IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>, a mass transit operator, is seeking to raise up to US$2.3 billion. Pricing is on 15 October, and the listing is on 23 October.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tokyo-metro-9023-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:160168" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tokyo-metro-9023-jp-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:160399" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tokyo Metro is attractively valued at the IPO price compared to peer multiples.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP), a mass transit operator, is seeking to raise up to US$2.3 billion. Pricing is on 15 October, and the listing is on 23 October.
We previously discussed the IPO in Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case and Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case.
In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tokyo Metro is attractively valued at the IPO price compared to peer multiples.


Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.
Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s  shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s  shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.
Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.


Tokyo Metro IPO - Peer Comparison - Pre-COVID to 1Q25

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>, a mass transit operator, is seeking to raise up to US$2.3 billion. Pricing is on 15 October, and the listing is on 23 October.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tokyo-metro-9023-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:160168" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on mid-tier revenue growth, low revenue diversification, the highest leverage among peers and a sizeable post-IPO share overhang. </li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP), a mass transit operator, is seeking to raise up to US$2.3 billion. Pricing is on 15 October, and the listing is on 23 October.
In Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on mid-tier revenue growth, low revenue diversification, the highest leverage among peers and a sizeable post-IPO share overhang. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (TKYMETRO JP)</a>, a mass transit operator, is seeking to raise up to US$2.3 billion. Pricing is on 15 October, and the listing is on 23 October.   </li>
<li>Tokyo Metro is held 53.42% by the Minister of Finance and 46.58% by the Tokyo Metropolitan Government. </li>
<li>The bull case rests on a core high-quality asset, future growth drivers, top-quartile profitability, high FCF generation, and peer-leading dividend payout. </li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (TKYMETRO JP), a mass transit operator, is seeking to raise up to US$2.3 billion. Pricing is on 15 October, and the listing is on 23 October.   
Tokyo Metro is held 53.42% by the Minister of Finance and 46.58% by the Tokyo Metropolitan Government. 
The bull case rests on a core high-quality asset, future growth drivers, top-quartile profitability, high FCF generation, and peer-leading dividend payout. 


Japan

Kyushu Railway Company, doing business as JR Kyushu, offers transportation services. The Company provides passenger and railway freight services, as well as route, ticket, and time table information. JR Kyushu serves customers in Japan.

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Kyushu Railway (9142 JP)

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

Tokyo Metro had set its IPO price range at JPY1,100-1,200, compared to the IPO reference price of JPY1,100. The upper end of the price range...

Arun George

Tokyo Metro IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

The price range for the IPO has now been set at JPY1,100-1,200/share, which still looks fairly attractive in our view and would provide a good yield.

Sumeet Singh

Tokyo Metro IPO - Peer Comparison - Pre-COVID to 1Q25

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on mid-tier revenue growth, low revenue diversification, the highest leverage among peers and a sizeable post-IPO share overhang.

Arun George

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on a core high-quality asset, future growth drivers, top-quartile profitability, high FCF generation, and peer-leading dividend...

Arun George

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