External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>IT index is up &gt;40% (mid-tier &gt;100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and (2) IT index rerating from 23x to 28x</li>
<li>The absolute return potential for the sector is likely to be moderate (in line with earnings growth), basis: (1) growth reverting to medium-term baseline, (2) lower growth dispersion in FY23E as compared to FY22E, and (3) headwinds to multiple expansion based on increase in cost of capital &amp; geopolitical risk premium, inflationary factors, and the lead-lag cycle of cost and pricing</li>
<li>The upside risk is on the longevity of high growth rate and downside risk is the second order impact from a prolonged inflationary environment and geopolitical dislocation.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


IT index is up &gt;40% (mid-tier &gt;100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and (2) IT index rerating from 23x to 28x
The absolute return potential for the sector is likely to be moderate (in line with earnings growth), basis: (1) growth reverting to medium-term baseline, (2) lower growth dispersion in FY23E as compared to FY22E, and (3) headwinds to multiple expansion based on increase in cost of capital &amp; geopolitical risk premium, inflationary factors, and the lead-lag cycle of cost and pricing
The upside risk is on the longevity of high growth rate and downside risk is the second order impact from a prolonged inflationary environment and geopolitical dislocation.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Information Technology: Moderating, yet Strong

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the NIFTY 100 Index ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.</li>
<li>Potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7297:1" rel="noopener">Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srf-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3601:1" rel="noopener">SRF Ltd (SRF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a>. </li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank (YES IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indraprastha-gas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6969:1" rel="noopener">Indraprastha Gas (IGL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jindal-steel-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6614:1" rel="noopener">Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aurobindo-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19974:1" rel="noopener">Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-petroleum-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19342:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the NIFTY 100 Index ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.
Potential inclusions are Zomato (ZOMATO IN), Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN), SRF Ltd (SRF IN), Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN) and Tata Power (TPWR IN). 
Potential deletions are Yes Bank (YES IN), Indraprastha Gas (IGL IN), Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN), Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN) and Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN). 


NIFTY100/NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in March

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions about the near-term performance. Revenue grew at 11% YoY (HSIE 10%) while UVG, at 4%, was below our estimates (6% HSIE). UVG on two-year CAGR was weak at 2.5% but improved sequentially (-0.4% in Q1FY22) after the second wave of COVID impacted Q1FY22. Health, hygiene, and nutrition portfolio (85% mix) sustained healthy growth at 7% YoY. Within the nutrition portfolio, health food drinks volume grew in double digits. Nutrition portfolio should sustain the momentum as 85% of GTM integration is completed. Gross margin pressure continued in Q2FY22 with 142bps YoY contraction due to elevated commodity costs (crude, CPO, tea, and plastic) and higher freight cost. EBITDA growth was at 9% (HSIE 7%). We expect margin to remain under pressure in the near term, owing to sustained inflation and calibrated price hikes. We cut our EPS estimates for FY22/FY23/FY24 by ~2%. We value HUL at 55x P/E on Sep-23E EPS to derive a TP of INR 2,482. Maintain REDUCE.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions about the near-term performance. Revenue grew at 11% YoY (HSIE 10%) while UVG, at 4%, was below our estimates (6% HSIE). UVG on two-year CAGR was weak at 2.5% but improved sequentially (-0.4% in Q1FY22) after the second wave of COVID impacted Q1FY22. Health, hygiene, and nutrition portfolio (85% mix) sustained healthy growth at 7% YoY. Within the nutrition portfolio, health food drinks volume grew in double digits. Nutrition portfolio should sustain the momentum as 85% of GTM integration is completed. Gross margin pressure continued in Q2FY22 with 142bps YoY contraction due to elevated commodity costs (crude, CPO, tea, and plastic) and higher freight cost. EBITDA growth was at 9% (HSIE 7%). We expect margin to remain under pressure in the near term, owing to sustained inflation and calibrated price hikes. We cut our EPS estimates for FY22/FY23/FY24 by ~2%. We value HUL at 55x P/E on Sep-23E EPS to derive a TP of INR 2,482. Maintain REDUCE.
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, L&T Technology Services, ACC

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

L&T Technology Services Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We recommend a HOLD and assign a 35x P/E multiple to its FY23E earnings of Rs 124/share, which gives a TP of Rs 4,290/share indicating potential upside of 6%.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We recommend a HOLD and assign a 35x P/E multiple to its FY23E earnings of Rs 124/share, which gives a TP of Rs 4,290/share indicating potential upside of 6%.
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

L&T Technology: Strong Outlook; Expensive Valuations

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<p>For this channel insight, we speak to industry veterans in IT Services and Real Estate with an objective to understand the changing dynamics in the Industry. Our interactions suggest challenging times ahead for IT Services and multiple sectoral dynamics at play in residential real estate.</p>
<div>
<div>
<h3>About India Channel Insight </h3>
</div>
</div>
<div>
<p>Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets emerging out of these interactions and have been aiding us to generate interesting trade ideas and have often proven to be reliable sources of qualitative alpha.</p>
</div>

For this channel insight, we speak to industry veterans in IT Services and Real Estate with an objective to understand the changing dynamics in the Industry. Our interactions suggest challenging times ahead for IT Services and multiple sectoral dynamics at play in residential real estate.


