HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The CARVYKTI commercialization will bring GenScript increasing revenue and cash flow. Together with the rapid growth of GCT CDMO, it is expected to see gradual improvement in GenScript’s financial performance.</li>
<li>The complex international relations, geopolitical conflicts and anti-globalization risks could weigh on bullish sentiment in the short term or cause stock prices to fluctuate wildly.</li>
<li>In the long term, GenScript’s “all-in” on GCT area enables it follow the industry trend closely. So,GenScript have the exponential growth potential in valuation, with possibility of surpassing WuXi Biologics.</li>
</ul>


The CARVYKTI commercialization will bring GenScript increasing revenue and cash flow. Together with the rapid growth of GCT CDMO, it is expected to see gradual improvement in GenScript’s financial performance.
The complex international relations, geopolitical conflicts and anti-globalization risks could weigh on bullish sentiment in the short term or cause stock prices to fluctuate wildly.
In the long term, GenScript’s “all-in” on GCT area enables it follow the industry trend closely. So,GenScript have the exponential growth potential in valuation, with possibility of surpassing WuXi Biologics.


Genscript Biotech - Commercialized CAR-T & Strong CGT CDMO Indicate Exponential Growth in Valuation

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Shanghai Municipal Medical Insurance Bureau issued a policy that TAVR consumables would be reimbursed according to surgery performance, breaking the bottleneck of low demand due to the expensive TAVR surgery.</li>
<li>The COVID nucleic acid testing industry faces the problem of exit, because it is very difficult to find a corresponding scale of replacement business for these huge capacity accumulated.</li>
<li>In terms of the internationalization prospects of China biotech companies, we prefer to pick RemeGen. The same logic also applies to Keymed.</li>
</ul>


Shanghai Municipal Medical Insurance Bureau issued a policy that TAVR consumables would be reimbursed according to surgery performance, breaking the bottleneck of low demand due to the expensive TAVR surgery.
The COVID nucleic acid testing industry faces the problem of exit, because it is very difficult to find a corresponding scale of replacement business for these huge capacity accumulated.
In terms of the internationalization prospects of China biotech companies, we prefer to pick RemeGen. The same logic also applies to Keymed.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.27) - New TAVR Policy, Exiting Issue of COVID Testing, RemeGen/Keymed

<ul>
<li>FDA’s CRL on Hutchmed and Junshi indicates if there’s no real innovation, there’s little point in doing MRCT. Chinese companies must re-evaluate the costs of internationalization.There’s nothing related to “politics”.</li>
<li>DRGs is a policy that will have a significant impact on the development trend of the entire healthcare industry, because it would change doctors’ interest orientation and companies’ profit model.</li>
<li>However, we believe that DRGs will be a top-level policy design, which will gradually be followed by supporting policies, such as special subsidies for innovation.</li>
</ul>


FDA’s CRL on Hutchmed and Junshi indicates if there’s no real innovation, there’s little point in doing MRCT. Chinese companies must re-evaluate the costs of internationalization.There’s nothing related to “politics”.
DRGs is a policy that will have a significant impact on the development trend of the entire healthcare industry, because it would change doctors’ interest orientation and companies’ profit model.
However, we believe that DRGs will be a top-level policy design, which will gradually be followed by supporting policies, such as special subsidies for innovation.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.6)-FDA’s CRL on Junshi/HCM, Biotech Globalization, Significance of DRGs

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US)</a> received FDA approval for its first product Carvykti in February as a fifth-line treatment of relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma.</li>
<li>Label expansion of Carvykti for earlier line of multiple myeloma treatments should expand addressable market, thereby increasing peak sales opportunity to $5 billion from initial expectation of $1.5 billion.</li>
<li>The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has added Legend to their delisting watchlist last week. The company needs to release required evidence by May 3 to stay listed.</li>
</ul>



Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US) received FDA approval for its first product Carvykti in February as a fifth-line treatment of relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma.
Label expansion of Carvykti for earlier line of multiple myeloma treatments should expand addressable market, thereby increasing peak sales opportunity to $5 billion from initial expectation of $1.5 billion.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has added Legend to their delisting watchlist last week. The company needs to release required evidence by May 3 to stay listed.


Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US): Carvykti Approval Is the Silver Lining Amid Uncertainty of Delisting

<ul>
<li>The executive meeting of State Council has indicated the future direction of China healthcare industry- With the expansion of the VBP scope, the traditional sales mode will be hit hard.</li>
<li>The pricing system of innovative drugs in national medical insurance negotiation has its logic actually. It could provide enterprises with reasonable profits, but not significant profits or exponential growth.</li>
<li>The approval results of FDA on products of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech (LEGN US)</a> and Junshi could allow investors to have a better judgment on the logic of internationalization of domestic innovative drugs.</li>
</ul>


The executive meeting of State Council has indicated the future direction of China healthcare industry- With the expansion of the VBP scope, the traditional sales mode will be hit hard.
The pricing system of innovative drugs in national medical insurance negotiation has its logic actually. It could provide enterprises with reasonable profits, but not significant profits or exponential growth.
The approval results of FDA on products of Legend Biotech (LEGN US) and Junshi could allow investors to have a better judgment on the logic of internationalization of domestic innovative drugs.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.18)-VBP Expansion, China Drug Pricing System,FDA Approval,Junshi/Legend

China

Legend Biotech Corporation operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company engages in discovery and development of novel cell therapies for oncology and other indications. Legend Biotech serves customers in the State of New Jersey.

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Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US)

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