External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>LTTS reported a 3.6% QoQ CC growth in 4QFY22, 90bp below our estimate due to softer growth in Industrial Products (-0.5% QoQ), Medical Devices (flat QoQ), and Telecom and Hi-Tech (+1.1% QoQ), while Transportation grew a robust 7.8% QoQ.</li><li>Despite the large 400bp shift in its on-site revenue mix and lower utilization (-80bp QoQ), operating margin was flat QoQ.</li><li>Attrition spiked to 20.4% (+290bp QoQ) in 4QFY22, indicating continued supply pressures.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

LTTS reported a 3.6% QoQ CC growth in 4QFY22, 90bp below our estimate due to softer growth in Industrial Products (-0.5% QoQ), Medical Devices (flat QoQ), and Telecom and Hi-Tech (+1.1% QoQ), while Transportation grew a robust 7.8% QoQ.Despite the large 400bp shift in its on-site revenue mix and lower utilization (-80bp QoQ), operating margin was flat QoQ.Attrition spiked to 20.4% (+290bp QoQ) in 4QFY22, indicating continued supply pressures.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Larsen and Toubro: Strong Demand and Improving Deal Flow to Drive Growth in FY23

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On Monday, Bloomberg reported that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/larsen-toubro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2499:1" rel="noopener">Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT IN)</a> was planning a merger between its public-listed subsidiaries <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7297:1" rel="noopener">Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/larsen-toubro-infotech-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22778:1" rel="noopener">Larsen &amp; Toubro Infotech (LTI IN)</a>. </li>
<li>The companies have responded by saying that the news reports of a merger between MINDTREE and LTI are "speculative in nature".</li>
<li>Below is a closer look at the likelihood of this Deal and the valuations of the two companies involved in this event.</li>
</ul>


On Monday, Bloomberg reported that Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT IN) was planning a merger between its public-listed subsidiaries Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN) and Larsen &amp; Toubro Infotech (LTI IN). 
The companies have responded by saying that the news reports of a merger between MINDTREE and LTI are "speculative in nature".
Below is a closer look at the likelihood of this Deal and the valuations of the two companies involved in this event.


Mindtree-LTI: A Potential US$20bn+ Indian Tech Merger; Mindtree Could Outperform LTI

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>India moves to largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers.  Current underweight the highest on record.</li>
<li>Among Value managers, India saw net fund outflows of $322m, the underweight increase by -1.92% and a further 7.7% of managers move to underweight over the last 6-months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> is the key underweight, whilst <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8950:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-airtel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:953:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/larsen-toubro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2499:1" rel="noopener">Larsen &amp; Toubro </a>have been avoided by EM Value managers altogether.</li>
</ul>


India moves to largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers.  Current underweight the highest on record.
Among Value managers, India saw net fund outflows of $322m, the underweight increase by -1.92% and a further 7.7% of managers move to underweight over the last 6-months.

Reliance Industries (RIL IN) is the key underweight, whilst Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) and Larsen &amp; Toubro have been avoided by EM Value managers altogether.


Value Funds Move to Record Underweight in India

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Market dynamics remain healthy and we are continuing to see signs that suggest global equities are entering a new broad-based bull market.</li>
<li>Led by strength from the US, the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) recently broke out to new highs above the key $105.40 resistance level, a bullish sign for global equities.</li>
<li>Global sovereign yields have moved lower in recent weeks. We expect rates to find support near current levels, creating an opportunity to add to value Sectors.</li>
</ul>


Market dynamics remain healthy and we are continuing to see signs that suggest global equities are entering a new broad-based bull market.
Led by strength from the US, the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) recently broke out to new highs above the key $105.40 resistance level, a bullish sign for global equities.
Global sovereign yields have moved lower in recent weeks. We expect rates to find support near current levels, creating an opportunity to add to value Sectors.


MSCI ACWI Breaking To New Highs; Buying Financials, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Materials

Larsen &amp; Toubro's (L&amp;T;) adj. PAT grew 56% YoY and was 5% ahead of our estimate. Core E&amp;C; EBITDA grew 18% YoY and was 17% above our estimate, led by margin expansion in the Infrastructure segment. Management has maintained its revenue guidance of ~15%, order inflow guidance of 10-15%, and a stable core E&amp;C; margin on a YoY basis. International prospects are looking robust across segments, including hydrocarbon, power T&amp;D;, water, etc., thanks to higher oil prices.<div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

Larsen &amp; Toubro's (L&amp;T;) adj. PAT grew 56% YoY and was 5% ahead of our estimate. Core E&amp;C; EBITDA grew 18% YoY and was 17% above our estimate, led by margin expansion in the Infrastructure segment. Management has maintained its revenue guidance of ~15%, order inflow guidance of 10-15%, and a stable core E&amp;C; margin on a YoY basis. International prospects are looking robust across segments, including hydrocarbon, power T&amp;D;, water, etc., thanks to higher oil prices.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Robust operating performance; guidance unchanged

India

Larsen & Toubro Ltd manufactures engineering equipment, undertakes large scale engineering projects, and acts as the Indian representative for a number of overseas manufacturers of heavy machinery. The Company's products include bulldozers, road rollers, dairy machinery, chemical and pharmaceutical plants, switchgears, food processing machinery and feed milling plants.

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Larsen & Toubro (LTOD LI)

Larsen and Toubro: Strong Demand and Improving Deal Flow to Drive Growth in FY23

LTTS reported a 3.6% QoQ CC growth in 4QFY22, 90bp below our estimate due to softer growth in Industrial Products (-0.5% QoQ), Medical Devices...

Motilal Oswal

Mindtree-LTI: A Potential US$20bn+ Indian Tech Merger; Mindtree Could Outperform LTI

Indian Tech Companies MINDTREE and LTI could announce a merger as early as next week and our analysis shows MINDTREE could outperform LTI in the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Value Funds Move to Record Underweight in India

India moves to the largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers. Current underweight the highest on record.

Steven Holden

MSCI ACWI Breaking To New Highs; Buying Financials, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Materials

Global sovereign yields have moved lower in recent weeks. We expect rates to find support near current levels, and recommend adding exposure to...

Vermilion Research

Robust operating performance; guidance unchanged

Larsen & Toubro's (L&T;) adj. PAT grew 56% YoY and was 5% ahead of our estimate. Core E&C; EBITDA grew 18% YoY and was 17% above our estimate, led...

Motilal Oswal

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