Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In Q2FY23, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thermax-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4578:1" rel="noopener">Thermax (TMX IN)</a> recorded strong revenue growth of 41% y/y to Rs20.8bn, driven by strong growth across all the three segments.</li>
<li>The company bore the brunt of high raw material prices as EBIT margins saw a 900 bps decline y/y to 6.9%. However, EBIT margin improved 200 bps over Q1FY23.</li>
<li>The order book of the company grew 46% y/y to Rs94.8bn. Order book is well diversified across sectors. Domestic orders comprised ~84% of the order book.  </li>
</ul>


In Q2FY23, Thermax (TMX IN) recorded strong revenue growth of 41% y/y to Rs20.8bn, driven by strong growth across all the three segments.
The company bore the brunt of high raw material prices as EBIT margins saw a 900 bps decline y/y to 6.9%. However, EBIT margin improved 200 bps over Q1FY23.
The order book of the company grew 46% y/y to Rs94.8bn. Order book is well diversified across sectors. Domestic orders comprised ~84% of the order book.  


Thermax (TMX IN): Strong Order Book Entails Visibility Amid Margin Pressure

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported strong performance in Q2FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/PAT beating our estimates by 7/11/21% respectively</li><li>Tendering during the quarter was strong; however, awarding was muted with the award to tender ratio at 34% (vs 69% in Q1FY23)</li><li>EBITDA margin, at 11.5%, was stable due to improved performance in financial services and Hyderabad metro, which saw ridership improving to 355k per day</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported strong performance in Q2FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/PAT beating our estimates by 7/11/21% respectivelyTendering during the quarter was strong; however, awarding was muted with the award to tender ratio at 34% (vs 69% in Q1FY23)EBITDA margin, at 11.5%, was stable due to improved performance in financial services and Hyderabad metro, which saw ridership improving to 355k per dayContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Tata Power, Supreme Industries

<ul><li>Q2FY23 flat for infrastructure; mixed competitive intensity, commodities stable: In Q2FY23, the NHAI awarded just six projects, of which, two were HAM projects worth INR 30.7bn and four were EPC projects worth INR 41.2bn</li><li>With this, the NHAI awarded c.613 kms in H1FY23, with eleven HAM projects worth INR 128.8bn and five EPC projects worth INR 48.9bn</li><li>H1FY23 witnessed mixed competitive intensity, with eight projects won at 8% below the NHAI cost and eight projects at 10% above the NHAI cost</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY23 flat for infrastructure; mixed competitive intensity, commodities stable: In Q2FY23, the NHAI awarded just six projects, of which, two were HAM projects worth INR 30.7bn and four were EPC projects worth INR 41.2bnWith this, the NHAI awarded c.613 kms in H1FY23, with eleven HAM projects worth INR 128.8bn and five EPC projects worth INR 48.9bnH1FY23 witnessed mixed competitive intensity, with eight projects won at 8% below the NHAI cost and eight projects at 10% above the NHAI costContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Headwinds receding

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


India

Larsen & Toubro Ltd manufactures engineering equipment, undertakes large scale engineering projects, and acts as the Indian representative for a number of overseas manufacturers of heavy machinery. The Company's products include bulldozers, road rollers, dairy machinery, chemical and pharmaceutical plants, switchgears, food processing machinery and feed milling plants.

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Larsen & Toubro (LTOD LI)

Screening for GEMs: December 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Thermax (TMX IN): Strong Order Book Entails Visibility Amid Margin Pressure

In Q2FY23, Thermax reported 41% revenue growth, while the company’s order book jumped 46%. However, inflationary pressures are expected to impact...

Tina Banerjee

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Tata Power, Supreme Industries

Larsen & Toubro: Larsen & Toubro (LT) reported strong performance in Q2FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/PAT beating our estimates by 7/11/21% respectively

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Headwinds receding

In Q2FY23, the NHAI awarded just six projects, of which, two were HAM projects worth INR 30.7bn and four were EPC projects worth INR 41.2bn

HDFC Securities

Screening for GEMs: October 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

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