New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Kiwi Property (KPG) has delivered 1H23 Underlying NPAT in line with our forecast but reversal of COVID rent relief provisions saw AFFO exceed our expectations</li><li>Top line rent growth exceeded our forecast and was partly offset by higher interest and tax</li><li>KPG also suggested that with zoning now obtained, the sale of residential super lots could be a funding mechanism for the large format retail precinct at Drury, although this might prove challenging given the current residential market conditions. T</li></ul>

Kiwi Property (KPG) has delivered 1H23 Underlying NPAT in line with our forecast but reversal of COVID rent relief provisions saw AFFO exceed our expectationsTop line rent growth exceeded our forecast and was partly offset by higher interest and taxKPG also suggested that with zoning now obtained, the sale of residential super lots could be a funding mechanism for the large format retail precinct at Drury, although this might prove challenging given the current residential market conditions. T

Kiwi Property Group: 1H23 Result – Initial Thoughts

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Cap rates expanding, NAVs rebased: Interest rates continue to place upward pressure on cap rates and downward pressure on asset values and NTA</li><li>Looking forward to the reporting season: Six LPVs will be reporting interim results in September</li><li>LPVs had a mixed month in the market: The NZ LPV sector was down -2% in October, and underperformed the broader market by 4%</li></ul>

Cap rates expanding, NAVs rebased: Interest rates continue to place upward pressure on cap rates and downward pressure on asset values and NTALooking forward to the reporting season: Six LPVs will be reporting interim results in SeptemberLPVs had a mixed month in the market: The NZ LPV sector was down -2% in October, and underperformed the broader market by 4%

Real Estate Reflections Time for a Check Up

<ul><li>Bond yields have continued to dictate listed property share performance</li><li>Long bond yields rose +30bp in September, returning to mid-June highs, resulting in a broad based sell-off of the property names</li><li>As a result of some large share price movements the property sector dividend yield spreads to 10 year interest rates expanded slightly</li></ul>

Bond yields have continued to dictate listed property share performanceLong bond yields rose +30bp in September, returning to mid-June highs, resulting in a broad based sell-off of the property namesAs a result of some large share price movements the property sector dividend yield spreads to 10 year interest rates expanded slightly

Real Estate Reflections: Déjà Vu All Over Again

<ul><li>Listed property vehicles (LPVs) who reported in August generally delivered a solid set of results, although interest rates continue to be a key headwind for the sector</li><li>Operational outcomes were more positive with solid like-for-like income growth driven by strong market rent reviews and leasing outcomes</li><li>Long-bond yields moved higher over August and only modest moves in share prices resulted in the sector yield spread contracting to a 14-year low</li></ul>

Listed property vehicles (LPVs) who reported in August generally delivered a solid set of results, although interest rates continue to be a key headwind for the sectorOperational outcomes were more positive with solid like-for-like income growth driven by strong market rent reviews and leasing outcomesLong-bond yields moved higher over August and only modest moves in share prices resulted in the sector yield spread contracting to a 14-year low

Real Estate Reflections: Debt Costs Rising

<ul><li>Leading into reporting season, listed property stocks have rallied but still slightly underperformed the broader market in July</li><li>Generally positive operating trends</li><li>A drop in bond rates has spurred property sector rally </li></ul>

Leading into reporting season, listed property stocks have rallied but still slightly underperformed the broader market in JulyGenerally positive operating trendsA drop in bond rates has spurred property sector rally 

Real Estate Reflections: A Look Under the Hood (10-Aug-2022)

New Zealand

Kiwi Property Group Ltd is a property trust that invests in, manages and develops a portfolio of diversified properties throughout New Zealand. The Trust's properties include office, retail and industrial properties.

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Kiwi Property (KPG NZ)

Kiwi Property Group: 1H23 Result – Initial Thoughts

Kiwi Property (KPG) has delivered 1H23 Underlying NPAT in line with our forecast but reversal of COVID rent relief provisions saw AFFO exceed our...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections Time for a Check Up

It was another roller coaster month for the listed property sector - the sector sold off as long bond yields peaked at 4.7% mid-month before a ...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections: Déjà Vu All Over Again

Bond yields have continued to dictate listed property share performance; Long bond yields rose +30bp in September, returning to mid-June highs,...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections: Debt Costs Rising

Listed property vehicles (LPVs) who reported in August generally delivered a solid set of results, although interest rates continue to be a key...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections: A Look Under the Hood (10-Aug-2022)

Leading into reporting season, listed property stocks have rallied but still slightly underperformed the broader market in July

Forsyth Barr

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