Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The US election is the ultimate of known unknowns. The markets have endured both Trump and Biden/Harris so impactful policy surprises should be limited. </li>
<li>Hedging cost are running high for Asian equities post August unwind and September stimulus combined with election. </li>
<li>Markets have some momentum and in some cases mean reversion to the price move on the day after the election. </li>
</ul>


The US election is the ultimate of known unknowns. The markets have endured both Trump and Biden/Harris so impactful policy surprises should be limited. 
Hedging cost are running high for Asian equities post August unwind and September stimulus combined with election. 
Markets have some momentum and in some cases mean reversion to the price move on the day after the election. 


EQD | US Election -  Hedge Considerations

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> closed  up 8 weeks in a row and breached the Inner Fence resistance target at 349, the index is now very OVERBOUGHT. </li>
<li>The upcoming pullback could be an occasion to go LONG at better prices: based on pattern analysis there is a chance the correction may be a large one, albeit fast.</li>
<li>Support levels to buy are in the 346-336 price area.</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 INDEX closed  up 8 weeks in a row and breached the Inner Fence resistance target at 349, the index is now very OVERBOUGHT. 
The upcoming pullback could be an occasion to go LONG at better prices: based on pattern analysis there is a chance the correction may be a large one, albeit fast.
Support levels to buy are in the 346-336 price area.


EQD | KOSPI 200 Shows a Bullish Pattern for the Upcoming Pullback

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> has been rising for 4 weeks, it's OVERBOUGHT and may soon perform a quick pullback, followed possibly by another rally.</li>
<li>The upcoming pullback is likely to be short-lived, in this insight we analyze where the pullback can reach, and where it should be possible to go LONG again.</li>
<li>The price area to watch is 330-326: if the index reaches there, the LONG trade odds will be good (assuming the uptrend will continue into the end of the year).</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 INDEX has been rising for 4 weeks, it's OVERBOUGHT and may soon perform a quick pullback, followed possibly by another rally.
The upcoming pullback is likely to be short-lived, in this insight we analyze where the pullback can reach, and where it should be possible to go LONG again.
The price area to watch is 330-326: if the index reaches there, the LONG trade odds will be good (assuming the uptrend will continue into the end of the year).


EQD | KOSPI 200 Stalling: Where to Go LONG on the Pullback?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paradise-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14940:1" rel="noopener">Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS)</a> will move from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market from the open of trading on 24 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-d-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29151:1" rel="noopener">E&amp;D Co Ltd (101360 KS)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the close on 21 June to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paradise-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14940:1" rel="noopener">Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paradise-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14940:1" rel="noopener">Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS)</a> belongs to the Consumer Discretionary sector and there is a possibility of inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
</ul>



Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS) will move from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market from the open of trading on 24 June.

E&amp;D Co Ltd (101360 KS) will be added to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the close on 21 June to replace Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS). 

Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS) belongs to the Consumer Discretionary sector and there is a possibility of inclusion to the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in December.


KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Eco&Dream to Replace Paradise Co

<ul>
<li>Following the short sell ban announced on the weekend, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> opened higher on Monday and rallied through the day.</li>
<li>A lot of the intraday gains on Monday have been given up over the next two trading days. Surprisingly, KRX data indicates that not a lot of shorts have covered.</li>
<li>Foreigners have been net cash buyers since Monday (could indicate covering of offshore borrow) while retail were big sellers on Monday.</li>
</ul>


Following the short sell ban announced on the weekend, the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 opened higher on Monday and rallied through the day.
A lot of the intraday gains on Monday have been given up over the next two trading days. Surprisingly, KRX data indicates that not a lot of shorts have covered.
Foreigners have been net cash buyers since Monday (could indicate covering of offshore borrow) while retail were big sellers on Monday.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Not a Lot Covered on Monday; Shorts Holding On?

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

EQD | US Election - Hedge Considerations

The US election brings uncertainty, but market impact should be limited due to enduring Trump and Biden/Harris policies. Asian equities face high...

John Ley

EQD | KOSPI 200 Shows a Bullish Pattern for the Upcoming Pullback

The KOSPI 200 INDEX is overbought, after 8 consecutive weeks of gains. A potential pullback may present a buying opportunity at support levels...

Nico Rosti

EQD | KOSPI 200 Stalling: Where to Go LONG on the Pullback?

The KOSPI 200 INDEX is overbought and may experience a quick pullback, followed by another rally. If the index reaches the 330-326 price area, it...

Nico Rosti

KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Eco&Dream to Replace Paradise Co

Eco&Dream will replace Paradise Co in the KOSDAQ150 Index at the close on Friday. Paradise Co could be added to the KOSPI200 Index in December...

Brian Freitas

Korea Short Sell Ban: Not a Lot Covered on Monday; Shorts Holding On?

Not a lot of shorts were covered on Monday. There could be more covering in the near term as the market drifts lower. KOSPI200 underperformed...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | US Election - Hedge Considerations

​The US election brings uncertainty, but market impact should be limited due to enduring Trump and Biden/Harris policies. Asian equities face high...

John Ley

EQD | KOSPI 200 Shows a Bullish Pattern for the Upcoming Pullback

​The KOSPI 200 INDEX is overbought, after 8 consecutive weeks of gains. A potential pullback may present a buying opportunity at support levels...

Nico Rosti

EQD | KOSPI 200 Stalling: Where to Go LONG on the Pullback?

​The KOSPI 200 INDEX is overbought and may experience a quick pullback, followed by another rally. If the index reaches the 330-326 price area, it...

Nico Rosti

KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Eco&Dream to Replace Paradise Co

Eco&Dream will replace Paradise Co in the KOSDAQ150 Index at the close on Friday. Paradise Co could be added to the KOSPI200 Index in December...

Brian Freitas

Korea Short Sell Ban: Not a Lot Covered on Monday; Shorts Holding On?

Not a lot of shorts were covered on Monday. There could be more covering in the near term as the market drifts lower. KOSPI200 underperformed...

Brian Freitas

The US election brings uncertainty, but market impact should be limited due to enduring Trump and Biden/Harris policies. Asian equities face high...

The KOSPI 200 INDEX is overbought, after 8 consecutive weeks of gains. A potential pullback may present a buying opportunity at support levels...

The KOSPI 200 INDEX is overbought and may experience a quick pullback, followed by another rally. If the index reaches the 330-326 price area, it...