Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI 2022 dividend futures are trading around our fair value. Larger than expected special dividends from oil and telecom companies could provide some upside.</li>
<li>The HSCEI 2022/23 div steepener has dropped from -5 to -15 since our last Insight. We see further downside here and would look to add to shorts in the spread.</li>
<li>With rising interest rates, higher inflation, higher oil prices, a slowdown could lead to a rapid repricing of dividends and there will be opportunities to buy back the spread lower.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI 2022 dividend futures are trading around our fair value. Larger than expected special dividends from oil and telecom companies could provide some upside.
The HSCEI 2022/23 div steepener has dropped from -5 to -15 since our last Insight. We see further downside here and would look to add to shorts in the spread.
With rising interest rates, higher inflation, higher oil prices, a slowdown could lead to a rapid repricing of dividends and there will be opportunities to buy back the spread lower.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: Stay Short the 2022/23 Steepener

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly inflows into Kuaishou, China Mobile, Anta, CNOOC. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight weekly inflows into Kuaishou, China Mobile, Anta, CNOOC. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Kuaishou, China Mobile, Anta, CNOOC

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Kuaishou’s share price has climbed more than 20.0% YTD as the company has increased its focus on e-commerce while also narrowing down its costs.</li>
<li>The company opened its e-commerce store to local merchants in China including food delivery, healthcare, hospitality and entertainment ticketing.</li>
<li>According to news media outlets, the e-commerce GMV hit RMB650bn (US$102bn) in 2021 from RMB381bn in 2020. This figure is expected to go up to RMB900bn in 2022E.</li>
</ul>


Kuaishou’s share price has climbed more than 20.0% YTD as the company has increased its focus on e-commerce while also narrowing down its costs.
The company opened its e-commerce store to local merchants in China including food delivery, healthcare, hospitality and entertainment ticketing.
According to news media outlets, the e-commerce GMV hit RMB650bn (US$102bn) in 2021 from RMB381bn in 2020. This figure is expected to go up to RMB900bn in 2022E.


Kuaishou: Livestreaming E-Commerce Expands and Losses to Narrow; Further Upside Seems Likely

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight stocks that Chinese were buying  before CNY: Meituan, Tencent, Kuaishou, China Mobile. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight stocks that Chinese were buying  before CNY: Meituan, Tencent, Kuaishou, China Mobile. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows: What Were Chinese Buying Before CNY

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Meituan, Kuaishou, Sunac, and outflows from Tencent. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Meituan, Kuaishou, Sunac, and outflows from Tencent. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Meituan, Kuaishou, Sunac

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

HSCEI Dividend Futures: Stay Short the 2022/23 Steepener

We see the HSCEI 2022 div futures trading in line with our estimates while there could be more downside to the 2022/23 div spread. We'd look to get...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Kuaishou, China Mobile, Anta, CNOOC

We highlight Southbound connect weekly inflows into Kuaishou, China Mobile, Anta, CNOOC, as well as outflows from Tencent, Wuxi Biologics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Kuaishou: Livestreaming E-Commerce Expands and Losses to Narrow; Further Upside Seems Likely

Kuaishou’s share price has climbed more than 20.0% YTD as the company has increased its focus on e-commerce while also narrowing down its costs. E...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Hong Kong Connect Flows: What Were Chinese Buying Before CNY

We highlight stocks that Chinese were buying via Southbound Stock Connect before CNY: Meituan (3690 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Meituan, Kuaishou, Sunac

We highlight weekly Hong Kong Connect inflows by mainland investors into Meituan (3690 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), Sunac (1918 HK), and outflows from...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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