Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<p>The Biden-Harris administration recently announced four "Day One" priorities, the first of which is their COVID-19 response plan. COVID-19 response is first, because it is a prerequisite to economic recovery, which is the second of their four "Day One" priorities.</p><p>Several investment themes are inherent in Biden's COVID-19 plan, some more direct and obvious than others. This Insight overviews more significant themes and their most representative stocks, in three sections (the first two will be expanded on in separate upcoming reports):</p><ol>
<li>
<strong>COVID-19 Testing:</strong> Testing is the largest, most tangible, nearest-term investment opportunity created by Biden's plan. An estimated US$75-100 billion for testing could be windfall for certain stocks, but not all. Selectivity is key, and timing is critical (related to vaccine development).</li>
<li>
<strong>Vaccine Delivery:</strong> Biden's plan emphasises vaccine manufacturing and delivery, versus vaccine development (Trump had allocated <a href="https://www.hhs.gov/coronavirus/explaining-operation-warp-speed/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">billions</a> to vaccine development companies). Some might go to big pharma companies for M&amp;D, but most should benefit other "cold chain" stocks.</li>
<li>
<strong>PPE Supply/Other:</strong> PPE manufacturing, of course, but that is largely old news. I will address it, but do so along with other more interesting collateral themes. For example, retail drugs chains, elder-care, medical technologies, and a few other related industries.</li>
</ol>

The Biden-Harris administration recently announced four "Day One" priorities, the first of which is their COVID-19 response plan. COVID-19 response is first, because it is a prerequisite to economic recovery, which is the second of their four "Day One" priorities.Several investment themes are inherent in Biden's COVID-19 plan, some more direct and obvious than others. This Insight overviews more significant themes and their most representative stocks, in three sections (the first two will be expanded on in separate upcoming reports):

COVID-19 Testing: Testing is the largest, most tangible, nearest-term investment opportunity created by Biden's plan. An estimated US$75-100 billion for testing could be windfall for certain stocks, but not all. Selectivity is key, and timing is critical (related to vaccine development).

Vaccine Delivery: Biden's plan emphasises vaccine manufacturing and delivery, versus vaccine development (Trump had allocated billions to vaccine development companies). Some might go to big pharma companies for M&amp;D, but most should benefit other "cold chain" stocks.

PPE Supply/Other: PPE manufacturing, of course, but that is largely old news. I will address it, but do so along with other more interesting collateral themes. For example, retail drugs chains, elder-care, medical technologies, and a few other related industries.


Biden COVID-19 Response Plan: Overview of Its Inherent Investment Themes

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>Major indexes broke below the key support levels we were watching on the Nasdaq Composite (8,264), S&amp;P 500 (2,855), DJI (24,681) and Russell 2000 (1,448), ushering-in additional downside. We view these levels as logical areas of <em>potential</em> short-term resistance moving forward.   In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Services: Pharmaceuticals, Mega- &amp; Large-Cap , Biotech , Diagnostic &amp; Test Products, Diagnostic &amp; Test Services, and Education Svcs., China</p>

Major indexes broke below the key support levels we were watching on the Nasdaq Composite (8,264), S&amp;P 500 (2,855), DJI (24,681) and Russell 2000 (1,448), ushering-in additional downside. We view these levels as logical areas of potential short-term resistance moving forward.   In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Services: Pharmaceuticals, Mega- &amp; Large-Cap , Biotech , Diagnostic &amp; Test Products, Diagnostic &amp; Test Services, and Education Svcs., China

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Frontage Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27754" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27754:1">Frontage Holdings (1521 HK)</a> has launched its Hong Kong IPO at a price range of HK$2.55-3.20 per share to raise HK$1.27-1.60 billion ($160-200 million). Three cornerstone investors, Hillhouse Capital, Greenwoods Asset Management and OrbiMed Advisors, intend to purchase $90 million of the offering.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/frontage-holdings-ipo-preview-an-uncertain-transition" target="_blank">our IPO initiation note</a>, we cautioned that while the market backdrop is favourable, Frontage is a business in the middle of an uncertain transition. Overall, with the caveat that Frontage has yet to prove that it can reaccelerate organic revenue growth, we believe that the risk-reward profile is favourable at the low-end of IPO price range. </p></div>

