Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe Mr. Su’s resignation as chairman is not a concern, because Mr. Cheng, the CEO, has been operating the company for two years.</li>
<li>We believe the 3Q23 YoY growth will be lower, as 2Q23 had a lower comparison base.</li>
<li>We believe the operating margin can be negative in 3Q23 as Q3 is always a weak season, but operating profit will break even for 2023.</li>
</ul>


We believe Mr. Su’s resignation as chairman is not a concern, because Mr. Cheng, the CEO, has been operating the company for two years.
We believe the 3Q23 YoY growth will be lower, as 2Q23 had a lower comparison base.
We believe the operating margin can be negative in 3Q23 as Q3 is always a weak season, but operating profit will break even for 2023.


Kuaishou/KS (1024 HK) Earnings Preview: Unnecessary Concerns About Chairman Change and 3Q23 Results

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We expect Kuaishou (KS) to deliver in-line rev (+20% YoY) and upbeat profit (16% above consensus) in 3Q23E.</li><li>By segment, ecommerce GMV/rev would see +30%/+35% YoY growth, attributable to extensive brand participation and product offerings through the Stream Initiative.</li><li>KS will open Level I access of shelf-based mall to active merchants in 11.11, to further support standard products growth and unlock MAC upside. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect Kuaishou (KS) to deliver in-line rev (+20% YoY) and upbeat profit (16% above consensus) in 3Q23E.By segment, ecommerce GMV/rev would see +30%/+35% YoY growth, attributable to extensive brand participation and product offerings through the Stream Initiative.KS will open Level I access of shelf-based mall to active merchants in 11.11, to further support standard products growth and unlock MAC upside. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kuaishou (1024 HK) – Expecting Another Upbeat Quarter

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robosense-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (2498 HK)</a> raised around US$126m in its Hong Kong IPO in Jan 2024. The lockup on its shareholders will expire soon.</li>
<li>The company provides LiDAR and perception solutions to its customers. As of March 2024, it had design wins for mass production of LiDAR products with 22 automotive OEMs and suppliers.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Robosense Technology (2498 HK) raised around US$126m in its Hong Kong IPO in Jan 2024. The lockup on its shareholders will expire soon.
The company provides LiDAR and perception solutions to its customers. As of March 2024, it had design wins for mass production of LiDAR products with 22 automotive OEMs and suppliers.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement

<ul><li>Kuaishou’s 2Q23 results beat on already-high expectation, with stronger topline (+28% YoY, 2% above consensus) and bottom line (RMB2.7bn, 88% above consensus).</li><li>Looking into 3Q23E, we expect KS to deliver resilient ads and ecommerce, with decent profitability.</li><li>Despite challenging macro and competition, we are confident on KS’s ecommerce share gain, with GMV/rev +30%/36% YoY in 3Q23E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kuaishou’s 2Q23 results beat on already-high expectation, with stronger topline (+28% YoY, 2% above consensus) and bottom line (RMB2.7bn, 88% above consensus).Looking into 3Q23E, we expect KS to deliver resilient ads and ecommerce, with decent profitability.Despite challenging macro and competition, we are confident on KS’s ecommerce share gain, with GMV/rev +30%/36% YoY in 3Q23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kuaishou (1024 HK) – Better Margin Outlook with Strong Ecommerce

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Kuaishou's 2Q top-line and non-IFRS net income beat cons. by 2%/88%. DAU and MAU increased by 8%/15% YoY. We raised our 2023 EPS estimates to reflect the faster-than-expected margin improvement. </li>
<li>However, we still believe that the growth of WeChat's Video Accounts will become Kuaishou's biggest concern in the future. </li>
<li>Moreover, there is limited room for further profit margin improvement and an increase in the internal e-commerce take rate. We maintain SELL and our HK$ 50 TP.</li>
</ul>


Kuaishou's 2Q top-line and non-IFRS net income beat cons. by 2%/88%. DAU and MAU increased by 8%/15% YoY. We raised our 2023 EPS estimates to reflect the faster-than-expected margin improvement. 
However, we still believe that the growth of WeChat's Video Accounts will become Kuaishou's biggest concern in the future. 
Moreover, there is limited room for further profit margin improvement and an increase in the internal e-commerce take rate. We maintain SELL and our HK$ 50 TP.


[Kuaishou (1024 HK, SELL, TP HK$50) Earnings Review]: Fair Numbers Hide Risks

China

Hello Group Inc. operates as a mobile-based social networking platform. The Company enables users to establish and expand social relationships based on location and interests. Hello Group operates out of the Peoples Republic of China.

