Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vidente-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10357:1" rel="noopener">Vidente (121800 KS)</a> has not submitted its semiannual reports and has been labeled as an 'Administrative Issue'. This means deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> on 19 August.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hancom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13366:1" rel="noopener">Hancom Inc (030520 KS)</a> was the highest ranked stock to not be included in the index at the June rebalance. It will now be included in the index.</li>
<li>Passive funds will need to buy KRW 8.8bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hancom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13366:1" rel="noopener">Hancom Inc (030520 KS)</a> while selling KRW 11.2bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vidente-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10357:1" rel="noopener">Vidente (121800 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Vidente (121800 KS) has not submitted its semiannual reports and has been labeled as an 'Administrative Issue'. This means deletion from the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) on 19 August.

Hancom Inc (030520 KS) was the highest ranked stock to not be included in the index at the June rebalance. It will now be included in the index.
Passive funds will need to buy KRW 8.8bn of Hancom Inc (030520 KS) while selling KRW 11.2bn of Vidente (121800 KS). 


KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Hancom (030520) To Replace Vidente (121800)

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the dividends announcements which have been made by some of the largest Korean companies (25) in the past two days.</li>
<li>The average percentage difference in the actual versus the consensus estimate DPS in 2021 is 37.4% for these 25 companies.</li>
<li>Kia Motors now has a very nice dividend yield of 3.8%. DPS increased at an impressive rate of 200% YoY in 2021. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the dividends announcements which have been made by some of the largest Korean companies (25) in the past two days.
The average percentage difference in the actual versus the consensus estimate DPS in 2021 is 37.4% for these 25 companies.
Kia Motors now has a very nice dividend yield of 3.8%. DPS increased at an impressive rate of 200% YoY in 2021. 


Key Highlights of 25 Major Korean Companies Making Dividends Announcements for 2021

<ul>
<li>It has been an interesting year and short interest has varied a lot across countries, sectors and stocks. We look at changes in Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan.</li>
<li>Shorts have soared in Korea following the resumption of short selling, while short interest has increased in the other countries too.</li>
<li>Ping An Insurance and BYD had the biggest short covering, while China Merchants Bank saw the largest increase in shorts over the year.</li>
</ul>


It has been an interesting year and short interest has varied a lot across countries, sectors and stocks. We look at changes in Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan.
Shorts have soared in Korea following the resumption of short selling, while short interest has increased in the other countries too.
Ping An Insurance and BYD had the biggest short covering, while China Merchants Bank saw the largest increase in shorts over the year.


Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>
Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.</li>
<li>
Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.</li>
<li>Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, </li>
<li>
As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.</li>
</ul>



Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.

Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.
Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, 

As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.


Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

South Korea

LG Display Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures digital display products.  The Company's products include thin film transistor-liquid crystal displays (TFT-LCD) for notebook and desktop computer monitors, TVs, mobile phones, and medical equipment.  LG Display provides its products mainly to overseas markets.

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LG Display (034220 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Hancom (030520) To Replace Vidente (121800)

Vidente has been designated as an 'Administrative Issue' and will be deleted from the KOSDAQ150. Hancom will be added to the index and passive...

Brian Freitas

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

Key Highlights of 25 Major Korean Companies Making Dividends Announcements for 2021

In this insight, we discuss the dividends announcements which have been made by some of the largest Korean companies (25) in the past two days.

Douglas Kim

Asia: The Year in Shorts

There have been large increases and decreases in short interest on stocks across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan over the year. We look at the biggest...

Brian Freitas

Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

As we move through into Q1 2022, we expect to see volatility around highly priced & leveraged names. This screen is a key starting point towards...

David Lepper

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