Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between LG Electronics (066570 KS) (long) and LG Display (034220 KS) (short). </li>
<li>LG Display is likely to face greater margin pressures than LG Electronics this year, which could lead a bigger consensus estimates downward revisions for LG Display than LG Electronics. </li>
<li>Both LG Electronics and LG Display are trading at 0.6x P/B multiples. Given LG Electronics' much higher ROE vs LG Display, LG Electronics should be trading at higher valuation multiples. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between LG Electronics (066570 KS) (long) and LG Display (034220 KS) (short). 
LG Display is likely to face greater margin pressures than LG Electronics this year, which could lead a bigger consensus estimates downward revisions for LG Display than LG Electronics. 
Both LG Electronics and LG Display are trading at 0.6x P/B multiples. Given LG Electronics' much higher ROE vs LG Display, LG Electronics should be trading at higher valuation multiples. 


A Pair Trade Between LG Electronics and LG Display

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>iPhone 16 sales disappoint, LGD faces market obstacles, while Huawei enhances AI quality control in smart medicine.</li><li>Reduce defense emissions to combat climate change, safeguarding national security amid declining EV demand and weakening investments in European battery makers.</li><li>Thailand to establish first SiC facility by 2027, Taiwan introduces closed-loop lithium battery recycling system, boosts semiconductor innovation with US$9.3 billion initiative to stay competitive in the industry. US bans Chinese automotive tech.</li></ul>

iPhone 16 sales disappoint, LGD faces market obstacles, while Huawei enhances AI quality control in smart medicine.Reduce defense emissions to combat climate change, safeguarding national security amid declining EV demand and weakening investments in European battery makers.Thailand to establish first SiC facility by 2027, Taiwan introduces closed-loop lithium battery recycling system, boosts semiconductor innovation with US$9.3 billion initiative to stay competitive in the industry. US bans Chinese automotive tech.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Sep-2024): iPhone 16 sales lag, LGD struggles.

<ul><li>SLMs aiming to expand presence in GenAI business opportunities, while Joinsoon Electronics plans for 50:50 production split in Thailand by 2025.</li><li>European carmakers face challenges from potential Chinese retaliation against tariffs; South Korean equipment makers benefit from Chinese companies targeting OLED technology.</li><li>Global gaming subscription market expected to reach US$19 billion by 2024, with ITRI, SIIQ, MOEA collaborating to develop resilient semiconductor industry ecosystem. Taiwan's offshore wind farm installation signals industry shifts.</li></ul>

SLMs aiming to expand presence in GenAI business opportunities, while Joinsoon Electronics plans for 50:50 production split in Thailand by 2025.European carmakers face challenges from potential Chinese retaliation against tariffs; South Korean equipment makers benefit from Chinese companies targeting OLED technology.Global gaming subscription market expected to reach US$19 billion by 2024, with ITRI, SIIQ, MOEA collaborating to develop resilient semiconductor industry ecosystem. Taiwan's offshore wind farm installation signals industry shifts.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (10-Sep-2024): SLMs expand in GenAI markets - DIGITIMES.

<ul><li>ST reduces 2024 outlook amid industrial and automotive slowdown, impacting company's future projections.</li><li>VCs discuss Taiwan startups in AI industry, highlighting challenge of staying competitive in fast-evolving sector.</li><li>Global regulators collaborate to address market dominance of AI giants, emphasizing need for fair competition and consumer protection.</li></ul>

ST reduces 2024 outlook amid industrial and automotive slowdown, impacting company's future projections.VCs discuss Taiwan startups in AI industry, highlighting challenge of staying competitive in fast-evolving sector.Global regulators collaborate to address market dominance of AI giants, emphasizing need for fair competition and consumer protection.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Jul-2024): ST cuts 2024 outlook as demand slows.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short notional ticked higher on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets and is expected to continue increasing over the next few months.</li>
<li>Since the resumption of short selling, foreign holdings of Korean equities have increased from 29.26% to 29.3%.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> ratio has stayed stable over the last 3 trading days.</li>
</ul>


Short notional ticked higher on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets and is expected to continue increasing over the next few months.
Since the resumption of short selling, foreign holdings of Korean equities have increased from 29.26% to 29.3%.
The Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) to KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) ratio has stayed stable over the last 3 trading days.


Korea Short Selling: What Happened on Day 1?

South Korea

LG Display Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures digital display products.  The Company's products include thin film transistor-liquid crystal displays (TFT-LCD) for notebook and desktop computer monitors, TVs, mobile phones, and medical equipment.  LG Display provides its products mainly to overseas markets.

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LG Display (034220 KS)

A Pair Trade Between LG Electronics and LG Display

Both LG Electronics and LG Display are trading at 0.6x P/B multiples. Given LG Electronics' much higher ROE vs LG Display, LG Electronics should be...

Douglas Kim

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Sep-2024): iPhone 16 sales lag, LGD struggles.

iPhone 16 sales disappoint, LGD faces market obstacles, Huawei improves AI for smart medicine, Europe's battery makers struggle with declining EV...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (10-Sep-2024): SLMs expand in GenAI markets - DIGITIMES.

DIGITIMES Research: SLMs expanding in GenAI, Joinsoon Electronics targeting 50:50 split in production by 2025. Challenges for European carmakers,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Jul-2024): ST cuts 2024 outlook as demand slows.

ST cuts 2024 outlook, VCs advise Taiwan startups on AI, global regulators target tech giants, LG faces OLED shortage, Thailand stabilizes...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Korea Short Selling: What Happened on Day 1?

Short notional has increased as has foreign ownership of Korean equities. Stock selection will become increasingly important. The forecast index...

Brian Freitas

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