Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hyundai Motor Group has become the largest shareholder of KT Corp, as the National Pension Service has recently reduced its stake in KT from 8.53% previously to 7.51%. </li>
<li>Despite this recent change in the largest shareholder status of KT Corp, this requires the approval from the Korean Ministry of Science and ICT. </li>
<li>Although the Hyundai Motor Group (HMG) has become the largest owner in KT Corp, the most likely scenario is for HMG to remain a passive investor in KT.</li>
</ul>


Hyundai Motor Group has become the largest shareholder of KT Corp, as the National Pension Service has recently reduced its stake in KT from 8.53% previously to 7.51%. 
Despite this recent change in the largest shareholder status of KT Corp, this requires the approval from the Korean Ministry of Science and ICT. 
Although the Hyundai Motor Group (HMG) has become the largest owner in KT Corp, the most likely scenario is for HMG to remain a passive investor in KT.


Hyundai Motor Group Becomes the Largest Shareholder of KT Corp

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>KT's foreign ownership declined since January, below 7.5% by last month. If it remains, the adjustment factor halves to 0.25, impacting KT's Global Index weight.</li>
<li>With the May review screening date estimated for April 17th, swift reversal of foreign inflows seems improbable. Thus, KT's adjustment factor dropping to 0.25 is likely.</li>
<li>This could lead to an outflow of 1.6M shares, approximately 3x ADTV. Given the prolonged price impact on telcos, exploring a long-short setup with SKT might be prudent.</li>
</ul>


KT's foreign ownership declined since January, below 7.5% by last month. If it remains, the adjustment factor halves to 0.25, impacting KT's Global Index weight.
With the May review screening date estimated for April 17th, swift reversal of foreign inflows seems improbable. Thus, KT's adjustment factor dropping to 0.25 is likely.
This could lead to an outflow of 1.6M shares, approximately 3x ADTV. Given the prolonged price impact on telcos, exploring a long-short setup with SKT might be prudent.


KT's Foreign Room Below 7.5%, Weight Down-Adjustment Expected in May, Resulting in 3x ADTV Outflow

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>There are some major surprises (both inclusions and exclusions) in the Korea Value Up index. </li>
<li>In particular, the telecom sector (SK Telecom and KT) and large cap holding companies (Samsung C&amp;T and LG Corp) are surprising exclusions in the index.</li>
<li>There are many surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index. We provide 30 companies are surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index (19 KOSDAQ and 11 KOSPI listed).</li>
</ul>


There are some major surprises (both inclusions and exclusions) in the Korea Value Up index. 
In particular, the telecom sector (SK Telecom and KT) and large cap holding companies (Samsung C&amp;T and LG Corp) are surprising exclusions in the index.
There are many surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index. We provide 30 companies are surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index (19 KOSDAQ and 11 KOSPI listed).


Korea Value Up Index - Surprising Inclusions and Exclusions

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Korzinc, Posco, Alteogen, Doosan Enerbility .</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Korzinc, Posco, Alteogen, Doosan Enerbility .


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 15th): Korzinc, Posco, Alteogen, Doosan Enerbility

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange (KRX) plans to make special changes to the Korea Value-Up Index constituents on 20 December.</li>
<li>We believe that following five stocks are likely inclusions in the Korea Value Up index rebalance on 20 December (KB Financial, Hana Financial, SK Telecom, KT Corp, and LG Electronics).</li>
<li>The new companies that will be included in the Korea Value-Up Index include companies that provide detailed corporate value up plans by 6 December.</li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange (KRX) plans to make special changes to the Korea Value-Up Index constituents on 20 December.
We believe that following five stocks are likely inclusions in the Korea Value Up index rebalance on 20 December (KB Financial, Hana Financial, SK Telecom, KT Corp, and LG Electronics).
The new companies that will be included in the Korea Value-Up Index include companies that provide detailed corporate value up plans by 6 December.


Korea Value Up Index Rebalance on 20 December

South Korea

KT Corporation provides telecommunication services including local, long distance, and international calling, satellite communication, data transmission, and wireless telephone services in South Korea.  The Company also offers network portal and high-speed Internet access services using asymmetric digital subscriber lines (ADSLs).

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KT Corp (030200 KS)

Hyundai Motor Group Becomes the Largest Shareholder of KT Corp

On 9 May, KT Corp (030200 KS) announced that it will cancel 5.1 million treasury shares (about 2% of outstanding shares), representing...

Douglas Kim

KT's Foreign Room Below 7.5%, Weight Down-Adjustment Expected in May, Resulting in 3x ADTV Outflow

Screening base date is likely on April 17th. KT's FIF cut to 25% is certain. 3 additions might join the Global Index despite stricter extreme price...

Sanghyun Park

Korea Value Up Index - Surprising Inclusions and Exclusions

There are many surprising inclusions and exclusions in the Korea Value Up Index. We provide 30 companies that are surprising inclusions and 10...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 15th): Korzinc, Posco, Alteogen, Doosan Enerbility

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Korzinc, Posco, Alteogen, Doosan Enerbility.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korea Value Up Index Rebalance on 20 December

We believe that following five stocks are likely inclusions in the Korea Value Up index rebalance on 20 December (KB Financial, Hana Financial, SK...

Douglas Kim

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