Kunlun Tech Co., Ltd. offers comprehensive Internet value-added services. The Company focuses on social network interactive and online game fields. Kunlun Tech also provides localized translation outsourcing and agency advertising services.

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

Tongdao Liepin Group operates as a online talent service platform. The Company offers online personal career files, online job search, online recruitment, talent solutions, and other related services. Tongdao Liepin Group also provides talent community network and other services.

China Ruyi Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on online streaming video and internet community businesses. China Ruyi Holdings also manufactures and sells photographic, electronic, and multimedia accessories.

37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group Co.,Ltd designs, develops, and operates mobile games and web games. The Company also provides game promotion, customer service, top-up payment, and other services. 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group conducts its businesses in China.

37 Interactive Entertainment N (002555 CH)

Shandong Publishing & Media Co., Ltd offers publishing services. The Company publishes and sells books, textbooks, magazines, audio visuals, and other products. Shandong Publishing & Media also manufactures and sells papers.

Crazy Sports Group Limited operates as a digital sports entertainment community operator. The Company provides provide online sports information, sports knowledge payment, event quiz, sports mobile games, online sports lottery tickets purchasing, and other services. Crazy Sports Group offers services in China.

Zhejiang Huace Film & TV Co., Ltd. specializes in entertainment media production. The Company's products include Mandarin films, TV programs and advertisements.

Zhejiang Huace Film & Televisi (300133 CH)

Phoenix New Media Ltd. is a new media company the provides premium content on an integrated platform across Internet, mobile and TV channels in China.  The Company enables consumers to access professional news and other information and share user-generated content on the Internet and through their mobile devices.

Snap Inc. provides technology and social media services. The Company develops mobile camera application products and services that allow users to send and receive photos, drawings, text, and videos. Snap serves customers worldwide.

Pinterest, Inc. operates and maintains social networking site. The Company provides online venue for personal photos, ideas, oddities, decorations, places to visit, recipes, and other items. Pinterest serves customers worldwide.

LY Corporation operates as an internet search engine "Yahoo! JAPAN". The Company provides electronic commerce and settlement finance services for small medium enterprises and individuals. LY also operates media business including search linked advertising and display advertising services.

CAR Group Limited operates as a digital marketplace for vehicles. The Company provides a diversified portfolio of brands to sell and buy cars. CAR Group serves customers worldwide.

Match Group, Inc. is a dating service provider. The Company offers diverse portfolio of apps and services which enables connections across the spectrum of age, race, gender, sexual orientation, and backgrounds. Match Group serves customers worldwide.

IAC Inc operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides media and Internet services. IAC serves customers worldwide.

Domain Holdings Australia Limited offers multi-platform property solutions. The Company operates an online portal that delivers property marketing solutions for residential, new development, and commercial properties. Domain Holdings Australia serves buyers, sellers, renters, and investors in Australia.

EverQuote, Inc. operates as an Internet based marketing firm. The Company, through its platform, enables consumers to connect with auto insurance carriers and agents to meet their auto insurance needs. EverQuote serves customers in the United States.

New Work SE operates an an online business network. The Company offers social network for business professionals to connect and share ideas, projects, jobs, and advice. New Work serves customers in Europe.

World Wrestling Entertainment, Inc. operates as a media and entertainment company. The Company offers live wrestling events, television programming, music publishing, advertising, licensing, and home video streaming services. World Wrestling distributes its programs worldwide in various languages.

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Kuaishou/KS (1024 HK) Earnings Preview: Unnecessary Concerns About Chairman Change and 3Q23 Results

Mr. Su’s resigned as chairman, but Mr. Cheng, the CEO, has been operating the company for two years. We believe the coming 3Q23 slowdown is due to...

Ming Lu

Kuaishou (1024 HK) – Expecting Another Upbeat Quarter

KS will open Level I access of shelf-based mall to active merchants in 11.11, to further support standard products growth and unlock MAC upside.

CMB International

Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement

The pre-IPO shareholders came out of lockup today, leading to a 67% drop in the share price with an accompanying spike in volumes.

Sumeet Singh

Kuaishou (1024 HK) – Better Margin Outlook with Strong Ecommerce

Kuaishou’s 2Q23 results beat on already-high expectation, with stronger topline (+28% YoY, 2% above consensus) and bottom line (RMB2.7bn, 88% above...

CMB International

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, SELL, TP HK$50) Earnings Review]: Fair Numbers Hide Risks

However, we still believe that the growth of WeChat's Video Accounts will become Kuaishou's biggest concern in the future.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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