Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Luxshare Precision Industry / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 16.1bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought tech and sold everything else, especially consumer names. Kweichow Moutai, Midea, appliances and renewables.</li>
<li>Ongoing questions as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected from earlier announcements.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 16.1bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought tech and sold everything else, especially consumer names. Kweichow Moutai, Midea, appliances and renewables.
Ongoing questions as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected from earlier announcements.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 21 June 2024): BIG Consumer Name Selling Again

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 21.9bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought tech and sold everything else, especially consumer names. Kweichow Moutai, Midea, appliances and renewables.</li>
<li>Ongoing questions as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected from earlier announcements.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 21.9bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought tech and sold everything else, especially consumer names. Kweichow Moutai, Midea, appliances and renewables.
Ongoing questions as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected from earlier announcements.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 14 June 2024): Large Tech Buying, Large Consumer Selling

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$27.0bn this week, on small two-way volumes. Energy, banks, utilities, tech all saw inflows. </li>
<li>It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, KPIs for SOE CEOs to raise prices and payout ratios, or upcoming Third Plenum policy...</li>
<li>But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$27.0bn this week, on small two-way volumes. Energy, banks, utilities, tech all saw inflows. 
It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, KPIs for SOE CEOs to raise prices and payout ratios, or upcoming Third Plenum policy...
But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 14 June 2024); Energy/Utes/Banks/Tech Bought Bigly

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 14th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$3,126.0 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Mindray, Luxshare Precision, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory, China Citic Bank, Moutai, Bank Of Communications, Wuliangye, China Yangtze Power, Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 14th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$3,126.0 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by information technology.
We highlight flows for CATL, Mindray, Luxshare Precision, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory, China Citic Bank, Moutai, Bank Of Communications, Wuliangye, China Yangtze Power, Midea.


Northbound Flows (Jun 14th): CATL, Mindray, Luxshare Precision, Xinghuacun Fen Wine

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 5.3bn of A-shares on lower gross volumes. NORTHBOUND bought utilities, renewables, and semiconductors, and sold Kweichow Moutai, Midea, Bk Jiangsu, and Wuliangye Yibin.</li>
<li>Ongoing questions as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected from earlier announcements.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 5.3bn of A-shares on lower gross volumes. NORTHBOUND bought utilities, renewables, and semiconductors, and sold Kweichow Moutai, Midea, Bk Jiangsu, and Wuliangye Yibin.
Ongoing questions as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected from earlier announcements.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 7 June 2024): Large Renewables Buying Drive Small Net Buying

China

Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. manufactures spirits.  The Company's spirit products are distilled from sorghum and wheat.  Kweichow Moutai markets its products worldwide.

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Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 21 June 2024): BIG Consumer Name Selling Again

NORTHBOUND Mainland Connect flows were again starkly negative this week on low gross volumes. Foreigners are selling consumer names - Kweichow and...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 14 June 2024): Large Tech Buying, Large Consumer Selling

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND flows this past 4-day week were heavily to the sell side. Consumer Staples/Discretionary were HUGE net sells. Tech was...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 14 June 2024); Energy/Utes/Banks/Tech Bought Bigly

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND saw HUGE net buying this past week in Energy, Banks, Tech, and Utilities. SOEs saw strong flows. May be coming in front of...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jun 14th): CATL, Mindray, Luxshare Precision, Xinghuacun Fen Wine

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Mindray, Luxshare Precision, Xinghuacun Fen...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 7 June 2024): Large Renewables Buying Drive Small Net Buying

NORTHBOUND saw net buying this week. Large caps saw net selling but semiconductor names see ongoing buying. I expect semicaps will continue to see...

Travis Lundy

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