External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported strong performance in Q2FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/PAT beating our estimates by 7/11/21% respectively</li><li>Tendering during the quarter was strong; however, awarding was muted with the award to tender ratio at 34% (vs 69% in Q1FY23)</li><li>EBITDA margin, at 11.5%, was stable due to improved performance in financial services and Hyderabad metro, which saw ridership improving to 355k per day</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported strong performance in Q2FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/PAT beating our estimates by 7/11/21% respectivelyTendering during the quarter was strong; however, awarding was muted with the award to tender ratio at 34% (vs 69% in Q1FY23)EBITDA margin, at 11.5%, was stable due to improved performance in financial services and Hyderabad metro, which saw ridership improving to 355k per dayContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Tata Power, Supreme Industries

<ul><li>Q2FY23 flat for infrastructure; mixed competitive intensity, commodities stable: In Q2FY23, the NHAI awarded just six projects, of which, two were HAM projects worth INR 30.7bn and four were EPC projects worth INR 41.2bn</li><li>With this, the NHAI awarded c.613 kms in H1FY23, with eleven HAM projects worth INR 128.8bn and five EPC projects worth INR 48.9bn</li><li>H1FY23 witnessed mixed competitive intensity, with eight projects won at 8% below the NHAI cost and eight projects at 10% above the NHAI cost</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY23 flat for infrastructure; mixed competitive intensity, commodities stable: In Q2FY23, the NHAI awarded just six projects, of which, two were HAM projects worth INR 30.7bn and four were EPC projects worth INR 41.2bnWith this, the NHAI awarded c.613 kms in H1FY23, with eleven HAM projects worth INR 128.8bn and five EPC projects worth INR 48.9bnH1FY23 witnessed mixed competitive intensity, with eight projects won at 8% below the NHAI cost and eight projects at 10% above the NHAI costContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Headwinds receding

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


<ul>
<li>The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +32.6%y/y for 2Q22, an acceleration from what was reported for 1Q22.</li>
<li>61% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, up from 58% in 1Q22, whilst 56% delivered positive EPS surprise, down from 64% in 1Q22.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a massive difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +32.6%y/y for 2Q22, an acceleration from what was reported for 1Q22.
61% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, up from 58% in 1Q22, whilst 56% delivered positive EPS surprise, down from 64% in 1Q22.
Historically, there has been a massive difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2022

India

GMR Infrastructure is an infrastructure company with interests in airports, power and roads. The Company is developing a greenfield international airport at Hyderabad, and is also operating, managing and developing the Delhi airport. Additionally, it is involved in development and operation of power plants and road projects in India.

Voltas Limited offers engineering solutions for a wide spectrum of industries in areas such as heating, ventilation and air conditioning, refrigeration, electro-mechanical projects, textile machinery, machine tools, mining and construction equipment, materials handling, water management, building management systems, indoor air quality and chemicals.

IRB Infrastructure Developers Limited is an infrastructure development and construction company in India with significant experience in the roads and highways sector.  The Company is also involved in the real estate development sector.

NBCC (India) Limited provides construction and engineering services. The Company constructs residential, commercial, and institutional buildings, as well as offers services, including project conceptualization, feasibility studies, construction drawings, detailed project reports, and project consulting services.

Kalpataru Power Transmission Limited manufactures transmission line towers for power distribution which are sold to The Power Grid Corporation of India and State Electricity Boards. The Company also exports its products to various countries and it also develops real estate.

NCC Ltd. is a construction company. The Group undertakes civil and structural infrastructure projects, real estate development and light engineering projects.

KEC International Limited is a power transmission company which is involved in the design, manufacture, supply and construction of turnkey projects of power transmission lines. The company also installs fiber optical cable and provides services for Satellite/GPRS surveys.

Engineers India Limited is a design and engineering company in the field of petroleum refineries, petrochemicals, oil and gas processing, offshore structures and platforms, fertilizers, metallurgy and power. EIL provides services such as design, engineering, procurement, construction management, commissioning assistance and project management.

Praj Industries Limited is an engineering firm that provides solutions for distillery and brewery wastewater treatment and utilization. The Company's fermentation systems include technology packages for multiple feedstock including cane molasses, cane juice and filtrate, starch based raw material like corn, sorghum, wheat, tapioca and tropical sugarbeet.

Techno Electric & Engineering Company Limited operates as a renewable energy company. The Company generates, transmits, and distributes wind power and electricity, as well as provides engineering and project management services. Techno Electric & Engineering serves customers in India.

Techno Electric & Engineering (TECHNOE IN)

China Railway Group Ltd. offers transportation systems construction services. The Company builds railroads, roads, tunnels, and bridges.

Quanta Services, Inc. provides specialized contracting services to electric utilities, telecommunication and cable television operators, and governmental entities.  The Company also installs transportation control and lighting systems and provides specialty electric power and communication services for industrial and commercial customers.  Quanta operates projects throughout North America.

China State Construction Engineering Corporation Ltd. is a state-owned enterprise. The Company engages in housing construction, international building contracting, property development and investment, and infrastructure construction.

EMCOR Group, Inc. provides mechanical and electrical construction and facilities services around the world.  The Company specializes in the design, installation, integration, and start-up of distribution systems for electrical power, lighting systems, low-voltage systems such as fire and security alarms, voice and data communication systems, ventilation systems, and plumbing and piping systems.

Ferrovial SA is an infrastructure operator and industrial company. The Company operates in multiple countries in a range of sectors including construction, airport, toll road, and municipal services.  Ferrovial SA also has a services division in which they provide facility management, infrastructure maintenance and upkeep, and energy and waste management services.

VINCI SA is a global player in concessions and construction with expertise in building, civil, hydraulic, and electrical engineering. The Company offers construction-related specialities and road materials production, as well as finance, management, operations and maintenance of public infrastructure such as motorways, airports, and road and rail infrastructures.

Bouygues SA offers construction services, develops real estate, offers cellular communications services, produces television programming and movies, and manages utilities.  The Company offers building, civil engineering, and oil and gas contracting services, develops residential, commercial, and office projects, produces and distributes water and electricity, and collects waste.

Power Construction Corporation of China, Ltd provides electric utility line construction services. The Company develops and constructs hydropower engineering, water works engineering, thermal power engineering, new energy engineering, and other projects. Power Construction China also operates property development.

China Railway Construction Corporation Limited provides transportation infrastructure construction services. The Company constructs railway, highway, urban track, and other infrastructure. China Railway Construction also provides real estate development and materials trading services.

China Railway Construction Cor (601186 CH)

WSP Global Inc. offers engineering services.  The Company offers professional services in the areas of construction, energy, the environment, mining, municipal infrastructure, project management, telecommunications, and transportation.

Larsen & Toubro Ltd manufactures engineering equipment, undertakes large scale engineering projects, and acts as the Indian representative for a number of overseas manufacturers of heavy machinery. The Company's products include bulldozers, road rollers, dairy machinery, chemical and pharmaceutical plants, switchgears, food processing machinery and feed milling plants.

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Larsen & Toubro (LT IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Tata Power, Supreme Industries

Larsen & Toubro: Larsen & Toubro (LT) reported strong performance in Q2FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/PAT beating our estimates by 7/11/21% respectively

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Headwinds receding

In Q2FY23, the NHAI awarded just six projects, of which, two were HAM projects worth INR 30.7bn and four were EPC projects worth INR 41.2bn

HDFC Securities

Screening for GEMs: October 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2022

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends with reference to Sales- and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive...

Wium Malan, CFA

Screening for GEMs: September 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

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