Frontage Holdings (1521 HK) has launched its Hong Kong IPO at a price range of HK$2.55-3.20 per share to raise HK$1.27-1.60 billion ($160-200 million). Three cornerstone investors, Hillhouse Capital, Greenwoods Asset Management and OrbiMed Advisors, intend to purchase $90 million of the offering.In our IPO initiation note, we cautioned that while the market backdrop is favourable, Frontage is a business in the middle of an uncertain transition. Overall, with the caveat that Frontage has yet to prove that it can reaccelerate organic revenue growth, we believe that the risk-reward profile is favourable at the low-end of IPO price range. 

Frontage Holdings IPO: Risk-Reward Is Favourable at the Low-End of Price Range

Viva Biotech Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27850" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27850:1">Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK)</a> is a leading global contract research organisation (CRO). It has launched its IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$1,232 million ($157 million), at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Overall, with the caveat that Viva's valuation is highly dependent on fair value gains (from its portfolio companies), we believe that Viva can just about justify the low-end of IPO price range</p></div>

Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK) is a leading global contract research organisation (CRO). It has launched its IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$1,232 million ($157 million), at the mid-point of the IPO price range.Overall, with the caveat that Viva's valuation is highly dependent on fair value gains (from its portfolio companies), we believe that Viva can just about justify the low-end of IPO price range

Viva Biotech IPO: Just About Supporting the Low-End IPO Price Range

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27795" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1">WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (WUXI HK)</a> is a leading global pharmaceutical R&amp;D outsourcing service provider and the largest in Asia by revenue in 2017. WuXi AppTec has launched its Hong Kong IPO to raise $954–1,064 million, implying a market cap of $9.6–10.7 billion.  </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>WuXi AppTec hopes to rebuild investor sentiment in large Hong Kong IPOs after a string of high profile IPO disasters. WuXi AppTec has a good but admittedly short track record through its A Share listing. Our analysis suggests that WuXi AppTec is overvalued at the proposed IPO price range. Consequently, we recommend sitting out the IPO and building a position on any post-IPO share price weakness.</p></div>

WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (WUXI HK) is a leading global pharmaceutical R&amp;D outsourcing service provider and the largest in Asia by revenue in 2017. WuXi AppTec has launched its Hong Kong IPO to raise $954–1,064 million, implying a market cap of $9.6–10.7 billion.  WuXi AppTec hopes to rebuild investor sentiment in large Hong Kong IPOs after a string of high profile IPO disasters. WuXi AppTec has a good but admittedly short track record through its A Share listing. Our analysis suggests that WuXi AppTec is overvalued at the proposed IPO price range. Consequently, we recommend sitting out the IPO and building a position on any post-IPO share price weakness.

WuXi AppTec IPO Valuation: Not Much Money Left on the Table

United States

Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings is a clinical laboratory company that offers clinical laboratory tests used by the medical profession in routine testing, patient diagnosis, and in the monitoring and treatment of disease. The Company develops specialty testing operations, such as oncology testing, HIV genotyping and phenotyping, diagnostic genetics and clinical trials.

Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings (LH US)

Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings

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Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings (LH US)

Biden COVID-19 Response Plan: Overview of Its Inherent Investment Themes

Biden's recently-announced COVID-19 response plan suggests a number of investment themes. This Insight overviews the more significant of those...

Kyle Rudden

S&P 500: Long-Term Oversold

Major indexes broke below the key support levels we were watching on the Nasdaq Composite (8,264), S&P 500 (2,855), DJI (24,681) and Russell...

Vermilion Research

Frontage Holdings IPO: Risk-Reward Is Favourable at the Low-End of Price Range

Frontage Holdings (1521 HK) has launched its Hong Kong IPO at a price range of HK$2.55-3.20 per share to raise HK$1.27-1.60 billion ($160-200...

Arun George

Viva Biotech IPO: Just About Supporting the Low-End IPO Price Range

Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK) is a leading global contract research organisation (CRO). It has launched its IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$1,232...

Arun George

WuXi AppTec IPO Valuation: Not Much Money Left on the Table

WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (WUXI HK) is a leading global pharmaceutical R&D outsourcing service provider and the largest in Asia by revenue in 2017....

Arun George

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