Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>HP undergoes leadership overhaul and revamps supply chain in preparation for Trump 2.0, while strict qualification measures impact 7nm technology development.</li><li>TSMC's AI chip expansion is overshadowed by the potential return of Trump, with global notebook shipments fluctuating in Q3/Q4 2024.</li><li>DIGITIMES Research forecasts a steady revenue growth of over 10% CAGR for the global wafer foundry industry during the 2024-2029 period, while Apple India's sales soar to US$8B driven by strong iPhone sales. Availability of Samsung's HBM3E for Nvidia's Blackwell remains uncertain.</li></ul>

HP undergoes leadership overhaul and revamps supply chain in preparation for Trump 2.0, while strict qualification measures impact 7nm technology development.TSMC's AI chip expansion is overshadowed by the potential return of Trump, with global notebook shipments fluctuating in Q3/Q4 2024.DIGITIMES Research forecasts a steady revenue growth of over 10% CAGR for the global wafer foundry industry during the 2024-2029 period, while Apple India's sales soar to US$8B driven by strong iPhone sales. Availability of Samsung's HBM3E for Nvidia's Blackwell remains uncertain.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Nov-2024): HP prepares for Trump 2.0 with changes in leadership and supply chain in NA.

Inspur Electronic Infmtn Indtry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>India's top player in the industry notes slow passenger EV sales, but sees a boom in commercial EVs.</li><li>Nvidia surpasses revenue estimates with strong data center expansion, leading to mixed analyst reactions.</li><li>China accelerates efforts for chip independence to lessen reliance on US technology in response to potential policies of the new Trump administration.</li></ul>

India's top player in the industry notes slow passenger EV sales, but sees a boom in commercial EVs.Nvidia surpasses revenue estimates with strong data center expansion, leading to mixed analyst reactions.China accelerates efforts for chip independence to lessen reliance on US technology in response to potential policies of the new Trump administration.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Nov-2024): Commercial EVs thrive despite passenger slowdown.

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>The official index changes and indicative weights for the December 2024 index rebal event will be announced later this week on Friday 22nd November 2024.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our updated flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
The official index changes and indicative weights for the December 2024 index rebal event will be announced later this week on Friday 22nd November 2024.
In this insight, we take a look at our updated flow expectations.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec 24: Large Flow Expectations Although No Index Changes Expected

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Tencent Music Entertainment Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market sectors outperforming since the stimulus in September are Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare as Utilities, Telecom and Energy lag.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crrc-corp-ltd-461535b2-37ac-4589-b4d9-8b71c06c43b8" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:124:1" rel="noopener">CRRC Corp Ltd H (1766 HK)</a> gets BUY recommendations as its results point to continued strength in the rail equipment sector with passenger volume surging.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36601:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK)</a> reported solid results as it shifts to a pay-to-stream subscription model. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> had a blowout quarter with EV sales surging.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market sectors outperforming since the stimulus in September are Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare as Utilities, Telecom and Energy lag.

CRRC Corp Ltd H (1766 HK) gets BUY recommendations as its results point to continued strength in the rail equipment sector with passenger volume surging.


Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK) reported solid results as it shifts to a pay-to-stream subscription model. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) had a blowout quarter with EV sales surging.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (NOVEMBER 18)

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Gajah Tunggal, Lenovo</li>
<li>In the US, advance retail sales came in slightly above expectations at 0.4% m-o-m in October (0.3% e / 0.8% revised p), driven by higher auto sales. In addition, retail sales growth for September was revised upwards to 0.8% (from 0.4%). Retail sales excluding auto expanded 0.1% m-o-m (0.3% e / 1.0% revised p).</li>
<li>Separately, industrial production fell 0.3% m-o-m in October (-0.4% e / -0.5% revised p), owing to the Boeing machinist strike and lingering impact from hurricanes Milton and Helene.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Gajah Tunggal, Lenovo
In the US, advance retail sales came in slightly above expectations at 0.4% m-o-m in October (0.3% e / 0.8% revised p), driven by higher auto sales. In addition, retail sales growth for September was revised upwards to 0.8% (from 0.4%). Retail sales excluding auto expanded 0.1% m-o-m (0.3% e / 1.0% revised p).
Separately, industrial production fell 0.3% m-o-m in October (-0.4% e / -0.5% revised p), owing to the Boeing machinist strike and lingering impact from hurricanes Milton and Helene.


China

Lenovo Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, sells, and manufactures personal computers and handheld devices. The Company also provides Internet services and IT services, and contracting manufacturing business.

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Lenovo (992 HK)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Nov-2024): HP prepares for Trump 2.0 with changes in leadership and supply chain in NA.

HP is preparing for Trump 2.0 with leadership changes and supply chain revamp, while strict wafer scrutiny affects 7nm tech development.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Nov-2024): Commercial EVs thrive despite passenger slowdown.

Passenger EV sales lag behind, but commercial EVs thrive; Nvidia surpasses revenue estimates, sparking analyst reactions; China accelerates chip...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec 24: Large Flow Expectations Although No Index Changes Expected

We currently estimate total one-way flow to be US$1.2bn during the December 2024 index rebal event. The final caps will be decided based on 3rd...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (NOVEMBER 18)

Hong Kong has seen its Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare sectors perform well since the stimulus in September. CRCC has had several buy...

David Mudd

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Gajah Tunggal, Lenovo

Lucror Analytics

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