New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Asset Plus (APL) reported a small 1H25 loss, however, the result itself is largely irrelevant, with the market's focus firmly on the sale of APL's final asset (Munroe Lane) and the return of capital. </li><li>The final milestone is the sale of Munroe Lane, which will dictate the size of the capital return.</li><li>Our scenarios suggest between NZ28–35cps (pre-special dividend) should be achievable. </li></ul>

Asset Plus (APL) reported a small 1H25 loss, however, the result itself is largely irrelevant, with the market's focus firmly on the sale of APL's final asset (Munroe Lane) and the return of capital. The final milestone is the sale of Munroe Lane, which will dictate the size of the capital return.Our scenarios suggest between NZ28–35cps (pre-special dividend) should be achievable. 

Asset Plus - 1H25: Waiting for the Wind Up

<ul><li>Asset Plus (APL) has announced it will pay a NZ5 cents per share special dividend in early December, following the settlement of Graham Street.</li><li>This is positive news for shareholders, and indicates that APL is likely heading down the wind-up/capital return path, as opposed to the portfolio pivot/reinvestment alternative.</li><li>The next key milestone is the sale of Munroe Lane, APL's final asset, which will dictate the size of the capital return. </li></ul>

Asset Plus (APL) has announced it will pay a NZ5 cents per share special dividend in early December, following the settlement of Graham Street.This is positive news for shareholders, and indicates that APL is likely heading down the wind-up/capital return path, as opposed to the portfolio pivot/reinvestment alternative.The next key milestone is the sale of Munroe Lane, APL's final asset, which will dictate the size of the capital return. 

<ul><li>Asset Plus (APL) reported a small FY24 loss, however, the result itself is largely irrelevant, with the market's focus firmly on the sale of APL's final asset, Munroe Lane, and the potential for capital return.</li><li>Leasing at Munroe Lane continues to prove challenging and APL wishes to lease up before selling down the asset.</li><li>While APL is keeping its options open, we believe a capital return offers the best outcome for shareholders, with our range of potential net realisable value +40% to 74% above the current share price. </li></ul>

Asset Plus (APL) reported a small FY24 loss, however, the result itself is largely irrelevant, with the market's focus firmly on the sale of APL's final asset, Munroe Lane, and the potential for capital return.Leasing at Munroe Lane continues to prove challenging and APL wishes to lease up before selling down the asset.While APL is keeping its options open, we believe a capital return offers the best outcome for shareholders, with our range of potential net realisable value +40% to 74% above the current share price. 

Asset Plus - FY24 Result — Still in Its Lane

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>November was a soft month for the property sector as interest rate volatility continued.</li><li>1H25 results were largely as expected with most companies seeing: (1) slight vacancy rise, softening tenant demand and slowing market rent growth, reflecting the economic backdrop, (2) debt costs beginning to decline, and (3) asset values and cap rates stabilising. We expect these themes will continue to play out over the next year.</li><li>While the property sector continues to trade at compressed spreads to long-bond yields, it is trading on wider yields than some defensive peers and a lower earnings multiple than the broader market. </li></ul>

November was a soft month for the property sector as interest rate volatility continued.1H25 results were largely as expected with most companies seeing: (1) slight vacancy rise, softening tenant demand and slowing market rent growth, reflecting the economic backdrop, (2) debt costs beginning to decline, and (3) asset values and cap rates stabilising. We expect these themes will continue to play out over the next year.While the property sector continues to trade at compressed spreads to long-bond yields, it is trading on wider yields than some defensive peers and a lower earnings multiple than the broader market. 

Real Estate Reflections - From One Cycle to the Next

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>October was a solid month for NZ listed property vehicles (LPVs).</li><li>The Fast-track Approvals Bill breathed some life into Winton's (WIN) Sunfield project, after having its initial approval pathway declined, while Kiwi Property's (KPG) Drury development and Precinct's (PCT) downtown carpark project were both included in the bill.</li><li>Six companies are reporting interim results in November, where we expect higher interest and tax bills to outweigh top-line rental growth across most of the sector. </li></ul>

October was a solid month for NZ listed property vehicles (LPVs).The Fast-track Approvals Bill breathed some life into Winton's (WIN) Sunfield project, after having its initial approval pathway declined, while Kiwi Property's (KPG) Drury development and Precinct's (PCT) downtown carpark project were both included in the bill.Six companies are reporting interim results in November, where we expect higher interest and tax bills to outweigh top-line rental growth across most of the sector. 

Real Estate Reflections - Fast Track to Reporting Season

New Zealand

Asset Plus Limited carries on the business of a property company that invests in and manages commercial, industrial and retail properties. The Company's investment property portfolio consists of retail, commercial, and industrial properties located in New Zealand.

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Asset Plus (APL NZ)

Asset Plus - 1H25: Waiting for the Wind Up

Asset Plus (APL) reported a small 1H25 loss, however, the result itself is largely irrelevant, with the market's focus firmly on the sale...

Forsyth Barr

Asset Plus - Show Me the Money

Asset Plus (APL) has announced it will pay a NZ5 cents per share special dividend in early December, following the settlement of Graham Street.

Forsyth Barr

Asset Plus - FY24 Result — Still in Its Lane

While APL is keeping its options open, we believe a capital return offers the best outcome for shareholders, with our range of potential net...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections - From One Cycle to the Next

While the property sector continues to trade at compressed spreads to long-bond yields, it is trading on wider yields than some defensive peers and...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections - Fast Track to Reporting Season

Our preferred LPVs are hospital landlord Vital Healthcare (VHP) and premium office owner PCT. We are also OUTPERFORM rated on Asset Plus (APL)...

Forsyth Barr

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