Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Brand-Spanking New (three weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore. </li>
<li>Last week was slightly disappointing but the Recommendations Outperformed the universe.</li>
<li>New stimulus measures are partly supply side, and a little bit demand side, but they're not big enough yet to move the needle. Mainland ETF buying smells like National Team.</li>
</ul>


The Brand-Spanking New (three weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore. 
Last week was slightly disappointing but the Recommendations Outperformed the universe.
New stimulus measures are partly supply side, and a little bit demand side, but they're not big enough yet to move the needle. Mainland ETF buying smells like National Team.


Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 1): China Life, Wide Premia Industrials, Banks Starting To Move

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 1st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,251.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by consumer discretionary, information technology, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai, East Money Information, Haitian Flavouring.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 1st.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,251.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by consumer discretionary, information technology, health care.
We highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai, East Money Information, Haitian Flavouring.


Northbound Flows (Sep 1st): BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai

Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuliangye-yibin-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19968:1" rel="noopener">Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd A (000858 CH)</a>, the second largest Chinese liquor company in China, trades at one of the lowest PE multiples in the space. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a>, the largest Chinese liquor company trades at 26x 2024 expected earnings, and most other listed Chinese liquor names trade above 20x 2024 expected earnings.</li>
<li>Upon closer look, Wuliangye is actually a classic case of value trap – slow growth with no change or slowly deteriorating PE multiples. </li>
</ul>



Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd A (000858 CH), the second largest Chinese liquor company in China, trades at one of the lowest PE multiples in the space. 

Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH), the largest Chinese liquor company trades at 26x 2024 expected earnings, and most other listed Chinese liquor names trade above 20x 2024 expected earnings.
Upon closer look, Wuliangye is actually a classic case of value trap – slow growth with no change or slowly deteriorating PE multiples. 


Wuliangye (000858 CH):  Classic Value Trap

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 25th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$3,207.8 million, led by consumer staples, industrials, and offset by communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Mindray, Wuliangye, ZTE, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Luxshare Precision, Ping An Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 25th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$3,207.8 million, led by consumer staples, industrials, and offset by communication services.
We highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Mindray, Wuliangye, ZTE, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Luxshare Precision, Ping An Bank.


Northbound Flows (Aug 25th): Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $2,146 million), Financials (inflows of $1,619 million), Consumer Staples (inflows of $1,100 million) led the inflows while led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring, Luxshare, Longi Green, Wus Printed, Yonyou Network.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $2,146 million), Financials (inflows of $1,619 million), Consumer Staples (inflows of $1,100 million) led the inflows while led the outflows.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring, Luxshare, Longi Green, Wus Printed, Yonyou Network.


Northbound Flows Monthly (July): $7.3bn Inflows

China

Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. manufactures spirits.  The Company's spirit products are distilled from sorghum and wheat.  Kweichow Moutai markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)

Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 1): China Life, Wide Premia Industrials, Banks Starting To Move

The new A-H Monitor provides extensive data, charts and tables. Last week's recommendations outperformed. Mainland ETF buying suggests National...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Sep 1st): BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Wuliangye (000858 CH): Classic Value Trap

Wuliangye at the current stage is a classic value trap - slow growth with no change or deteriorating PE multiples. Prefer other Chinese liquor...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Northbound Flows (Aug 25th): Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (July): $7.3bn Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 1): China Life, Wide Premia Industrials, Banks Starting To Move

​The new A-H Monitor provides extensive data, charts and tables. Last week's recommendations outperformed. Mainland ETF buying suggests National...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Sep 1st): BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Wuliangye (000858 CH): Classic Value Trap

Wuliangye at the current stage is a classic value trap - slow growth with no change or deteriorating PE multiples. Prefer other Chinese liquor...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Northbound Flows (Aug 25th): Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (July): $7.3bn Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The new A-H Monitor provides extensive data, charts and tables. Last week's recommendations outperformed. Mainland ETF buying suggests National...