Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ends on 31 January, the changes will be announced towards end February and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.</li>
<li>We forecast one add/delete for the Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Chemical (003670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>; the largest outflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW (032500 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ends on 31 January, the changes will be announced towards end February and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.
We forecast one add/delete for the Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.
The largest inflows are expected on Posco Chemical (003670 KS) and Douzone Bizon (012510 KS); the largest outflows are expected on SK Innovation (096770 KS) and KMW (032500 KS).


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Some Big Impact Names

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Compared to the tightly crowded KOSPI 200, the sector ETFs' rebalancing flow trading appears relatively less crowded, which led to a significantly higher flow/price correlation on the rebalancing day.</li>
<li>The KRX now delivers the rebalancing results of the KRX Sector &amp; K-New Deal Indexes only to paying customers. This can increase the profit effect of acquiring prior information.</li>
<li>So, safe play, which builds up a position from the time this information is acquired, rather than an aggressive preemptive position build-up, can still obtain a sufficient level of juice.</li>
</ul>


Compared to the tightly crowded KOSPI 200, the sector ETFs' rebalancing flow trading appears relatively less crowded, which led to a significantly higher flow/price correlation on the rebalancing day.
The KRX now delivers the rebalancing results of the KRX Sector &amp; K-New Deal Indexes only to paying customers. This can increase the profit effect of acquiring prior information.
So, safe play, which builds up a position from the time this information is acquired, rather than an aggressive preemptive position build-up, can still obtain a sufficient level of juice.


Backtesting Implications: Korea Sector ETFs Rebalancing on the 8th

<ul>
<li>The KRX announced the changes to the KRX New Deal indices post market close on Friday. But the changes were not made public and are only available to subscribers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intellian-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34895:1" rel="noopener">Intellian Technologies (189300)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seojin-system-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24032:1" rel="noopener">Seojin System (178320)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/danal-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19682:1" rel="noopener">Danal (064260)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16045:1" rel="noopener">Kcp (060250)</a> in the Internet Index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> in BBIG.</li>
<li>Since we published our last forecast on 21 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)</a> is up 12% while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> has dropped 17%.</li>
</ul>


The KRX announced the changes to the KRX New Deal indices post market close on Friday. But the changes were not made public and are only available to subscribers.

Intellian Technologies (189300) and Seojin System (178320) replace Danal (064260) and Kcp (060250) in the Internet Index, while KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS) replaces AfreecaTV (067160 KS) in BBIG.
Since we published our last forecast on 21 July, KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS) is up 12% while AfreecaTV (067160 KS) has dropped 17%.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance: All Forecasts Right as KMW Soars and AfreecaTV Drops

<ul>
<li>KMW replaces AfreecaTV in BBIG. There is no constituent change for Battery and Bio. Seojin and Intellion replace NHN KCP and Danal in Internet. Nexon Games replaces Devsisters in Game.</li>
<li>The effective date has been postponed to the 13th, and the ETF operators will conduct the rebalancing trading at the close tomorrow, the 8th.</li>
<li>Regarding relative passive impact, KMW and AfreecaTV should receive the most attention, and this pattern is already appearing today.</li>
</ul>


KMW replaces AfreecaTV in BBIG. There is no constituent change for Battery and Bio. Seojin and Intellion replace NHN KCP and Danal in Internet. Nexon Games replaces Devsisters in Game.
The effective date has been postponed to the 13th, and the ETF operators will conduct the rebalancing trading at the close tomorrow, the 8th.
Regarding relative passive impact, KMW and AfreecaTV should receive the most attention, and this pattern is already appearing today.


KRX K-New Deal Rebalancing: Official Results & Passive Flows

<ul>
<li>KMW is the most important name in this rebalancing. It will be a newcomer to the K-New Deal, replacing AfreecaTV for Top Three in INTERNET.</li>
<li>KMW's inflow will be very substantial at 8.60x ADTV, whereas AfreecaTV will suffer an outflow equivalent to 1.69x ADTV.</li>
<li>In addition, HLB will replace Hanmi Science, and Seojin System will take over Danal. Webzen also replaces Devsisters.</li>
</ul>


KMW is the most important name in this rebalancing. It will be a newcomer to the K-New Deal, replacing AfreecaTV for Top Three in INTERNET.
KMW's inflow will be very substantial at 8.60x ADTV, whereas AfreecaTV will suffer an outflow equivalent to 1.69x ADTV.
In addition, HLB will replace Hanmi Science, and Seojin System will take over Danal. Webzen also replaces Devsisters.


KRX K-New Deal September Rebalancing: Screening Results

South Korea

KMW CO. LTD. manufactures a wide range of telecommunications devices and components.  The Company's products include multi-channel combiner units, power amplifiers, antenna front end units, code division multiple access (CDMA) optic repeaters, connectors, and cable assemblies.  KMW also produces microwave components.

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KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Some Big Impact Names

There are some high impact changes expected at the March rebalance of the New Deal indices mainly from changes to the top 3 stocks in the Battery...

Brian Freitas

Backtesting Implications: Korea Sector ETFs Rebalancing on the 8th

This post backtests the flow trading performance for the rebalancings of Korea's sector ETFs on the 8th and discusses unique patterns and...

Sanghyun Park

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance: All Forecasts Right as KMW Soars and AfreecaTV Drops

There is one change to the Game & BBIG index and two changes to the Internet index. KMW has the largest passive inflow and impact while AfreecaTV...

Brian Freitas

KRX K-New Deal Rebalancing: Official Results & Passive Flows

This post provides the official constituent change results of the KRX K-New Deal rebalancing in September and assesses the passive impacts of...

Sanghyun Park

KRX K-New Deal September Rebalancing: Screening Results

This post presents the screening results of the KRX K-New Deal rebalancing in September, as the screening period ended at the end of July.

Sanghyun Park

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