About India Channel Insight 



Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets emerging out of these interactions and have been aiding us to generate interesting trade ideas and have often proven to be reliable sources of qualitative alpha.


India Channel Insight | IT Services, Real Estate

India

Mphasis Limited is a global IT and BPO service provider to G2000 companies around the globe, assists its clients in innovating and streamlining their business processes by offering custom solutions for technology and operations outsourcing. The Company focuses on financial services, logistics and technology verticals.

Persistent Systems Limited offers outsourced software product development. The Company offer services that include testing, support, and professional services.

Tata Elxsi Limited manufactures computers and workstations besides providing system design, software development and integration services. The Group supplies its products to a number of industries, including the automotive, metals, consumer products, finance, IT & Communications, energy, chemicals, engineering, pharmaceuticals, entertainment and agro industries.

ITI Limited manufactures telecommunications products, including electronic switching equipment, telephones and related devices, digital radio, open wire bags, optical fiber equipment and digital exchanges.   The Group's customers include defense, railways and oil companies.

WNS (Holdings) Ltd., operates as a holding company The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides business process outsourcing services including finance, accounting, customer relationship management, and business administration services.

Cyient Limited provides engineering services, data analytics, and data, networks and operations solutions. The Company offers its services to the aerospace and defense, energy, heavy machinery, consumer, medical utility, communications, semiconductor, and transportation industries around the world.

Tejas Networks Limited produces optical and data networking products. The Company offers products such as converged packet optical, packet transport network, and enterprise ethernet switches. Tejas Networks serves telecom carriers, utilities, media, and defense sectors worldwide.

One 97 Communications Limited provides payment solutions. The Company provides online services such as hotel booking, top ups, data processing, games, mobile content, and bill payments. One 97 Communications Limited serves customers worldwide.

Firstsource Solutions Limited provides business process outsourcing services. The Company provides services globally to companies in the banking, financial services, and insurance industries.

Intellect Design Arena Ltd is a financial technology firm. The Company caters to banks, insurance companies and other financial service firms.

Company Description

Upwork Inc. provides online recruitment services. The Company offers jobs in the categories such as website developers, virtual assistants, sales and marketing experts, accountants, and consultants. Upwork serves customers in the United States.

Fiverr International Ltd. provides an online marketplace for selling goods and services. The Company specializes logo, poster, and brochure designing, as well as photoshop editing, content marketing, web analytics, and translation services. Fiverr International serves customers worldwide.

Humanica Public Company Limited provides information and communication technology services. The Company specializes in software development, human resource solutions, accounting, financial services, enterprise resource planning, and business outsourcing. Humanica serves customers in Asia.

Raksul, Inc. provides Internet based services. The Company mainly offers net printing, net transportation, and other services. Raksul provides services in Japan.

SUMCO Corporation manufactures silicon wafers for the semiconductor industry. The Company produces silicon wafers used to produce solar batteries as well as ultra-high purity quartz used to produce vessels for silicon manufacturing process. SUMCO markets its products worldwide.

SK Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holdings company that is engaged in various industries including energy, chemicals, information technology, semiconductors, marketing, and services businesses in South Korea and internationally.

Yandex NV operates an Internet website in Russia.  The Company's website offers an Internet search engine, news, shopping information, blogs, photographs and videos.  Yandex earns its revenues from online advertising.

Technology One Limited is an Australian-based company that is engaged in the development, marketing, sales, implementation, support, and distribution of financial management and enterprise software solutions. The Company has operations in New Zealand, the United Kingdom, the South Pacific, and Malaysia.

Axcelis Technologies, Inc. manufactures components for the semiconductor industry. The Company designs, manufactures and services ion implantation, dry strip, thermal processing and curing equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor chips. Axcelis Technologies sells their products to semiconductor chip manufacturers worldwide.

MA-COM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc. provides high performance analog semiconductor solutions. The Company supplies semiconductors, active and passive components, and sub-assemblies for use in radio frequency, microwave, and millimeter wave applications. MA-COM Technology Solutions serves customers throughout the United States.

L&T Technology Services Limited operates as an engineering services company. The Company offers design and development solutions throughout the entire product development chain for various industries, including industrial products, consumer electronics, medical devices, telecommunications, automotive, aerospace, trucks and off-highway vehicles, and process engineering.

L&T Technology Services Limited (LTTS IN)

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L&T Technology Services Limited (LTTS IN)

Information Technology: Moderating, yet Strong

IT index is up >40% (mid-tier >100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and...

HDFC Securities

NIFTY100/NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in March

There could be 5 changes to the NIFTY100 Index at the March rebalance. Plus there will be 2 migrations between the NIFTY and NIFTY NEXT50 indices....

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, L&T Technology Services, ACC

HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions

HDFC Securities

L&T Technology: Strong Outlook; Expensive Valuations

We recommend a HOLD and assign a 35x P/E multiple to its FY23E earnings of Rs 124/share, which gives a TP of Rs 4,290/share indicating potential...

Axis Direct

India Channel Insight | IT Services, Real Estate

Our interactions suggest challenging times ahead for IT Services and multiple sectoral dynamics at play in residential real estate.

Pranav Bhavsar

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