lithium Battery Index rebalancing in May.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 Constituents with a Float Rate Change: 11 Increases & 2 Reductions

This post summarizes all the KOSPI 200 constituents, which will likely change their respective float rate in the June Review.

Sanghyun Park

Noteworthy Flow Trend: Korea NPS Overweighting Local Equity

The NPS seems to have recently begun to overweight local equity, and this post investigates this significant flow trend and the stocks worthy of...

Sanghyun Park

LG Energy Fails Inclusion in LIT's April Rebalancing & Faces 3M Lockup Release (3.7x ADTV) Today

LG Energy fails inclusion in Solactive Global X Lithium Index's April rebalancing and faces the 3M IPO lockup release (3.7x ADTV) today.

Sanghyun Park

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